The American Banker reports Postponing the Day of Reckoning
Pick up just about any city's newspaper or turn on any news show, and if the topic is real estate, the banking industry is likely being lambasted for foreclosing on troubled homeowners.
But industry data and anecdotal evidence suggest banks and servicers have been dragging out the process - not rushing to kick people out of their homes.
Granted, the deferrals may not be motivated by compassion, or even political pressure. Rather, banks and mortgage investors want to avoid repossessing hundreds of thousands of homes, which would produce losses and hits to capital.
"The goal is to hold off on foreclosures and take losses as slowly as possible to keep balance sheets up," said Deborah Voelz, the chief financial officer of National Asset Direct Inc., a New York buyer and servicer of distressed loans. "Everyone is looking at what the ultimate loss is going to be and whether it makes sense to hold off another year or two and mitigate the results."
The foreclosure process - and it is a process - now takes, on average, 18 months to two years, up from 15 months a year ago, according to Amherst Securities Group LP. Backlogs in county courts and at servicing companies, along with local government moratoriums, have contributed to the delays. But plenty of signs indicate that the mortgage companies themselves are in no hurry to seize their collateral.
...
Tom Booker, a senior vice president in the default information unit at First American Corp. in Santa Ana, Calif., concurred. "There are borrowers who are six or eight months in default; they may have exhausted their workout options; but they're put on a forbearance plan because it's an interim to a final resolution, which is foreclosure," he said. "Banks don't want to take the losses now."
Deferring foreclosures could have bottom-line benefits, experts say. With fewer foreclosed properties hitting the market, housing prices have rebounded slightly. Moreover, properties might recover more of their value later on, so by waiting, banks may be able to cut their ultimate losses.
"Everybody is waiting to see what the market is going to do from a property price perspective," Voelz said. "At some point, they have to liquidate these assets."
How banks account for delinquent mortgages is the subject of ongoing debate among regulators, bankers and auditors.
Darrell Duffie, a finance professor at Stanford University's Graduate School of Business, said accounting rules give banks plenty of leeway to determine when to take losses.
"Banks are believed to be carrying a lot of loans at accounting levels well above their true market value," he said. "But once a property goes into foreclosure, their options have disappeared."
The foreclosure dam will never burst if the banks make more money by not foreclosing. This isn't political pressure from the White House. This is accounting smoke and mirrors. The result will be a decade of slow bleed. Regardless of how long it takes, no real economic recovery can begin until all of the foreclosures that should happen do.
This post first appeared on HousingStorm.com
Comments(2)