Gig Harbor home sales follow western trend

Gig Harbor home sales follow western trend

Nationally home sales rose 21% and in the West 10% in October, compared to a year ago. Gig Harbor home sales were up slightly less--8% from 2008.

These numbers are certainly an improvement but October 2008 was a sobering sales month after the financial crises of AIG, Lehman, and others. November 2008 was even worse but this year Gig Harbor home sales are on track to beat 2008 by at least 25%.

 The median price is up in 98333 and 98335 from September, an improvement from the year-over-year figures. We are cautiously optimistic we have reached the bottom for prices for Gig Harbor home sales as we are seeing some higher price sales currently. Another month of similar figures and we might call it a trend.

Here are current trends for the three zip codes constituting Gig Harbor.

 Inventory is down across all three zip codes. Fewer homes on the market equates to upward price pressure for Gig Harbor home sales.  In zip 98335 where inventory shows the biggest decrease, the ratio for 12 months of sales compared to current inventory is 87%, but in Fox Island the ratio is 52%. This is largely explained by more higher-priced homes-view and waterfront-on the island.

 Sales are up 8% across the board for the year but down 35% from September, not surprising going into winter. The gain in 98332 represents Canterwood breaking out of the doldrums as well as homes selling for $350-400,000, including four builder's houses with multiple offers in short sale conditions.

The "sweet spot" for Gig Harbor home sales currently is pending contracts not yet closed, listed between $300-400,000 in Gig Harbor North and Arletta/Artondale. For the most part, these are 2600-2800 square foot homes built between 1992 and 1998.

In Gig Harbor, as the nation, foreclosures and other distressed homes in the lower end of the price spectrum still accounted for a large percentage of Gig Harbor home sales. This is a drag on the median price which is down about 38% from the 2005 peak in the West but up 8% from the bottom last spring.

 Buyers, waiting for the bottom, should consider ramping up their home search, as the inventory of certain price range homes is very slim locally. With the expanded $6500 credit incentive for existing homeowners who have lived in their home for at least five years, and interest rates under 5%, the time to buy could be NOW.

Carole Holmaas is an Associate Broker at Windermere Real Estate, licensed since 1967. She may be reached at 253.549.6611 or Carole@ISellGigHarbor.com. Her blog is posted at http://blog.ISellGigHarbor.com.