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Signs Show Shadow Inventory Of Homes Is Growing

By
Real Estate Agent with Joe Manausa Real Estate 8508880888

 

Shadow Inventory Of HomesYesterday, I received a great comment by a Destin, FL REALTOR® who pointed out that the shadow inventory of homes has many more components than just the defaulted mortgage pool. His example was of homes in a new neighborhood, developed in 2005, where all of the home owners are now upside-down on their mortgages.

As he explained in his comment on the Tallahassee real estate blog, Jim noted

Until that whole neighborhood turns over, it is going to have downward pricing pressure. We are talking about hundred of homes within a small radius.

So what this means, in a nutshell, is many homeowners in these types of neighborhoods become part of the growing shadow inventory because even though they might want to move, they are not in a position to sell their home.

Another Example Of The Shadow Inventory In Real Estate

I was doing some research on the Southwood neighborhood (after reading a poorly researched article) and found that there are 69 homes for sale in Southwood, just in the Tallahassee Board of REALTORS® Multiple Listing System. That doesn’t include any un-listed builder homes or “For Sale By Owners.”

As I was going through the data, I decided to look at all the homes that had been sold in the past as well, and I came across one that was on the market since December of 2005. It recently sold this year by a different real estate company for 28% less than its original list price! The reason that it caught my attention is because it showed a “time on the market” of just 1 day! How could this be …?

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[click here to discover the 2nd largest source of homes in the Shadow Inventory]

 

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Joe Manausa Real Estate
1934 Dellwood Drive
Tallahassee, FL 32303
(850) 366-8917

Comments(8)

Edward & Celia Maddox
The Celtic Connection Realty - Queen Creek, AZ
EXPERIENCE & INTEGRITY - WE TAKE THE HIGH ROAD

Happy Thanksgiving from Ed and Celia of The Celtic Connection Realty Team.

Nov 26, 2009 02:37 AM
Joe Manausa - Tallahassee, FL
Joe Manausa Real Estate - Tallahassee, FL
Tallahassee Real Estate

Happy Thanksgiving to you (both) as well!

Nov 26, 2009 02:40 AM
John Thomas
E3 Green HOMES - Boulder, CO
EcoBroker, MSEE, MBA

Interesting concept...I wonder how it will play out. There are definitely leading and lagging factors that impact the economics...it is just hard to objectively attribute one particular factor to any given outcome. Somethings may correlate more clearly than others.

Nov 26, 2009 06:15 AM
Gerry Michaels
Glasswork Media Arts - Gettysburg, PA
GettysburgGerry Social Meida

This is such a difficult market to forecast, I don't know which way things are going to go, I can only keep plugging and hope for the best..Happy Thanksgiving

Nov 26, 2009 07:21 AM
John Occhi
AZ Veteran Notary Services - Marana, AZ
Mobile Notary Public/Certified Loan Signing Agent

Great Information on the Shadow Inventory. Your local market is lucky to have you, which drives home my point...

All Real Estate is Local and Your REALTOR Should Be Too!

Nov 26, 2009 08:54 AM
Joe Manausa - Tallahassee, FL
Joe Manausa Real Estate - Tallahassee, FL
Tallahassee Real Estate

Thanks John. I think we'll be "playing" in the shadows for many more years to come.

Nov 27, 2009 12:24 AM
Joe Manausa - Tallahassee, FL
Joe Manausa Real Estate - Tallahassee, FL
Tallahassee Real Estate

Hey Gerry ... here's my forecast. Home sales will continue to climb, while home prices will continue to decline. Home values will stabilize once the glut of homes recedes south of 6 months of supply.

Nov 27, 2009 12:25 AM
Joe Manausa - Tallahassee, FL
Joe Manausa Real Estate - Tallahassee, FL
Tallahassee Real Estate

Thank you John. We are lucky in Tallahassee that we rarely see a REALTOR from another market area have any success here. We are isolated from the larger markets by several hundred miles...almost like being on an island.

Nov 27, 2009 12:26 AM