education: The World's Biggest Lender: The Universal Bank of Ameriwide - 01/11/08 12:33 AM
 
   So it's really going to happen: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22606833/
It's funny.  I've seen quite a few posts about this in the past week.  Rumors of CW going BK.  Rebuttals from the PR spin doctors at Countrywide.  Every prediction under the sun from media pundits to the fine folks in AR.  And here we are.  The new Microsoft of the lending world.  What does this mean for our industry?
What it does for the moment is bring relief.  The financial world let out a collective sigh and BOA is proclaimed hero of the day.  The world keeps turning.
But obviously it's no easy task for the … (11 comments)

education: I'd Like To Sell A Vowel, Please. - 01/07/08 01:56 AM
 It blows my mind, but back in 1939, an author did publish a 50,000 word book, "Gadsby", without using an "e".  Crazy, I know.  What an amazing thing to accomplish.  This Wright guy had such focus and insight; his singularity of thought did allow him to attain his goal.
How was a story told this way without making it sound ludicrous?  Focus.  Options.  Avoiding what's common.  Trying variations on typical words.  Not allowing limits to hold him back.
What's holding us back from grasping our goals for 2008?  Is it a possibility to modify what I normally do in my daily habits to attain a … (20 comments)

education: Can You Spare Some Change? Need AR Help! - 01/06/08 01:05 AM
So it's been a little over two weeks (since joining) and close to 5,000 points later and I'm asking for some help from my AR brethren.  I've got a couple of questions; feel free to chime in and let me know what you think.
1. I know that posting to my blog helps my name come up first on a Google search, but I'd like to be even more effective.  What have you done that helps drive a search engine to your site?  Is it the tags?
2. I've read some amazing success stories about how AR has translated into instant value for it's … (7 comments)

education: Do you ever wish there was a RESET button for your life? - 12/31/07 04:59 AM
When I was a little kid, I used to have a slight video game addiction.  Not that I was any good, but if things weren't going my way trying to get to the next level of a game, I'd just hit the RESET button.  Problem solved.  Well, I still wasn't any good, but that's another problem all together.  That magical button brought relief to my frustration.  I tell you this mildly amusing anecdote to say this: We all have a fresh start tonight.  2007 is behind us, and for some, that is a huge relief.  The mortgage (and real estate) industry went … (7 comments)

education: Will rates dip into the fives by the end of the year? They just did! - 12/31/07 01:32 AM
 We're finishing 2007 on a positive note as mortgage-backed bond prices have ridden the UP escalator the past 3 sessions (+9 bps today) and interest rates are loving it.  With a few of my lenders, rates have dipped into the high 5% range.  If you look back at my past few blog entries, I had a feeling that we were due for a nice little year rally and that's exactly what has happened.
Now, I'd like to think I'm ultra-skilled at predicting the future, but I can't even watch the weather and bring an umbrella on rainy days.  I just have some great tools … (2 comments)

education: Boing! Bonds Bounce Back Beautifully. - 12/28/07 01:39 AM
 What goes down must come up!  OK, so maybe the housing market still has a way to go before the media proclaims a full recovery, but for the day, rates have taken a turn for the better.  The FNMA 5.5% Bond is up a whopping 50 basis points and that is a huge bounce off the lows from Wednesday.  What is driving this comeback that rivals Sylvester Stallone in Rocky III?
Fear.  Jobless claims are up.  Housing starts are down.  When investors operate in fear mode, the bond market does very well since they are guaranteed a rate of return.  Which begs … (2 comments)

education: Ham Hangover - 12/26/07 06:08 AM
Interest rates are eating a healthy portion of leftovers from the main course we had earlier in the week: a bunch of goose eggs and a lame duck.  With no good news to feed off and a stock market that's trying to make a comeback, mortgage-backed securities are currently down 16 bps, and 125 bps in the past 4 days.  When will we hit the bottom?
Bonds are clearly oversold and I'm thinking we've got to have a nice little year-end rally.  But what if we don't stop selling off and rates climb into the high 6% range?  I have a funny theory … (1 comments)

education: A Bounce of Prevention? - 12/24/07 01:04 AM
Monday morning and mortgage-backed bonds must have missed their cup of coffee as they are drooping miserably down 22 bps.  The bond sell-off continues and we are resting on an important floor of resistance called the 50-day moving average.  This puts rates in the 6.25-6.375% range for the day.  The question is: How low will we go in our bond prices?  We've lost over 100 basis points in the past 3 days: that's a big lump of coal in the stockings of the mortgage world.
Have we seen the best rates of the year and now we're headed back to the mid 6% … (1 comments)

education: Bond Bombshell - 12/21/07 05:55 AM
It's 2:45 EST and the bond market is getting whacked harder than a pinata at a 4-year old's birthday party.  Since my blog posting this morning, the Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities fallen even farther down the rabbit hole and the currently stand at -50 bps.  That's a hefty loss.  Turns out the bond traders figured out that a lot of the financial news coming out as of late points to a serious risk of inflation poisoning our economy.
This is bad news for bonds and the lenders are feeling it.  I am getting intra-day reprices for the worse as I type this and that … (5 comments)

education: Shop and Bonds Drop! - 12/21/07 01:38 AM
  A big economic number was released this morning called the PCE (Personal Consumptions Expenditures).  It basically measures how much the average consumer is spending and believe it or not, wallets and purses are coming out more than ever.  The number was expected to come in at 2.0%, but it exceeded that by measuring 2.2%.  Great news for stocks, but bad news for interest rates.
Why?  If people are spending more, then retailers and service providers can raise their prices.  Translation = inflation.  Inflation is the nemesis of mortgage-backed securities as it indicates potential problems for our economy, and if we have the … (3 comments)

 
Mike Tullio, VP of Mortgage Lending (Guaranteed Rate NMLS# 2611)

Mike Tullio

VP of Mortgage Lending

Sarasota, FL

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Guaranteed Rate NMLS# 2611

Address: 6371 Business Blvd , Lakewood Ranch, FL, 34240

Office: (941) 907-2677

Mobile: (941) 228-1020

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