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With a 23% Gain in the market, RATES should go up.....RIGHT???

By
Real Estate Agent with Tim Monciref 0374754

The Dow has improved 23% since March 11th

Even though the Fed continues to make large investments in mortgage backed securities, this is acting as a ceiling and not a floor. The bonds being purchased by the Fed are keeping rates where they are and not a dime is being spent to buy lower coupons. 

The chatter has changed and rates actually increased slightly this week…….The 30 year conventional today is 4.875% with no points and 4.625% with one point.

So the gamble is do we think that the stock market will stabilize over the coming weeks......go up......or go back down.  If the latter is NOT the case, then odds are very high that we will actually see slight rate hikes, rather than rate reductions as has been marketed in the media.

Personally I would love to see rates bump up as that would increase optimism and kick people off the fence.  I know that statement does not go well with those in the very low price market; but, 

I more concern at higher valued homes moving across the US at this time in our economy.  I guess time will tell.........

To learn more about news impacting interest rates and mortgage markets, go to www.mbsquoteline.com

And your thoughts...........?

Matt Heisler
Heisler & Mattson Properties - Southborough, MA
Real Estate & Investor Services

I think the Fed won't move rates until California Real Estate has bounced off the bottom, and/or unemployment begins to improve.  There will be shifts in sentiment, but no real movement until the main pistons of the economy are in first gear.

Apr 04, 2009 01:23 PM
Phyllis Brookshire
Allen Tate Realtors - Raleigh, NC
Allen Tate Realtors

I think what we do know is that the past 5 times that interest rates have fallen below 5.5%, the trend after that level was a steady increase in rates.  Since rates were pushed down by the Fed this time, once the Fed's attention is shifted elsewhere and/or the market continues to improve, rates will naturally rise again. 

Apr 05, 2009 09:37 AM
Linda Greco Rich, ABR, SRES
Exit Preferred Realty - Bel Air, MD
Harford County Specialist

Only time will tell. I look forward to a stable market! A lot of 401Ks have been hit hard!

Apr 05, 2009 09:48 AM
Lara O'Keefe
North Texas Home Finders - McKinney, TX

Tim, I agree that the housing markets in California, Las Vegas, and Florida have to stabilize before we see a significant increase in rates.

Apr 05, 2009 10:42 AM
Mark Hall
Realty One Group Cascadia - Vancouver, WA
Homes for Sale Vancouver Washington

I have heard rumors that rates may actually drop more. That is frightening to me. How long can we try to print more money to buy ourselves out of this mess?

Apr 08, 2009 11:25 AM