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By
Real Estate Agent with Coldwell Banker Walter Williams Realty
This holiday shortened week brings us the release of seven important economic reports or news releases. Four of the seven are considered to be of high importance to the bond market and mortgage pricing. The financial and mortgage markets are closed tomorrow in observance of the Memorial Day holiday and will reopen Tuesday morning.

The Conference Board will start the week's releases by posting their Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) at 10:00 AM Tuesday. This is a very important release that measures consumer willingness to spend. If the index rises, it indicates that consumers feel better about their personal financial situations and are more apt to make large purchases. If confidence is sliding, analysts think consumer spending may slow in the near future. The latter is good news for the bond market because it should ease concerns about inflationary pressures, making bonds more attractive to investors. This should boost bond prices and push mortgage rates lower Tuesday morning. It is expected to show a reading of 104.5 after April's 104.0 reading.

There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release Wednesday, but we will get to see the minutes from the last FOMC meeting. Market participants will be looking for how Fed members voted during the last meeting and any comments about inflation concerns in the economy. The goal is to form a guess about what the Fed's next move will be. The minutes will be released at 2:00 PM ET, so if there is a market reaction to them it will be evident during afternoon trading.

The first of two revisions to the 1st quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be released at 8:30 AM Thursday. The second revision to this report comes next month but isn't expected to have much of an impact on the financial markets. The GDP is the sum of all goods and services produced in the U.S. and is considered to be the best indicator of economic growth. Last month's preliminary reading revealed a 1.3% annual rate of growth, which was much lower than expected and the weakest reading since 2003. Analysts expect a further downward revision to this reading with the consensus being .7%. If true, we may see the bond market react positively and mortgage rates improve.

Friday brings us the release of four pieces of data, including two of the weeks' most important. The first is April's Personal Income and Outlays data at 8:30 AM. This report gives us an indication of consumer ability to spend and current spending habits. An increase in income means that consumers have more money available to spend. Since consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy, this data can cause movement in the financial markets and mortgage rates. Current forecasts are showing a 0.4% rise in income and a 0.4% increase in spending.  http://www.firerealtor.com