September 2009 Tiburon Real Estate Market Update

By
Real Estate Agent with Decker Bullock Sothebys Realty #01355045

According to the Census: the population of Tiburon CA is 8,666 with 3,906 total housing units, 2.3 people per house, and a mean income of $202,100.

  •  Estimated average 2009 household income for Tiburon is $272,000
  •  ‘09 incomes imply Tiburon can support average home prices near $2m
  •  Current prices are hovering at $2m
  •  Our fair value estimate for average home prices is $2.3m
  •  2004-2009 historical prices average $2.35m

Similar to Belvedere CA Real Estate, some high-end home sales in Tiburon are made by folkswhose current income is not key to their current homeownership, and historically has skewed prices higher than income affordability would suggest. Similar to the rest of Marin-the lack of high-end sales is dragging average prices down in Tiburon. The lower end of the market is a bit stronger-specifically $800k-$1.3m is warm right now with 23% of inventory in contract. Last, it is not clear that average prices in Tiburon will return to levels seen in the past unless the capital markets enable continued liquidity events for the Tiburon buyer pool, and taxes, income and demand remain in relative proximity to current levels.

Please refer to my website for more robust reporting www.thedupontgroup.net .

2009 Home Sales $1.850m +

Address Sale Price sq ft  $/sqft Days on Mkt
11 Turtle Rock Court $1,900,000 4324 439.41 132
7 Acela Drive $1,900,000 3300 575.76 161
32 Via San Fernando $1,920,000 3476 552.36 65
2420 Spanish Trail Road $1,920,700 2512 764.61 67
105 Geldert Drive $1,975,000 3323 594.34 83
55 Trinidad Drive $2,000,000 2588 772.8 72
675 Hawthorne Drive $2,100,000 2700 777.78 99
20 Upper Cecilia Way $2,140,000 3698 578.69 50
941 Owlswood Lane $2,175,000 3361 647.13 68
669 Hawthorne Drive $2,487,500 2940 846.09 338
7 Acela Drive $2,575,000 3300 780.3 8
23 Old Landing Road $2,750,000 3980 690.95 20
333 Blackfield Drive $2,775,000 4521 613.8 42
6 Mariposa Court $3,020,000 4359 692.82 24
59 Trinidad Drive $3,112,500 3550 876.76 83
2311 Spanish Trail Road $3,328,988 4465 745.57 142
193 Gilmartin Drive $5,375,000 6566 818.61 344
140 Antonette Drive $7,500,000 7123 1,052.93 115
3 Rolling Hills Road $9,000,000 7475 1,204.01 312
Averages $3,155,510  4,082.16 738.14 135

Posted by David DuPont 415-867-6611

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