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Thousand Oaks Rate Advisory, Home Loans

Wednesday's bond market has opened slightly in positive territory after the stock markets showed early weakness. The stock markets are posting losses with the Dow down 49 points and the Nasdaq down 12 points. The bond market is currently up 4/32, which with strength later yesterday should improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .125 - .250 of a discount point over yesterday's morning rates. There was no relevant economic news scheduled for today, so look for the stock markets to be the biggest influence in today's bond trading. If we see further weakness in the major stock indexes, we could see funds shift into bonds, especially with stocks at near record levels. This would lead to bond prices rising and mortgage rates to move lower as investors shy away from the volatility in stocks.The Commerce Department will post August's Factory Orders data late tomorrow morning. This manufacturing sector report is similar to last week's Durable Goods Orders release, but includes orders for non-durable goods. It can usually impact the financial markets enough to change mortgage rates if it varies from forecasts by a wide margin. Current forecasts are calling for a decline in new orders of approximately 2.8%. An unexpected ... more

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