Have you noticed????? Just about everything out there is, well,...... a whole lot cheaper. 

Sure, the focus is on real estate and the the stock market. But "declining values" have impacted almost everything we buy. What we learned in Econ 101 still holds true: Lower the demand and you are going to lower the price, every single time.

And that thing called DEMAND? The best way to describe that right now is IN THE TOILET.

Who can "demand" anything when you are busy just trying to keep your head above water?

Dog paddle or die. That's the mantra of most consumers these days. Wallets are closed and shopping for sport is nearly dead.

And let's be honest. We can stimulate real estate buyers all we want, but until people start spending money on all the rest of the stuff out there, the economy will continue to tank.

Even those consumers who are swimming along with no problem are too afraid to take advantage of all the cheap, cheap stuff and bargain prices.

Has fear of drowning become a national obsession?

Cheap stocks. Cheap real estate. Going out of business sales. Cars sitting with thousands in rebates AND 0% financing.

We used to say cars that wouldn't sell "grew whiskers". Now there are cars with full beards sitting on dealership lots.

Your favorite restaurant sends you a "free lunch" coupon, but when you get there, they are out of business.

And 75% off is the new 25% off when it comes to buying clothes.

Still, we don't buy. It is called market mentality, and whether it is justified or not, you must understand it if you intend to be a seller in this economy.

 

If you are a seller of ANYTHING in this environment, what do you do?

  1. You don't "start high"
  2. You don't try to sell something that is dirty or needs repair
  3. You don't expect to "sell quickly"
  4. You understand that if you hold on for too long to get the "better price", you can shoot yourself in the foot.
  5. You don't try to "do it yourself". You need professional help and marketing NOW more than you ever did before.
  6. You don't take offense when your buyers low ball, or ask for a discount.
  7. You don't cling to the idea that the price 6 months ago has anything to do with the price today.
  8. You understand you must get over your emotional attachments to the thing you want to sell.
  9. You make it EASY for a buyer to buy.
  10. You show compassion.

 

Someday, sellers will rise up and once again, make all the rules. Until then, sellers must understand this: It is exhausting for buyers to constantly dog paddle. And scary. Even if it is in a sea of ridiculously low prices. 

The water still seems awfully cold, and those lifeboats are taking FOREVER to arrive.


Written by Janet Guilbault, Mortgage Lending Expert Based Out of the San Francisco Bay Area

 

 

 
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61 Comments on Deflation Nation: How to Be A Seller When No One Wants to Buy

MAR
09
836,450 Points 213 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

True, the emotional attachment and "image" projected by far too many home sellers disqualifies their property for most but cash buyers, or perhaps a Mom or Dad who just wants to transfer some available cash. 

The advise in your article is sterling, except when the sellers needs to sell and, because of negative equity, cannot. 

That's a growing percentage of our would be sellers here today. 

12:26pm • #1
422,467 Points 17 Featured Posts Outside Blog

OK. All I can say is that I am totally going to have to reblog this one! Thanks for hitting the nail on the head.

12:29pm • #2
264,788 Points 59 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Janet - Somebody out there is paying attention to you; you're already gold;)  I actually think that your list of things for sellers to do in this market is pretty damn good.  I especially like #2, #5, & #10.  It seems there is no such thing as a cakewalk these days... and rightfully so.

12:30pm • #3
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Lenn: Alas, our upside down sellers cannot do anything right now. They have no lifeboats coming to save them, either.

But one thing is for certain: If some sellers would have taken the advice at the end of this post when they tried to sell at this time last year.....they would not be underwater NOW.

Holding on for a higher price means you could pay the price...of not being able to sell or to refinance.

12:47pm • #4

How right you are-we need to know the market we are in.  Thanks for sharing.

12:49pm • #5
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Lisa: Glad you liked this one, and thanks for the reblog.

Jason: My real estate agent friends and partners tell me that no one wants fixers anymore! That is part of the superior attitude that most buyers have adopted I suppose. And I get that! I won't even buy a pair of pants that will need hemming.

As for the compassionate part. This could be an entire post. Everywhere I look I see Americans trying to help other Americans. It is compelling. It is amazing the way we stick toether and break down barriers when times are bad.

Istead of, "How are you?" people are saying "Are you OK?". And they want to help! Whoa.

12:52pm • #6

Janet wonderful post.  Sellers seem to be more emotionally attached then ever concerning their properties these days.  I love your ten commandments!    We have to set the expectations for our clients/sellers and tell them the truth. 

12:54pm • #7
210,675 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

You hit the nail on the head with this one, that's for sure.  Everyone is sitting on their wallet (or sleeping on it) in fear that the markets will continue to tank. 

12:57pm • #8
178,248 Points 13 Featured Posts

Janet,

I keep saying that increasing demand for real estate, specifically, investment real estate, will do more to bring price stability to the housing market than the proposed foreclosure modification programs, it will be cheaper too.

We can't "bailout" our way out of this.  But we can provide incentives for Americans to invest and innovate.

1:14pm • #9

Therefore, any stimulus plan MUST increase demand immensely or it will be to no avail. The problem, however, is that many consumers need to pay off what they already bought before considering new purchases.

1:30pm • #10
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

You know what Stephen? Even if I emerged debt free tomorrow, I would not be in the mood to spend.

The thing is, half the fun of spending is sharing it with other people. Who wants to show off your new stuff when people are still suffering?

I personnally believe we DO NOT encourage people to buy. We encourage businesses to HIRE. Insecurity is sprouting from people believing they may not get their next paycheck.

Once they are over THAT, then they will start to buy.

1:38pm • #11
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

 we can provide incentives for Americans to invest and innovate.

Mark: I could not agree more. We should stimulate the good stuff and stop trying to prevent the bad stuff.

Innovation is what made this country great. That is what should be the focus in my opinion. And the aftermath of this will leave plenty of people who will need to RENT. Of that you can be sure.

1:42pm • #12
276,505 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Too many sellers are still like generals fighting the last war - thinking they need to start with a higher price to give them "wiggle room" when they get an offer.  Problem is, with higher asking prices, they get no offers...

1:43pm • #13
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

June: I know that is the case here in California. Although I did witness a lot of people buying flowers and vegetables to plant this weekend when I was out and about.

Andrea: You and Lenn both mentioned the emotional connection situation. Interesting. Maybe we are all just feeling a little more emotional these days. Is that because we just assumed we would always feel secure? Is it because insecurity makes you wish for a kind of emotional comfort? 

1:46pm • #14
836,450 Points 213 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

No Janet.  The emotional attachment has nothing to do with insecurity or comfort.  It has to do with HOME. 

Ah!  I'm inspired.

2:04pm • #15
Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Really enjoyed your post. Every seller should read.

2:44pm • #16

 

Good post, I totally agree with Lenn, the emotional attachment has to do with the home. 

2:58pm • #17
212,297 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Janet,  With so much bad news it takes a confident buyer to get past all the negatives.  Your post is very well written !

3:12pm • #18
141,563 Points 22 Featured Posts

Janet and Stephen,

You both have inspired me to write a blog post on Incentives. Incentives are not always a good thing, as a matter of fact, they are more of a bad thing. I will get to writing it right now, and will put a link to it here so you can give me your input on what I think incentives do.

Great post though truly well written, it is definately worth a reblog!

-Lisa

 

3:25pm • #19
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

My goodness there is a lot of inspiration in the air today. I can't wait to read what Lisa and Lenn come up with. Please give us links so we can all ready.

By the way Lisa, I have an upcoming post about incentive as well. Naturally, it is flavored with my experience in the car business. I was around when they dreamed up the very first incentive.

And then they got hooked on them like a drug addict. While no one was looking, the people who bought cars simply decided they didn't care any more.

I keep thinking that is what will happen to the stimulus plan.

3:38pm • #20
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Lenn:

The emotional attachment has to do with home? I know I have an emotional attachment to my home.

 I planted every single one of those 25 redwood trees when they were in 5 gallon cans. Now I own a towering forest of giants with red shreddy bark. Yes, they are the same kind of trees that live for thousands of years here in California. Even at age 20 they are 3 stories high.

How could I ever sell my forest?  You can be inspired there. You can cure almost anything by just smelling them. You can have quiet conversations there with people you love.

Yet, they won't bring a dime on the appriasal.

 

3:47pm • #22
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Thanks Lenn. Here I go to read.

3:48pm • #23
836,450 Points 213 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

The average consumer, not a real estate or mortgage pro doesn't think about the appraisal.  They think about they forest, or like my bulb garden and my kitchen and. . . . .

3:49pm • #24
141,563 Points 22 Featured Posts

 Janet and Stephen,

Here is my 2 cents worth on incentives.

Incentives: Good or Bad? You be the judge.

Thank you for the inspiration, I hope you enjoy, or At least I hope you debate!

-Lisa

 

4:18pm • #25
2 Featured Posts

Janet,

Yet again, a good one from you.  No surprise.

I saw on the FOX News ticker the other day that 87% of people (how they came up with that number, I don't know) believe the constant negative news coverage is prolonging our woes.  I can't help but agree.

Your comment to Jason was spot on:

"As for the compassionate part. This could be an entire post. Everywhere I look I see Americans trying to help other Americans. It is compelling. It is amazing the way we stick together and break down barriers when times are bad."

I think I'll go have a look for positive news!  It's a shame we don't see any of this stuff being reported.

Great job here!

Maryellen

4:31pm • #26
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Lisa, going over to your post to read and comment. Thank you for the link.

Maryellen: I had alot of stuff happen to me last week that made me realize just how much compassion there is floating around out there.

We all may be making less money, but we are remembering what it means to care about people who are in trouble. This is something wonderful, don't you think?

4:54pm • #27
2 Featured Posts

Janet - Can't agree with you more!  You've inspired yet another blog entry and I'll be sharing soon!

Maryellen

5:00pm • #28
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Maryellen....please post a link here so we can all read it.

Lisa: I could not make your link work, but read your blog. Good stuff!!!! I know my parents NEVER gave me anything to do well in school. They just expected me to do well and so I did.

The biggest incentive you can have is the pressure you put on yourself.

5:06pm • #29
258,097 Points 2 Featured Posts Hit Router

I have found that condition will outsell price, even in these strong buyers' market times, with multiple offers as the # of properties that are steller, are few and far between.

5:10pm • #30
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Chris: What would you consider to be the reason for this? I think it is because buyers can be extremely choosy.

Maybe the reason steller properties are few and far between is because of foreclosures being "distressed"?

5:19pm • #31
2 Featured Posts

Do you think we can get something started?  Read this:

GOOD NEWS: Is it Contagious?

Thanks...Maryellen

5:33pm • #32
Outside Blog Hit Router

That was a great post.  Sellers need to be aware that there is a ton of competition and if they are not aggressive/realistic there property will sit and not sell.

5:52pm • #33
319,342 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

Wow--great advice. I reblogged it and hope some of my sellers see it!

 

6:09pm • #34
135,176 Points 1 Featured Post

Janet - I typically don't work with too many sellers but in my area, #6 & #7 seem to be the biggest issues with my clients.

No matter what I say, I can't seem to get through to some of them that low-balling is a waste of time and energy.  More times than not, they end up insulting the seller or in the case of an REO, they bank will just ignore the low ball offers if they have higher ones.  Most of the time, my clients low-ball offers won't even warrant a counter offer.

With most of my clients, I've discovered that after they lose a few, especially one they really wanted, they tend to wise up and get more serious with their offers.

7:00pm • #35
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Hit Router

Hi Janet,

 

So great to read your blog. Very nice post.

You aren't that far from me (Sacto) so I'd like to see if you'd like to tackle a topic like this on my radio show?
Please email me at tamara2@surewest.net and I'll tell you more.

 

Thanks!
TD

7:20pm • #36
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Donne: I actually get involved with sellers because I often am convincing them to take the lower price of the appraisal.

I know some of my readers may not believe this is the job of the loan officer. But it has been a successful approach to explain it from a lending point of view, and my Realtors don't mind a little help when this happens.

 

7:22pm • #37
11 Featured Posts

i have to say Janet that I am loving this new economy.

 

Why?

Everything was overvalued

Everyone was rude

Business owners did not appreciate my/our business

Real estate was way too high

 

I think that buyers will step back in and the economy will "right" itself when value again makes an appearance.  It seems like we are close.

 

 

7:28pm • #38

Way to go Janet!  Tell it like it is!!!

jane Comerford
7:44pm • #39

What a great article - and it sums things up realistically. I get tired of hearing the same old same old about the economy. Thanks for a refreshing point of view.

Pam Turner
7:48pm • #40
2 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Great Article Janet.  Thanks..

8:10pm • #41

The price six months ago doesn't even have anything to do with the price three months ago! Our market is still dropping dropping dropping...

8:15pm • #42
Outside Blog

Great post Janet! I think this is what every seller needs to read! I re-blogged and I am particularly fond of #2 and #5 :)

8:27pm • #43
119,668 Points 8 Featured Posts Outside Blog

This is a great post and one that I'd like to share with a re-blog.  Over the past several weeks I've shed all of the weight on my shoulders with sellers who were not willing to lower their prices, make their homes "showable" and a host of other things I've asked them to do.  Most of them didn't need to sell, so have decided not to make it easy for anyone, including themselves, potential buyers or me!

8:31pm • #44

Great Post!  Your list really hit it on the head - I wish that every seller out there had a copy of it.  As a Real Estate Stager, I see homes every week that are dirty, stale, and way over priced.  For some reason, even though we know we're in a buyers market, many sellers think that it doesn't apply to their house.  It doesn't have to, if you're home really is "steller".  But most of them aren't.  As you said, now isn't the time to "do it yourself"  I hope that every seller out there finds a great agent like you to work with.  Then, we can get some of the homes off the market!

Dana Dollar-Wynn
8:34pm • #45
118,621 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog

that's what I want to pay. Comps, why do we even have them right now? Buyers are making up their own prices.

9:27pm • #46
Localism Sponsor

Nicely done, Janet. I want to reblog this too. Thanks.

10:24pm • #47
1 Featured Post

Janet: Great post and great list for sellers. Here goes another reblog!  My own husband was so upset when I said I wanted to sell our home of 30 years and move into a condo. He said, "we can't do that, all of our memories are here!"  I think that is how a lot of sellers feel.  I simply said to him, "the memories aren't here...pointing around the house...the memories are here....tapping on his forehead."  He went away for about 5 minutes and came back and said "wait are you waiting for, get the sign up on the front lawn."  Sometimes a simple statement can put things into perspective.

11:03pm • #48

Awesome post.  I bookmarked it and put it in my sales folder.  I'm sure I'll whip it out and jam it in somebodys face who just doesn't get it.

11:25pm • #49
MAR
10
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Hit Router

Dog paddling, life boats - - good analogies - - great content in this piece.  You give excellent insight into consumer psychology.  I agree, job creation is key.  Also, I want to mention that I always enjoy your posts - your writing has a distinct "voice".

8:27am • #50

Hi, I am fairly new here, This is my first post. Thank you for such a timely blog, I found it to be informative and well written. I too am struggling with unrealistic expectations from sellers about the market value of their homes for sell. If you don't mind, may I use some of this article to educate my sellers?

Thank you so much for your entertaining style of writting.

10:03am • #51

Excellent advise and well said.  I plan on passing on your wisdom!

12:36pm • #52
126,230 Points

Janet: thank you! I always love your posts and the analogies that go with them. Have a great day!

2:28pm • #53
MAR
11
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Kevin: I agree that one of the good things about today is that everyone care more and everything matters more. I hope we embrace this.

Paul: So happy you enjoyed this.

Jeff: I hope you do, and I hope it helps

JD, please use whatever advice you can if it helps you with your business and welcome to ActiveRain.

Terry: Glad you like my analogies. I seem to have alot of them that do with water. I don't know why!

Mike: Not sure about the jamming it in their face. Might take a more gentle approach!

Diana: Awwww you are a better braver woman than me. I am still not ready to give up the old homestead and can't picture myself condoized.

11:05am • #54
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Wayne: Thank you!

Michael:  Buyers can't make up their own prices if they expect to sell to someone who needs a mortgage. That won't work.

Dana: Stagers rock! If only sellers realized a good stager will help your house sell and appraise for way more than the price of staging!

Jeannie: Makes you wonder why they want to sell? What is this, a sport?

11:12am • #55
146,534 Points 89 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

To the 7 of you who re-blogged this post: Thank you. I am so pleased you found this worth reblogging.

11:13am • #56

Very true. I appreciate the realism of your post.

12:05pm • #57

# 3 and 4 are so true and sellers need to understand that, unfortunately, the slow economy dictates a completely different pricing strategy than last year.

7:55pm • #58
MAR
13

In regard to the sellers who want unrealistically high list prices for their homes, it occurred to me that some agents may be creating the idea or strongly implying that the homeowners should at least try for the higher prices.  In various local areas/grids I've researched in the past year, there have been up to 75 withdrawns/expireds and about 15 actives in an area--all of which are at the higher, wished-for list prices.  There are only about 4 actual solds in the same area and time period. 

Many locally prominent agents are among the withdrawn/expireds' agents.  Homeowners may think that this indicates realistic list prices.  The fact that 75 of them (in one area in one year) failed to sell even with locally prominent agents doesn't seem to register with the homeowners.  They "at least want to try."  I guess I can't blame them.  Since so many agents apparently are not bothered by this lack of selling and the high number of expireds/withdrawns, why should the homeowner be? (Okay, the homeowner should care about how the sale or lack of sale of their property affects their personal finances, but are not, for some reason.)

I'm not sure why so many agents take so many un-sale-able listings.  I know that when my listings don't sell, I and/or my office have to "eat" the expenses of the marketing, administrative, etc., work.  Which is to say it comes right out of my pocket.  I don't know how all these agents can afford to have listing after listing that don't sell.  Especially when there are so few properties that do sell and put money into the agent's pocket which will then be drained by the expense of all the wd/exp.

Maybe the homeowners will eventually list with realistic prices.  Thanks for the great blog, Lenn, and thanks to all who responded--many excellent comments.

Amy Elftmann, C21 Grant Realty, Florida--St. Petersburg and the Gulf Beaches, 727-365-2467

Amy Elftmann
9:27am • #59
MAR
14

Janet, thanks so much for a post that makes good sense, and should translate into good cents. When my home in Concord failed to sell at what I thought was a reasonable price, I had to carry the payments for over a year before a terrific family put out the word they wanted to rent it. They've been in going on 16 months. Everyone in the small neighborhood loves them. I turned down an offer a couple months after the house was listed, in early 2007, and am still glad I did. Perhaps it was the fact that everything about the offer seemed mean and tight. The offer was about $100,000 over what I might get for it now if I relist. But I won't. The family living there is an asset to the area. When they are ready to buy, I'll be ready to sell, and it will be fair to both parties. Until then, they are excellent stewards, renters, and neighbors.  If I might add something, Sellers should PUT AWAY everything that WILL NOT convey with a sale. Helps keep both sides more willing to cooperate.  GREAT POST!

Sherry Siegel
4:39pm • #60
AUG
11
Good morning. You never know till you try to reach them how accessible men are; but you must approach each man by the right door. I am from India and also now am reading in English, give true I wrote the following sentence: "Celtic moon cat and pentagram wall plaque." Thanks for the help :), Else.
Else
4:55am • #61

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Janet Guilbault California Mortgage Banker/Broker

Walnut Creek, CA

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Address: 3201 Danville Blvd, Suite 195, Alamo, CA, 94507

Office Phone: (925) 552-3867

Cell Phone: (925) 212-6347

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