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Yet another reason to "fix" the housing market

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner

Not as if the government should need anotherreason to fix the housing market considering the devastation it has had on the banking system and broader economy, but the latest news from Reuters about Freddie Mac losing $23.9 billion in the fourth quarter on top of the $25.3 billion loss in the third quarter should be yet another wake up call that what is currently being done to address the housing market is not working.

Ordinarily these types of losses wouldn't be a big deal, but when the tax payer is on the hook for them, as they are ever since September 8th of 2008 when the government put Fannie and Freddie into conservatorship, it should catch your attention.

With all of the focus on making housing affordable and refinancing available to all, what has gotten lost in translation is that it is not just about affordability, home values do matter too.  There are approximately 10 million homeowners that are under water.  This number is likely to continue to rise over the next couple of years.  The reason this is a problem is that being "under water" is a pre-condition for default.  What it means is that homeowners can't sell even if they need to.  The result is that despite all of Washington's efforts, foreclosures will continue to remain a systemic risk to the banking system and broader economy until we can stop home value declines by stimulating demand for real estate.

 

Comments(4)

Kevin Robinson
Twin Falls, ID
Fractional Developer

Mark I am truly starting to think that maybe "they" do not want to fix the problem.

Mar 14, 2009 02:28 AM
Mark MacKenzie
Phoenix, AZ

I think there is a disconnect as to what the problem actually is.

Mar 15, 2009 01:45 AM
Russel Ray, San Diego Business & Marketing Consultant & Photographer
Russel Ray - San Diego State University, CA

I can't quite agree with your statement that being "under water" is a pre-condition for default and means that homeowners can't sell even if they need to. Surely they can sell. They might not make a profit on that sale.

What's more important to me in someone being under water is that there is no equity in the home for emergency purposes. Back in my parents' generation, equity would be used if Grandma needed heart surgery, or it was time for Junior to go off to college, etc. Even if one were laid off from work, some equity could be pulled out to smooth over the rough times.

If one has spent all his money on the house and overextended himself there, as well as buying 15 plasma televisions -- one for each room in that house -- on credit, and then lost his job to boot, there's no where to turn for money for everyday living expenses, much less continue paying the mortgage and the credit card bills.

Mar 19, 2009 02:57 AM
Mark MacKenzie
Phoenix, AZ

Hi Russell,

Thanks for visiting my blog :)

The reason why being under water is a pre-condition for default is because the homeowner owes more than what the home is worth.  The only way they can sell the home if they need to is if they bring a check to the closing table for the difference.

That is not to say that every home that is under water will go into foreclosure, but they are at risk, it is a pre-condition.

 

Mar 19, 2009 03:08 AM