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Dont be surprised if Mortgage Rates start CLIMBING VERY SOON !!!!!

By
Real Estate Agent with Bergen County, NJ - RE/MAX Real Estate Limited

Dont be surprised if Mortgage Rates start CLIMBING VERY SOON !!!!!

 

Today I got two emails from clients disappointed that their mortgage rates had just gone up. Their loan officers told them this morning that because they hadnt locked in a rate yet, that today their rate was up about a quarter of a point.

Now while that is not the end of the world, it's still a higher rate than they would have had a little while ago, (and almost a point higher than they could have had a few months ago).

I talked to a number of Loan Officers over the last few weeks and they all seemed to say the same thing, that rates are going to start climbing ... and likely sooner rather than later.


Unhappy Borrower's rate went up today !

 

I read an interesting explanation for this today in an email from a NJ Loan Officer, and I think it makes a lot of sense. I'm sure my reliable Mortgage officers here on ActiveRain will give their thoughts on this, but here's the basic gist of why buyers SHOULD NOT DILLY-DALLY RIGHT NOW !!!!!!

 

Apparently last week the Fed bought only $9.3B in "Mortgage-Backed Securities" - typically they have bought twice that amount in the past. With the Fed purchasing fewer Mortgage Bonds and then looking to wrap up that program entirely by the end of March 2010, any rate reductions may be small if at all !

I am led to believe that one of the main reasons that Interest Rates dropped so low in the recent past has been because the Fed has been buying up pretty much ALL the mortgage debt that was being written over the past year !! - this is mainly because there wasnt much interest from any other entities to buy it !!!

Fed Chairman Bernanke said recently that the Fed would DISCONTINUE this practise in MARCH !

... at that point, there is a good chance that rates could go UP significantly.

 

What this means TODAY is that if you know anyone who is considering buying over the next few months, it may behoove them to scooch their behind off the fence and grab the opportunity now, before rates go up, AND in case possible delays hold up their closing until after April 30th when the TAX CREDIT expires !

 

Acting now could end up saving your contact thousands of dollars !

 

Good luck and Good Bargaining out there !!!

 

 

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If you, or anyone you know is looking to buy or sell a home in Maywood, Paramus, or any town in Bergen County, give Bergen County Realtor Sheldon Neal a call for unmatched service and assistance !

Sheldon Neal ~ RE/MAX REAL ESTATE LTD.
Cell:  201-481-2891
Office: 201-599-1100
email: SheldonNeal@remax.net
website: www.SheldonNeal.com

 

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Carla Muss-Jacobs, RETIRED
RETIRED / State License is Inactive - Portland, OR

Hi Sheldon . . . I'm glad you put in the anayltical stuff . . . which I DO NOT get!  (I'm a  K.I.S.S. type)  But, some will, and that's good solid financials, in a nut shell.

 

Jan 05, 2010 04:46 AM
Sheldon Neal
Bergen County, NJ - RE/MAX Real Estate Limited - Maywood, NJ
That British Agent Bergen County NJ

Lisa - Lets hope as the year gets into swing, that people realize that if they snooze, they could lose !

Carla ! Ha ! Sorry - I was just the messenger here !!! lol

Jan 05, 2010 04:54 AM
Hannah Williams
HomeStarr Realty - Philadelphia, PA
Expertise NE Philadelphia & Bucks 215-820-3376

Sheldon..The rates are still very good...but it sure is a fantastic time to buy ..especially if you are a first time home buyer!

HelpfulHannah your friend in Philadelphia

Jan 05, 2010 06:37 AM
Anna Everts
Chicago Title Insurance Company - Gilbert, AZ

Thanks for the "heads up".  I will definitely share this info. with the agents I work with.

Jan 05, 2010 07:49 AM
Tammy Lankford,
Lane Realty Eatonton, GA Lake Sinclair, Milledgeville, 706-485-9668 - Eatonton, GA
Broker GA Lake Sinclair/Eatonton/Milledgeville

And just because I'm really curious now after thinking about this and then getting a "rate update" email from my two favorite loan officers today what is the conforming rate being quoted there now?  If you don't want to post a number here I completely understand, but I'm curious if they vary much from state to state or are uniform across the country?  Both my lenders had 5.0% available today for conforming conventional loans. (of coursed based on a certain credit score)

Jan 05, 2010 08:20 AM
Sheldon Neal
Bergen County, NJ - RE/MAX Real Estate Limited - Maywood, NJ
That British Agent Bergen County NJ

Hannah ! Yes indeedy !

Anna ! Good luck out there !

Hi There ! - I was told that with good credit it would also be right around 5 - give or take an 8th either side :o)

Jan 05, 2010 08:36 AM
Andrea Kappre
Keller Williams Hometown - Mantua, NJ
New Jersey Realtor, New Jersey MLS, Homes for Sale

Another good reason to buy!!!!  Good loan officers will track and suggest lock in, but buyers don't always take the advice of a professional do they?

Jan 05, 2010 09:52 AM
Stephen Kappre
KW Hometown - Mantua, NJ
Helping You Home

Rates have indeed been up lately, and EXPECT THEM TO CLIMB through the spring and summer, up to about 6% ? It's all about MBS.

Jan 05, 2010 09:52 AM
Sandy Shores FL Realtor®, Melbourne Real Estate
M & M Realty of Brevard Inc. - Melbourne, FL
Brevard County Real Estate, Florida's Space Coast

Hi Sheldon, Thanks for the info.  That's certainly been what we've been hearing, that rates will be heading up.  But, looking at the big picture, they are still relatively low, affording buyers a great opportunity to purchase a home.

Jan 05, 2010 10:28 AM
Sheldon Neal
Bergen County, NJ - RE/MAX Real Estate Limited - Maywood, NJ
That British Agent Bergen County NJ

Andrea ! Unfortunately not ! But many of those live in regret. I love thwe idea above to carry around an historical rate chart ... I think I'll do that :o) Cheers Andrea !

Stevie K !! - Agreed, and those who need to lock in, should call you to do it !

Well Hello Ms Sandy ! So nice to see you :o) And yes, even with a mini rise, rates are still extremely attractive :o)

Jan 05, 2010 01:59 PM
Amy Salisbury
Leading Edge Properties - Charles Town, WV
West Virginia Realtor/Jefferson/Berkeley

Hello FunnyBrit!  Indeed, if the last couple of days are any indication, the time to buy is NOW! We've been pretty busy for an "inky-dinky" real estate company (my broker's quote!) Cheers!!!

Jan 06, 2010 09:21 AM
Richard Stabile
Re/Max Real Estate Limited - Oradell, NJ
Bergen County New Homes Builder Realtor

Sheldon:

I won't be surprised at all, however the foreclosures and shorts in Bergen County are picking up a bit. Higher rates are not going to be something we will get through easy.

Richard

Jan 06, 2010 12:43 PM
Bob Basmajian
Prosperity Home Mortgage - Medford Township, NJ
Home Loans-NMLS# 557858

Sheldon..In my opinion interest rates do not sell houses, correctly priced homes and Realtors do.Interest rates are still at an all time low and will remain that way at least until the end of this year (again my opinion.) This is a great time to be in this business seize the opportunity. Best Regards,...Bob

Jan 06, 2010 01:07 PM
Sheldon Neal
Bergen County, NJ - RE/MAX Real Estate Limited - Maywood, NJ
That British Agent Bergen County NJ

Amy ! great to hear that you inky dinky guys have been active !!! Hope it continues :o) Cheers !!

Richard ! I think you are right, and I do think we'll have another year with higher f/cs - we're not outta those woods yet !

Hi Bob ! Thanks for taking time to comment - I think this is your first time stopping by my blog so thank you :o) With regards to interest rates - I certainly wasnt saying they sell the houses, my point was that those who are going to buy would prefer a rate that is half a point lower than half a point higher ! And I believe - like MANY savvy mortgage guys have posted - that April and beyond has a good chance of seeing rates go closer to 6 than 5 - so for me if I was buying this year, I might make it more of a priority to call my trusty Realtor and schedule some showings for this weekend :o) Cheers Bob ! Come by again !

Jan 06, 2010 01:40 PM
Donne Knudsen
Los Angeles & Ventura Counties in CA - Simi Valley, CA
CalState Realty Services

Sheldon - rates are already starting to tick up.  As soon as the fed stops buying mbs they will spike. 

Jan 06, 2010 04:38 PM
Debe Maxwell, CRS
Savvy + Company (704) 491-3310 - Charlotte, NC
The RIGHT CHARLOTTE REALTOR!

Hi Sheldon!  Yes, those rates are moving north!  YIKES!  I just wanted ONE more year of these rates--then the banks could start making serious money again--just give me ONE more year!  Bah-humbug!

Have a great Thursday...

Jan 06, 2010 05:26 PM
Matthew Naumann
Exit Realty Charleston Group - Goose Creek, SC
Goose Creek, SC Real Estate Agent

Sheldon,

Great Post.  Thanks for the heads up, that is not good news if the goverment is already ramping down.

Thanks for sharing,

Matt Naumann

Jan 06, 2010 11:17 PM
Sheldon Neal
Bergen County, NJ - RE/MAX Real Estate Limited - Maywood, NJ
That British Agent Bergen County NJ

Donne - I think you're right !

Debe ! ha ! We still have time !!! Lets keep the motor running !!! lol

Matthew - We'll have to see how it shakes out ! Cheers Matthew !

Jan 07, 2010 08:06 AM
John Cannata
214-728-0449 http://TexasLoanGuy.com - Frisco, TX
Texas Home Mortgage - Purchase or Refinance

Yeah, thats what happens when buyers think rates will be low forever. TOO much focus on the rate will screw you in the end. Accept what you can get NOW. We know one thing for sure... rates WILL increase when and how much we just don't know.

Jan 07, 2010 03:56 PM
Valerie Osterhoudt
Johnson Real Estate, Inc. - Cromwell, CT
ABR, Cromwell, CT Real Estate ~ 860.883.8889

Sheldon, This might sound strange to some, but I feel that having the interest rates go up (a little) might actually stimulate the market a little more.  It might make the ones that  were waiting for the "bottom to drop out" realize that it won't and this is as good as it gets.

 

Jan 07, 2010 10:06 PM