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Oh Here We Go Again

By
Real Estate Agent with Douglas Elliman Real Estate 516-457-7103

The sky is falling, or so the pundits are predicting yet again as they come out with their latest statistics.  I had  the tv on earlier in the day as background to the many little things I was trying to get done.  On the news they had a tease before heading to commercial.  It said simply, "real estate in two counties in New York will suffer the steepest downturn in prices."  As I waited to hear more, they added finally after the break, "Nassau & Suffolk counties will experience the steepest declines," and suggested the bloodletting would not end before January 2008.

This is my market.  I function in it every day and while it is true that homes are selling far beneath their all time highs of over a year ago, there is no panic in these streets.  It's an orderly return to a more balanced market, which was long overdue.  Buyers are out there, not in droves, but in numbers sufficient to keep this economy moving.  Part of the problem here is the number of agents who have no frame of reference for a down market.  Anyone who got into this industry in the last seven or eight years is on a learning curve to see how to play the game and win in these changing times.

Sellers have had to adjust to the new math as well.  No longer are homes entered into the MLS (if at all) only to sell before the ink dries on the paperwork.  Nor does a single ad in the newspaper engender anything more than a lower balance in your checking account these days as the number of homes swell and help fill the coffers of the likes of Newsday and The Times.   Owners have to understand the dynamics of this market to come out ahead.  They have to price aggressively and above all listen to the professionals they hire to get their homes sold.  Aside from that, it's business as usual.

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Geri Sonkin - Long Island Real Estate Expert - Stager/Decorator  516 425-6098

Joe Keyes
Team One - Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage - Hill AFB, UT

This is a good example of why the public counts on (or should count on) real estate professionals.

Don’t you just wish you could say that on the news yourself?

I think the media likes to see if they can create hysteria. I wonder if they think that good news is boring.

Oct 05, 2006 12:25 PM
Colleen Irwin
Retired - Irondequoit, NY
Creative Real Estate Solutions...

Just another example that the media is approximately a year behind the times....   We have seen the same adjustment and reality is setting in here...

 

 

Oct 05, 2006 12:27 PM
Glenn Ginsburg
A Delta Realty of Naples Florida - Naples, FL
Naples Florida Real Estate
Hi Geri - good to see you here and hope all is well with you.  From my recollection about Long Island real estate has been an area where the prices seem to be over the long haul an increasing matter.
Oct 06, 2006 12:52 AM
Gena Riede
Riede Real Estate, Lic. 01310792 - Sacramento, CA
Real Estate Broker - Sacramento CA Real Estate (916) 417-2699

I too, feel the same. It seems as though the media would like a panic and are playing into it. Although, I must say, like you I was listening to the news the other night regarding the Moody study, which I blogged about and the commentator was trying desperately to turn the interview with Dr. Chen into a positive with saying "then it's a good time for the Buyers" at which point Dr. Chen said, "no, they should wait!"

Nationwide it was said that there would be stabilization in 2007 except for CA which would take until 2008. One factor that they can't predict is emotion and that's what I will continue to rely on.

Oct 06, 2006 03:06 AM
Tony and Suzanne Marriott, Associate Brokers
Serving the Greater Phoenix and Scottsdale Metropolitan Area - Scottsdale, AZ
Coldwell Banker Realty
Sort of like the XBox 360 on EBay when it first came out - some people were paying $1200 or more for a $500 item just because they wanted it "now".  Once that distorted demand goes away, prices return to normal.
Oct 06, 2006 03:45 AM
Tracy Thompson
Rite-Way Realty - Phoenix, AZ
We are facing the same challenge in Phoenix. One day the headlines read the market is stable, the next day is all doom and gloom. I'm constantly armed with market statistics in an attempt to add sanity to all the confusion.
Oct 06, 2006 11:32 AM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert
The news media loves to feed off the negative, even if they have to twist and hype it, and what better hype than the sky is falling, or in this case real estate.
Oct 07, 2006 03:35 PM
Ginger S
Wilkinson & Associates, Wilmington NC - Wilmington, NC
Wilmington NC Real Estate & Relocation~
What irks me is they never mention the markets that are still hot.. North Carolina being on that short list!
Oct 14, 2006 03:26 AM