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Austin Mortgage Rates. Week of 12-14-09.

By
Mortgage and Lending with United Lending

Austin Mortgage Rates. Week of 12-14-09.

Austin mortgage rates ended last week approximately where they began.  There was a slight worsening to rates on Tuesday when the Producer Price Index (PPI) was released and showed signs of inflation; luckily, Austin mortgage rates lowered to their lower levels later in the week.

While we're enjoying historically low rates for now (see Historical Rate Trend to the right), this won't last very Austin mortgage ratesmuch longer.  As I've announced in previous posts, the Fed will be ending its purchase of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) by March 31, 2010.  Why is this important? The end to this program will increase Austin mortgage rates. Why?  Well, mortgage rates have been kept artificially low this past year by the Fed's purchase of MBS.  To date, the Fed has purchased $1.087 TRILLION in MBS, leaving only $163 billion left to purchase.  This averages out to $11.5 billion of purchases a week through March 2010.  That's a lot less than even lastest week's purchase of $16 billion.  Get where I'm going with this?

If you're looking to buy or refinance, NOW is the time to get moving as Austin mortgage rates won't stay this low for long!  Contact me if you'd like a rate quote, or need a referral to an Austin real estate agent.

OK, now that we got the bad news out of the way, how about some good news?  Housing Starts and Building Permit reports for November were released last week, showing signs of improvement in the housing sector.

Austin mortgage rates

Forecast for the Week

Tuesday will be a busy day -- Existing and New Home Sales for November are due out, and so is Gross Domestic Product. If you're on the fence about locking your interest rate, keep in mind you could see some volatility on Tuesday. Wednesday's Core Personal Consumption Expenditure, and Personal Income Report are also important as they'll give us a gage on inflation.  This is especially important to watch after last week's PPI report came in higher than expected.  And why is inflation important to monitor? Well, other than the obvious affect it has on your cost of living, it also directly affects Austin mortgage ratesAs I've mentioned in previous posts, inflation is the arch-enemy of mortgage rates -- as inflation goes up, so do mortgage rates.

Remember, generally speaking, better than expected economic news causes rates to increase, and visa versa.

Interested in semi-frequent updates on Austin mortgage rates, real estate news and commentary? Contact me or Follow me on Twitter!

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Nicole Lahti is a Loan Officer in Austin, Texas. Contact Nicole at nicole@nicolelahti.com, or 512-507-8312.

Austin Mortgage Rates. Week of 12-14-09.

GARY DIGIORGIO -Denver- Arvada -Westminster
THE DIGIORGIO GROUP /(303) 898 - GARY (4279) - Westminster, CO
REOptions LLC
Dec 21, 2009 03:19 AM
Tom Thornton
Realty Austin - Austin, TX
Broker Associate, MBA, ABR, CRS, GREEN, GRI, SRES

Do you agree that the uptick this week will dive again in early January? That's what I've been hearing - any thoughts appreciated.

Dec 23, 2009 12:48 AM
Nicole Lahti
United Lending - Austin, TX
Austin Texas Mortgage

Hi Tom,

Lately our uptick in rates has been due in large part to signs an economic recovery is on the horizon.  However, the Fed indicated in its recent statement that inflation is under control, giving investors confidence to buy mortgage-backed securities. This statement combats the increase in rates by giving investors the green light to buy mortgage-backed securities. Sooo....to answer your question, I believe it'll continue to be bumpy ride for rates these next couple weeks. I just read a survey of nationwide LO's on Bankrate.com, and 40% believe rates will increase over the next 30 days, 33% believe rates will decrease, and 27% believe they'll stay the same; so the opinion is almost evenly split.

Although I can't give you a clear cut answer for the next couple weeks, I can say rates will increase by March 31, 2010 as that's when the Fed stops buying mortgage-backed securities (explained a little more in this post).  I keep telling agents this is HUGE news to help them sell homes sooner.  Now really is the best time to buy and sell before rates increase, and the tax credit expires.

Hope this helps! Thanks for stopping by!

Dec 23, 2009 02:29 AM