Angelos Angelou is one of the foremost economists in central Texas, and he is predicting that the Austin area could end up with a housing shortage over the next couple of years.  Builders slowed down their production levels so much that they may have overcorrected, and this could lead to higher prices in the short-term. 

According to an article in the Community Impact paper that came out on Friday, housing starts dropped by about 2/3 over the past couple of years, from 18,000 to around 6.000 anticipated for 2009.  Couple that with an estimated 42,000 people moving into the area, and it looks like we will hit a point soon when demand will exceed supply.  Clearly, this is what it normally takes to drive prices up, so time will tell, I suppose.

Angelou expects the Austin market to make a big turnaround sometime by the 1st or 2nd quarter of 2010, but he did say that we would experience slightly higher unemployment (maybe as high as 6.5%, compared to 9-10% nationally). 

If this is accurate, it looks like Austin real estate will be a very solid investment, and (not to sound overly trite) but the time to buy is now!  With low interest rates, the $8000 first-time homebuyer tax credit, and the prospect of tightening inventory and higher prices, this is no longer the time for sitting on the fence. 

If you are considering making a move to Austin, Texas, you might be interested in checking out my online relocation package right here:

Austin Texas Relocation Package

Feel free to call or email me anytime with questions.  I can be reached at 512-796-7653 (cell) or jason@austintexashomes.com.  Thanks!

Image is from www.impactnews.com

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If you're looking for a home in the Austin area, you can visit my primary Austin real estate website at www.austintexashomes.com.  Thanks!

 
This post has been included in Texas Information Travis County, TX Information Austin, TX Information
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9 Comments on Austin could experience short-term housing shortage and higher prices!

MAR
09
425,161 Points 47 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Wow that sounds like it could be a boon to your business Jason!

3:53pm • #1
Localism Sponsor

Great news, Jason!  I hope you get a lot of buyers taking advantage of the tax rebate program.

5:07pm • #2

Interesting that in this market, to predict housing shortage and increasing prices!  Just goes to show that real estate is really local!  But we already knew that!

5:29pm • #3
159,476 Points Outside Blog

Wow Jason, seems like Austin is the hot spot in the nation.  Great report.  I am looking forward to the Twitter show tomorrow.

5:39pm • #4
652,019 Points 108 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Bill - Indeed!  I am hoping it pans out that way, obviously.  :)

Marzena - I thought so, too.  I am stoked!

Carol - Right you are.  There is no "national" real estate market.

Kim - I feel blessed to be here in Austin.  Thanks so much for listening to the show!

6:43pm • #5
199,329 Points 19 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Great news for Austin real estate owners... Just proves that real estate is truly local and pick an agent like say Jason Crouch in Austin who knows the local market.  KCJC continues to be entertaining.  Listening to past shows now....  Still want those show notes even if they are just a list of links that you use during the program.

9:08pm • #6
Outside Blog

These are very nice-looking graphs, and they seem to be indicating some GOOD news! All the best!

9:53pm • #7
MAR
10

Hi Jason, I love your reports.  Where do you get those neat graphs?

8:05am • #8
129,786 Points 3 Featured Posts

Jason, I love Community Impact. It's loaded with great information.

2:39pm • #9

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Jason Crouch, Broker - Austin Texas Real Estate (512-796-7653)

Austin, TX

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Austin Texas Homes, LLC

Address: 3636 Executive Center Drive, Suite 210, Austin, TX, 78731

Office Phone: (512) 796-7653

Cell Phone: (512) 796-7653

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I write about humorous stories, family, things that are interesting to me, and the Austin real estate market.

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