Special offer

When Will The Market Hit Bottom?

By
Real Estate Agent with Diamond Partners Inc 00244377

It's becoming an all too familiar question.  Start talking about the economy with anybody, and the topic always turns to real estate.  Inevitably, I am asked - "when will the market hit bottom"?  Isn't this similar to a few years back?  I remember when escalating real estate sales and increasing prices had people shaking their head in amazement.  They would tell me - "the bubble is going to burst."  The media had started spreading the news of the possibility, but at the time everybody seemed skeptical - nobody really knew for sure, or when it would happen.

Fast forward to today.  Those of us who have concerns about the economy, our home vales, and if you are a real estate agent ... your livelihood - we watch TV attentively.  We can't seem to avoid paying close attention to news reports hoping for some glimmer of hope.  As a Realtor, I pay careful attention to statistics as it relates to my local market.  I am always hopeful that I might notice a trend indicating some improvement. 

But, nobody knows.  Nobody has the answer.  There is no crystal ball that can determine when the real estate market will hit bottom.  Even the national so-called experts have no clue.   

Every day, real estate analysts are interviewed on TV.  They give opinions, they have their own predictions about the market - but they can't pinpoint WHEN the market will hit bottom.  

A good investment always requires a gut feeling.  Whether investing and selling off stocks, or purchasing and selling real estate - the key is timing. 

Buy high and sell low. 

But how do we ever really know when we have arrived at the low or high?  We don't.

Nobody knew WHEN the bubble would burst.  It was interesting at the time, how sellers just didn't believe it and refused to price their homes according to signs of a shifting market.  Now, the opposite has happened.  As values have declined significantly buyers are still waiting for even better bargains, disregarding the so-called experts being interviewed on TV who have begun hinting that NOW is really good time to buy. 

As homeowners worry about their real estate investments and buyers continue to question their decisions to purchase now, they wonder "when will the market hit bottom."  And, when I am asked this question I remind people of the real estate bubble that burst - and how nobody knew back then WHEN the market would peak ..and there is no way of knowing NOW - when we will hit bottom.   

By the time we know this, the market will already have shifted again and many of today's bargains will already have been snapped up.  There are buyers who will face disappointment because they didn't act sooner.  It will be much like the disappointment felt by recent and current sellers who have had to take huge losses over the last few years because they waited to make a decision about selling or simply did not price their homes competitively based on a shifting market.       

So, has there been a voice in your head calling out to you to act NOW?  Does your instinct tell you that NOW is the time?

A good investment is based on instinct.  So, if your instinct is telling you to buy, if the experts being interviewed on TV are saying that NOW is a good time to buy, if you are noticing some really great bargains, if you are enticed by low interest rates - then, what are you waiting for?  With all these positive signs, how can somebody not feel somewhat sure?  Can it get even better than this?  Maybe.  But, what if it doesn't. 

                 

Posted by

_____________________________________________________________________________

Carol Culkin - REECENICHOLS REAL ESTATE

Carol Culkin - Licensed Real Estate Salesperson for ReeceNichols Real Estate, is your source for real estate in Overland Park and the bordering cities of Leawood, Olathe, Mission, Miriam, Lenexa and Shawnee, Stillwell and Spring Hill. Carol has been ranked as an award winning agent and offers her clients over 10 years of real estate experience.

PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATIONS, DESIGNATIONS AND COMMUNITY INVOLVEMENT:

Member of National Associations of Realtors®, Member of Kansas Associations of Realtors®, Member of Kansas City Regional Associations of Realtors®, Member of Heartland Multiple Listing Services, Accredited Buyer's Representative (ABR), Seniors Real Estate Specialist (SRES), Red Cross Volunteer - Greater Kansas City Chapter, Supportor of Cross-Lines Community Outreach.

 
 

ReeceNichols Real Estate

8001 College Blvd Suiite 100

Overland Park, KS 66210

Office: (913) 451-4415
Cell: (913) 333-8310
   
 http://www.overlandparkhomelocator.com/  
 

                                 

 

Comments(11)

Steve Shatsky
Dallas, TX

Hi Carol... you hit the nail squarely on the head... the only way to know that you have hit bottom is when you are already on the bounce-back upswing... and by then it is too late.  Buyers should take advantage of the market when the math and finances make sense for them because when you get close enough to the bottom, any slight further erosion that may occur will more than likely be erased when the upswing starts.  Great post!

Mar 27, 2009 04:53 AM
Lou Ludwig
Ludwig & Associates - Boca Raton, FL
Designations Earned CRB, CRS, CIPS, GRI, SRES, TRC

Hi Carol

Your post is very timely with on the money insight, there is not crystal ball, but this is an excellent time to buy.

Good luck and success

Lou Ludwig

Mar 27, 2009 04:55 AM
Goodbye Active Rain
Out of Real Estate

This is a topic so over talked about.  There is no answer for it.  People just need to suck up and buy!

Mar 27, 2009 04:57 AM
Bill Gillhespy
16 Sunview Blvd - Fort Myers Beach, FL
Fort Myers Beach Realtor, Fort Myers Beach Agent - Homes & Condos

Hi Carol,  Here in our little piece of paradise we are seeing a significant increase in traffic, buyers and contracts.

Mar 27, 2009 05:12 AM
Konnie Mac McCarthy
MacNificent Properties, LLC - Cobb Island, MD
Broker/Owner - VA & MD "Time To Get A Move On!"

I have a client, bless his little heart, who I think has been trying to "time" the market...he has literally been getting listings for 2 years.....now things in his price range are starting to go over asking..and multiple offers....and this is a great example of waiting too long :)

Mar 27, 2009 05:17 AM
TIM MONCRIEF
Tim Monciref - Austin, TX
Over 2,000 homes sold…..

You would think think that a flag would pop up for buyers that if investors are buying like crazy....that....just maybe....we are towards the bottom. 

Just as it is when people are flipping homes left and right.....don't you think we just maybe may be at the top of the market.

Mar 27, 2009 05:45 AM
Carol Culkin
Diamond Partners Inc - Overland Park, KS
Overland Park Residential Real Estate

Steve - And, this may vary well BE the bounce-back upswing!

Lou - Sure is a good time to buy....not a great time to sell, I'm afraid.

Tom- It is over talked about, but I am always glad to talk to my sphere!

Bill - That's what I hear about the Florida market.  Youd' be a fool not to recognize a value there now!

Konnie - Don't you wonder if people like that will ever get serious?

Tim - And, it looks like flippers are buying!

 

Mar 27, 2009 06:09 AM
Gary Woltal
Keller Williams Realty - Flower Mound, TX
Assoc. Broker Realtor SFR Dallas Ft. Worth

Carol, one key indicator of a turnaround in the job market is when the hiring of temporary workers goes up. I'm thinking it could also indicate about the same time housing going back up. Hard to tell for sure, like you said, no one knows for certain.

Mar 27, 2009 06:21 AM
Steven L. Smith
King of the House Home Inspection, Inc. - Bellingham, WA
Bellingham WA Home Inspector

Carol,

This is all too confusing. This week a number of people are talking as if the upswing has started. A few days ago I would have said no way. Now the phone has started ringing so I am confused.

Mar 27, 2009 07:41 AM
Patricia Kennedy
RLAH@properties - Washington, DC
Home in the Capital

Carol, I'm waiting to find a crystal ball that really does work. 

Mar 27, 2009 03:02 PM
Jennifer Fivelsdal
JFIVE Home Realty LLC | 845-758-6842|162 Deer Run Rd Red Hook NY 12571 - Rhinebeck, NY
Mid Hudson Valley real estate connection

Carol - Timing the market is a difficult task.  The best advice is that there are many buying opportunities now; and mortgage rates are low so don't miss the boat.

Mar 28, 2009 04:06 PM