Thu, Mar 12 - 5:00 PM ET
Market Wrap: Our benchmark 4.5% mortgage bond rallied for the 2nd consecutive day gaining 22bp to close at $101.19 while the stock market enjoyed its first 3-day rally since Jan. 26-28. The day's news drove both markets higher for different reasons. For bonds, mixed economic news and a successful $11 billion auction in re-opened 30-year Treasury bonds led the way higher. Retail Sales initially weighed on bond prices following a stronger than expected reading of -0.1% in February vs. a consensus estimate for a -0.4% drop. Also, January's Retail Sales were revised to a higher 1.8% gain from an initially reported gain of 1.0%. After factoring out the effect of declining auto sales, Retail Sales had a gain of 0.7% vs. a forecast of 0.2% for February. However, weekly Jobless Claims allowed bonds to recover after showing continuing weakness in the labor market with an increase of 9,000 claims to 654,000. The four-week moving average for those claims increased by 6,750 to 650,000, the highest average in 27 years. Continuing jobless claims jumped by 193,000 to 5.32 million claims with the four-week moving average for these claims climbing by 124,250 to 5.14 million, both record high levels. The $11 billion 30-year auction exceeded expectations with a solid 2.40 bid to cover ratio and a better 46.2% level of foreign buying. In addition to the positive Retail Sales data, the catalyst for stocks was a less than feared cut in GE's credit rating by Standard & Poor's. GE's credit rating was taken down a peg due to problems with GE Financial but investors had feared a worse cut. Hearings before the House Financial Services subcommittee on mark-to-market accounting also lent support to stocks. Congressional leaders threatened to take corrective action if the SEC and Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) doesn't get off of their derrieres and enact more flexible accounting guidance. FASB Chairman Robert Herz told committee members that FASB could offer 'guidance in three weeks.' The Dow advanced 239 points to close at 7,169 while the broader S&P 500 Index reclaimed 29 points to end at 750. The NASDAQ Composite Index added 54 points to finish at 1,426.

4:26 PM ET - The NY Fed purchases $27B in MBS from Mar 5 through Mar 11 bringing the total to $217B since the program began.

4:02 PM ET - Don't look now but a three day rally in Stocks are in the books. The Dow is up 237 points at the close. S&P 500 at 750 up nearly 30 points led by surging shares of GE and the financial sector.

3:47 PM ET - Crude ends at $47.03/barrel up $4.70.

 

1 Comments on Why rates are coming down again (for now)

MAR
16
126,230 Points

Larry: Thanks for the analysis. I appreciate it. One of my co-workers pointed out that mortgage rates started declining just as the dollar was strengthening worldwide. There's truth to that. Normally we all know that the rate is tied to the 10 year note but these days it seems to be a multitude of factors. Have a great day!

9:07am • #1

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Larry Bailey

Medford Township, NJ

More about me…

First Peoples Title Company, LLC

Address: 414 Stokes Road, Suite 202, Medford, NJ, 08055

Office Phone: (609) 910-4749

Cell Phone: (609) 760-7222

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Assembly Title, LLC is a breath of “Fresh-Air” in the title business. There are many reasons why I am proud to have joined Assembly Title, LLC. One of them is that we make sure that your clients are treated in the highest regard. We strive to make sure that they are constantly reminded that you are the reason why this transaction is happening, and we are here, as agents, to ensure an outstanding experience with a timely closing. Another reason is that the owner, Ted Costa, has owned a title company since 1986. With him as a highly experienced Attorney, we can help you and all of your clients by leveraging his skills, experiences, and expertise in whatever way necessary to get your deal closed. Just one more reason is that I am able to directly control the entire Marketing and Sales Departments of the Company. This means that I can finally help anyone, who is interested in help, with their needs for better Marketing Support, Sales Support, Lead Generation and the MOST important issue…LEAD CONVERSION. You can buy leads from any source you want. The costs can range from 5 cents per lead to as much as 35 dollars per lead. The reality is that if you are not converting them, the cost is always too high. Ask me how to create the BEST PRACTICES for the BEST CONVERSION RATES. All if takes for us to connect is a phone call, email, text message or any other form of communication to let me know that you are tired of your current title relationship always taking, and not giving. As an active member of BNI (Marlton Regional Chapter of NJ), you can rest assured that I follow the ideal very closely. That ideal is “GIVERS GAIN.” Contact me for more information anytime.


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