I got a lot of feedback the last time I posted about how economists really have no idea what they are talking about. I have been saying for years that mortgage rates have very little effect on the housing market. I have said that expectation of future appreciation and eligibilty have much larger effects on people's decision whether to buy or not. Every economist disagrees with me.
What is going on right now is proving me right.Right now, rates are at all time lows and the housing market is still in the toilet. The rates can go below 3 percent and it would not make much of a difference. If people felt that we are at the bottom OR if eligibilty grew significantly, the housing market (and the overall economy) would start to rebound almost immediately.
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