Living in the Lowcountry, you know that we have the potential to flood easily.  It's widely known that when a storm comes through and it's high tide, several portions of Downtown Charleston are under a foot or two of water.

But what will happen with the next hurricane we get hit with?  Regardless of whether it's this year or ten years from now, Charleston will get hit by another one.  Hurricane Hugo was our last major storm, and that was back in 1989.  So our chances are getting stronger with each passing season. 

That's where this map comes into play.  The National Hurricane Center generates storm surge maps using the little-known but well-named computer model called SLOSH, which stands for Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes.

A SLOSH map is generated to show what a hypothetical direct hit on Charleston would be like, and provides an intriguing snapshot of how the city might fare in certain hurricane scenarios.

This SLOSH map has calculations for a hurricane with an eye coming in south of Kiawah Island. This reflects more of a worst-case scenario for the city because surges are higher in a storm's northeastern quadrant.

In a Category 1 storm, a surge of 7 to 10 feet would have a relatively minor effect on the area.  Floodwaters would fill the area's marshes and low-lying areas on the peninsula and the sea islands.  But parts of the Isle of Palms and other barrier islands would still remain above water.

That changes dramatically in a Category 2 storm with a surge of 12 feet.  In this scenario, the barrier islands all but disappear and most of downtown Charleston and James Island flood.

In Mount Pleasant, the only dry ground would be along Johnnie Dodds Boulevard, which is built on an ancient sand ridge.  In this Category 2 scenario, floodwaters would begin to march into North Charleston toward Park Circle.  And for the first time since it was developed, most of Daniel Island would temporarily lose its island status and become a seabed.

In Category 3 surge, most of West Ashley goes under water, along with a few specks of downtown Charleston.

In a Category 4 scenario, a 15- to 20-foot surge inundates much of Johns Island, while floodwaters on the Charleston Neck are neck deep.

A Category 5 scenario?  Some parts of Charleston would be under more water than the low areas of New Orleans after Katrina.  Scary!

Forecasters caution that SLOSH maps aren't perfect. They say the calculations have a 20 percent margin of error, and they also don't take into account tides, which could add or subtract a few feet of surge depending on a hurricane's timing.

If you live in the Charleston Area (South Carolina) and would like to know which flood zone you live in, please feel free to call or email us for more information.

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We proudly serve and sell real estate in and around all of Charleston, SC.  If you are thinking about purchasing or selling your home in Charleston, Johns Island, James Island, Folly Beach, Kiawah Island, Seabrook Island, West Ashley, Mount Pleasant, Isle of Palms, Sullivans Island, North Charleston, Hanahan, Summerville, Goose Creek or other surrounding areas, and more importantly, want to work with a local area expert, contact us at your earliest convenience.

Jim and Maria Hart
Realtors®/ Agent Owned Realty
(843) 364-9845
hart@agentowned.com

Copyright © 2009 by Jim and Maria Hart (AgentOwned Realty).