Special offer

Notice anything different?

By
Real Estate Agent with www.DFWAreaRealtors.com - Action Realty Group

I remember several months ago there were many posts dealing with the housing market asking "are we

 there yet?" meaning have we hit bottom and are we about to start seeing a turnaround and improvement

 in our lively-hood?  Recalling many posts there seemed to be optimism that the bottom was upon us and

 better times were right around the corner.  Well, I think for most of us we were wrong and the down turn

 has lasted much longer than we expected.  For me it has thats for sure!  I thought by spring things would

 start looking up - noticeably.  It hasn't happened.  There are many reasons why.  In fact there have been

 hotly debated posts about the "why" that many of us have enjoyed participating in.  I'm not here to open

 that can of worms now, but I am here to ask - are you noticing anything different yet?  Personally I am

 noticing some changes.  I'm seeing homes selling in 30 days that are the nicest choices in a particular

 price point.  We have placed offers on fresh listings and end up in multiple offer situations - several times

 in the last month!  I hear today that housing starts went up in June, 11% up from May - the largest

 increase since December of 2000!!!  Metrotex assoc of Realtors says the average # of days on the

 market in the Dallas area is 77 days!  This could be indicating an under supply situation!!!  This

 could/should affect buyers optimism and bring more out to buy.  We are busier right now than we have

 been since 2006!  I guess my big question for everyone is - how long will this last?  Is this 'surge' simply

 a result of the $8000 tax credit and will evaporate when the credit does?  Most of our buyers are first

 timers - looking to cash in on the credit but we do have a couple of other 'investor' type buyers looking for

 great deals.  I'd like to think things are looking up but I'm not so sure yet. 

What are you seeing?

Ann Heitland
Retired from RE/MAX Peak Properties - Flagstaff, AZ
Retired from Flagstaff Real Estate Sales

Watch the employment numbers. When they improve, housing will improve. It's a while yet.

Jul 27, 2009 04:31 PM
Matt Grohe
RE/MAX Concepts - Des Moines, IA
Serving the metro since 2003

Brian and Marie: I've noticed lots more activity here in Des Moines, IA. Prices are still faling but unit sales are on par with last year. I've got more people I'm working with. Best to you in Frisco!

Jul 27, 2009 04:34 PM
Lynda Eisenmann
Preferred Home Brokers - Brea, CA
Broker Associate ,CRS,GRI,SRES, Brea,CA, Orange Co

Hi Brian and Marie,

In a nutshell, the answer is YES is many ways.

IMHO, as for unemployment, I think that will most likely lag a year or two behind the initial recovery begins. I see it more of an issue of confidence with the other 88% (or so) of those working.  We are DEFINITELY seeing a difference in my area of So Cal, top many multiple offers not to see the turn.

We see it every and single day in our office!

Jul 27, 2009 04:39 PM
Brian Brumpton
Keller Williams Boise - Boise, ID
Boise Idaho Real Estate

There is definitely some more activity in our area.  It is in certain price points mostly 150K and below.  But a great home priced right for the market will always sell. 

Jul 27, 2009 04:40 PM
Wendy Hooper
First Team Estates - Corona del Mar, CA

Hi Brian and Marie,

We live very close to "La La Land" and are seeing some pretty inexplicable things here in Orange County CA.  For example, we have an incredibly credit worthy buyer who wrote 42 offers (many above asking price) before getting into escrow for a detached home priced at $450,000.  That's how hot the entry level market has become here.  Cash buyers were eating his lunch.

We're a very different market from yours in that we're coastal and there are buyers from literally all over the world looking for a "deal" here.  Apparently they're finding them.  The average market time for Orange County was 2.69 months as of 7/23/09.  For detached homes priced $250,000 - $500,000 that time was reduced to 1.12 months.  The luxury coastal homes ($2mm+) are languishing with 10-24 month market times.  Although foreclosure (REO) sales are selling within an average of .54 months (16.2 days) and other distress sales (usually short sales) are opening escrow within an average of 2.01 months.

Try explaining that to a buyer...

I agree with Ann, that employment reports are likely to govern our futures.  That and the recent moratorium on foreclosures appears to have created an artificial reduction in our inventory levels. Let's see what happens come September.

Jul 27, 2009 04:54 PM
Liz Schomers
Pleasant Ridge, MI

Activity is increasing and inventory is decreasing.  Inventory of homes $250 to $400K is getting pretty slim in my market area.  A year ago, a buyer could expect to see a list of 30-40 homes in the 300-375K range, today, there are maybe 5-10.

Jul 27, 2009 04:58 PM
Crystal Kilpatrick
Team Leader -Crystal Kilpatrick Group - Austin, TX
CHLMS,CNE, CRS - Austin & Central Texas Home Sales

I've noticed a big difference since February 2009.  Things have been very busy in Austin!

Jul 27, 2009 05:07 PM
Jim Hale
ACTIONAGENTS.NET - Eugene, OR
Eugene Oregon's Best Home Search Website

Here homes at the low end (below the median?) are selling well with very little inventory and firming prices despite nationally high unemployment.  But higher priced/larger homes are a half-mil a dozen.

Jul 27, 2009 05:33 PM
Brian & Marie Spray
www.DFWAreaRealtors.com - Action Realty Group - Frisco, TX
Frisco TX Realtors

Thanks everyone so far for the great feedback!  It seems I am not alone!  It will be interesting to see how long before the employment numbers start heading back down.  I think it will result in a much higher confidence level nationally as well as locally when that happens.

Brian.

Jul 28, 2009 01:01 AM
Karen Otto
Home Star Staging - Plano, TX
Plano Home Staging, Dallas Home Staging, www.homes

Brian I echo your feedback, less houses for sale on market and the "nice ones" priced right are selling! I've been busier than expected too.  Goes to show that price & condition are key!

Jul 28, 2009 03:21 AM
Brian & Marie Spray
www.DFWAreaRealtors.com - Action Realty Group - Frisco, TX
Frisco TX Realtors

Karen - you're exactly right!  Price and condition are the keys to getting sold!!!

Jul 28, 2009 03:58 AM
John Cannata
214-728-0449 http://TexasLoanGuy.com - Frisco, TX
Texas Home Mortgage - Purchase or Refinance

Brian & Marie - Hopefully its not JUST the tax credit. Perhaps this is a good sign that are market will be changing directions.

Aug 02, 2009 02:21 PM