Derek McClintock's Blog

Fed Speeches Drive Markets It was another incredibly volatile week as investors attempted to determine the impact of last week's Fed announcement on mortgage rates. Early in the week, mortgage rates continued to move higher, but soothing comments from Fed officials caused mortgage rates to revers...

Very early today the 10 yr note was better with the yield down to 2.47% down 1 bp frm yesterday; it didn’t last however, at 8:30 the 10 yr yield increased to 2.50% with US stock indexes working lower early after the strong improvements over the last few days. Mortgage prices at 9:00 -20 bps frm y...

Treasuries and mortgages traded better this morning prior to 8:30 economic data. The 10 yr note at 2.49% -5 bp, 30 yr MBS prices +24 bp frm yesterday’s closes. Weekly jobless claims were expected -9K, as reported down 9K to 355K; the 4 week average declined about 2800 frm last week. May personal ...

As noted here, we have talked about volatility that would dominate markets the next couple of weeks. today a good example; yesterday MBS prices fell 33 bp on the day, this morning the 30 yr 3.5 FNMA coupon at 8:30 +73 bps. All about data points and markets were surprised (again) when at 8:30 the ...

A nice price reversal yesterday, after being down 107 bps at 9:30 the 3.5 July FNMA ended down just 14 bps; the 10 yr note unchanged at the end of the day at 2.54%. This morning prior to 8:30 the 10 yr yield had fallen to 2.49% (5:00 am); 8:30 brought May durable goods orders better than forecast...

Not a good start this morning, after the serious selling yesterday in the bond and stock markets this morning the 10 yr note climbed to 2.43%, up another eight basis points frm yesterday’s increase of 17 bps. Yesterday 30 yr the 3.5 July FNMA coupon price fell 121 bp and GNMA 3.5 fell 177 basis p...

Yesterday the bond and stock markets rallied as the FOMC meeting gets closer. For the past month markets have been consumed with the belief that the Fed was about to begin reducing its purchases of MBSs and treasuries. As the meeting approaches (next Tuesday and Wednesday) those “rock solid” beli...

Japan’s stock market took another huge hit last night taking the Nikkei index down 6.0% and now trading in bearish territory. The reaction sent the US stock indexes down and dropped the 10 yr note yield to 2.18%. Europe’s stock markets also were it hard on the Japanese selling. US economic data a...

Market confusion and uncertainty continue to play out in the financial markets. Yesterday stock indexes fell and the treasury and mortgage markets improved, this morning the stock indexes better and treasuries under some pressure. With increasing concerns that the Fed will begin tapering its easi...

At 7:00 this morning the 10 yr note yield was at 2.28% +7 bp frm yesterday’s close; at 9:00 the note improved to 2.24%. US, Europe and Asian stock market all being hit hard today; at 9:00 the DJIA was-115 frm yesterday’s close pointing to a very weak open at 9:30. At 9:30 the DJIA opened -139, NA...