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Ghost Inventory - What are you doing to prepare for this potential flood or do you believe it's all hype?

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with RE/MAX Heritage
It's estimated that there is over 7 Million in Ghost Inventory that is predicted to soon become the next Real Estate Tsunami. Does this Ghost Inventory really exist? What's causing it? Is it due to failed modifications, lack of trained personnel resources, moratoriums? Are banks, attorney's and Real Estate agents prepared? We are hearing so much about all this "Ghost Inventory" I am beginning to wonder. Is it really going to be the nex Tsunami in real estate? It seems like there are numerous empty homes everywhere you look. Yet, a little deed research shows they haven't been issued an NOD. Sooner or later the banks will catch up on these properties but will this inventory flood the market or trickle in. I for one hope it trickles in reducing the possibility of another major decrease in values. Some reports state that this "Ghost Inventory" exceeds 7 Million properties. That's a large figure to ignore. With all the focus on health care, real estate seems to have taken a back seat lately. What are the banks and the federal government doing to prevent these non performing assets from becoming the next Tsunami? Are there any regulations or guidelines being developed? Do banks have a plan to handle these properties? Do attorney's have the resources to handle this flood? Are agents prepared? What are you doing to prepare for this potential flood or do you believe it's all hype?
Colleen Fischesser Northwest Property Shop
NextHome Experience - Chelan, WA
A Tradition of Trust in the Pacific NW since 1990!

Many agents in my office are preparing by getting more educated on the short sale process in order to help many of these owners avoid foreclosure altogether. I personally think the foreclosure inventory will hit but may be offset by lenders becoming more amenable to the short sale transaction.

Dec 21, 2009 02:45 AM
eddy payne
Dallas, TX

My office has been told to expect a flood in January. All of the failed mod's (and recently completed mod's that are defaulting again) are going to start flooding in, according to my contact at Fannie Mae. I hope so, because my REO volume is 10% of what it was 18 months ago.

Short sales are not going to help stop the tide, because most people in my area don't qualify, since our values have not dropped that much. NOD's in my area are up 78% from last year, and most are multiple filings (average is 4 months).

I doubt there is a "ghost" inventory, but the delinquency level for prime loans is at historic highs, and looks more like the sub-prime default rate from before the crash. I don't think the banks can keep delaying the foreclosures too much longer, because the investors are going to want to start getting some money in from the liquidation of the defaulted loans.

Dec 22, 2009 08:50 AM
Julie A. Black
KAUAI DREAMS REALTY Kauai Real Property Specialist - Kapaa, HI
CLHMS, CRS, GRI, Realtor, Broker

I don't think there is any ghost inventory in my area, and the incoming inventory stopped this December but I am expecting to see it pick up in January.

Dec 26, 2009 03:50 PM
Heather the Realtor Orlando, Lake Mary
LemonTree Realty - Orlando, FL
First Time Home Buyers, Bank Owned Homes

It's coming but the problem seems to be the Mark to Market with most banks and I dont think that is just going to go away in January. However Im getting my systems in place and fixing the things that didnt work last year.

Jan 01, 2010 12:45 PM