Everybody is discouraged by the drop in home prices over the last 3-4 years, especially people who want to "move-up" to a larger home.
Our statistics show that the median selling prices of residential homes in our 24 town area (from Branford to Waterford Connecticut) have dropped 14.1% since 2006 (as of November 2009).
So should you "move-up" now or wait for prices to re-bound to 2006 prices (the same percentage as the decline of 14.1%)?
I've estimated the results of buying now or waiting as shown in the table below:
MOVE UP NOW ? |
Current Home |
Move-UP Home |
2006 Price |
$ 300,000 |
$ 400,000 |
2009 Price (-14.1%) |
$ 257,700 |
$ 343,600 |
Purchaser Savings |
$ 42,300 |
$ 56,400 |
Net Gain for Buyer |
|
$ 14,100 |
Tax Credit |
|
$ 6,500 |
Total Net Gain |
|
$ 20,600 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
WAIT FOR HIGHER PRICES ? |
Current Home |
Move-UP |
2006 Price |
$ 300,000 |
$ 400,000 |
2009 Price (-14.1%) |
$ 257,700 |
$ 343,600 |
Future Price (14.1% Gain) |
$ 294,036 |
$ 392,048 |
Move Up Buyer Gains |
$ 36,336 |
|
Move up Buyer Pays |
|
$ 48,448 |
Net Cost for Move up Buyer |
|
$ 12,112 |
We're making several assumptions including:
1. Current home and move-up home base prices in 2006 ($300,000 and $400,000)
2. That the tax credit will only last until April of 2010 (not renewed).
3. Prices will increase 14.1% in late 2010 or 2011 (at the same percent decline since 2006)
Why is the gain so much larger by moving-up now? Any increase in home prices will be a larger dollar amount using the median price percent change AND we're assuming the government tax credit will be phased out at the end of April 2010.
So now is really a good time to "move-up" to that home you've always wanted!
In addition, you "save" a net $14,100 by purchasing a more expensive home compared to what it would have cost in 2006 PLUS the government tax credit for a total of $20,600.
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