FHA Annual MIP Increase and Reduction in Seller Paid Closing Costs - A letter to congress

By
Mortgage and Lending with iLoan - NMLS ID#4474 NMLS 79048

I’m writing in opposition to two of the eight recently proposed changes by the Department of Housing and Urban Development on their single family insurance programs.  While most of the proposed changes will bolster the financial well being of the FHA, these two changes are misguided in their design and fail to fully contemplate their short term and long term consequences.   Most disconcerting is that they are antithetical to HUD’s articulated purpose and, in one instance, may jeopardize FHA’s long term health.

HUD is seeking congressional authority to raise annual mortgage insurance premiums from .55% of the loan amount per year to .85% (or .9% if the down payment is less than 5%).  This request is outlined on page 346 of the budget’s analytical perspectives.  On a median transaction[1] in Minneapolis, Minnesota, this translates to 35.64 dollars per month.  This may not seem like much but it means that if this same family were approved for this sample purchase with a sales price of $123,850 with the current premium costs, they’d lose $5,910 in purchasing power under the new premium costs.  Any reasonable person would conclude that this will apply downward pressure on home values and downward pressure on home ownership in the affordable housing sector.

Despite this compelling consequence of this change, a more severe consequence will happen if this change goes into effect.  FHA believes that “the return of conventional finance to the mortgage market would broaden both the options available to borrowers and the sources of capital to fund those options[2]” but we are a long, long way from the return of the conventional mortgage market and much uncertainty surrounds the future of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and those who would buy their mortgage backed securities after the Fed stops.  Until the future of Fannie and Freddie is safely determined and until the private mortgage backed securities market has healed, forcing the return of the conventional market by making FHA loans less affordable is nothing short of reckless.

FHA doesn’t seem to realize that changing annual premiums in this way will lead to a weaker portfolio of borrowers and this has not come up in any discussion on this matter to my knowledge.  Where interest rates are similar between FHA loans and conventional loans, mortgage insurance will be the decision making factor for consumers.  If borrowers have to pay .85% or .9% on a FHA loan in addition to an upfront premium, private market mortgage insurance will generally be cheaper[3] if the credit score of the borrower is at or over 700.  Consequently, the bulk of loans that require mortgage insurance with superior borrower profiles will be placed in the private sector while those with weaker borrower profiles will be placed with FHA.  This will lead to greater long term risk exposure for FHA.  Ironically, this step to shore up FHA’s capital base will ultimately weaken it.

HUD seeks to decrease the amount of seller concessions from 6 to 3 percent.   HUD states that “the current level exposes the FHA to excess risk by creating incentives to inflate appraised value. This change will bring FHA into conformity with industry standards on seller concessions.”  If the concern is to see appraisals are unbiased and of high quality, FHA has already addressed this in lending procedure modifications outlined in Mortgagee Letters 09-28 and 09-36 (to name a few). Similar changes have been made under HVCC[4] for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans to eliminate inflated appraised values.  HUD hasn’t even let these changes play out to prove their effectiveness in eradicating inflated appraised values. 

 As for FHA being in “conformity with industry standards on seller concessions,” it’s not HUD’s place to conform to industry standards.  In April 6th of 2006, former Assistant Secretary of Housing Brian Montgomery characterized HUD’s purpose this way, “FHA was created in 1934 to serve as an innovator in the mortgage market, to meet the needs of citizens otherwise under served by the private sector, to stabilize local and regional housing markets, and to support the national economy.”  Conforming to industry standards with respect to seller concessions is not innovative, doesn’t meet the needs of citizens under served by the private sector (since there practically isn’t one), will have a destabilizing influence on the local and regional markets and won’t support that national economy.

Lastly, this is the most regressive guideline change I’ve ever seen.  This change will likely have no impact for purchases in the high 200,000 dollar range but for purchases near the median home price in Minneapolis, MN, it has devastating consequences for hopeful home buyers.  In the previously referenced median transaction, this change would increase the down payment by approximately $2744.  This represents a substantial amount of savings for a family making the median income of $37,974.

Most of the FHA claims have been due to defaults on transactions where there was seller paid down payment assistance or where the minimum down payment required was 2.25% of the sales price.  For some time now, seller paid down payment assistance has not been permissible and the down payment requirement has been 3.5%.  The FHA has not released statistical data tracking on the loan performance for loans funded under the new, tighter guidelines.  I think you’ll find that loans subject to the guidelines that have been used in the last year are performing much better and will only get better with the 6 positive changes the FHA is implementing.  With an encouraging trend line in loan performance and with recent news of FHA’s reserve fund improving slightly[5], reducing allowable seller concessions and increasing annual mortgage insurance premiums are not amongst the necessary changes to address risk and in fact, may add to it.

I encourage you to use your office to oppose these changes.

Regards,

Charles Dailey



[1] Median home price is 123,850 as of November 2009 per S&;P’s Case Schiller Home Price index.  This represents the purchase price.  The base loan amount is $119,515 established off of a 3.5% down payment.  The median income was $37,974 as of the 2000 census.  Monthly taxes of 194 and homeowners insurance of 75 dollars per month are used.

[5] February 5th, 2010  edition of Mortgage Servicing News

Posted by

Charles Dailey - Branch Manager, Loan Officer, Certified Military Housing Specialist - iLoan - NMLS ID# 79048 -  612.234.7283 - charles@charlesdailey.com


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Comments (20)

Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Well stated analysis.  However, I am still of the opinion that the "fix" to the FHA insurance fund is actuarial based and the Draconian remedies will cause severe harm to the housing industry across the board. 

A year or so has been lost while FHA brain trust developed a list of punitive measures to future home owners to cover their own negligence and probably fiduciary to protect the solvency of the insurance fund.

 

Feb 08, 2010 09:28 PM
Loreena and Michael Yeo
3:16 team REALTY ~ Locally-owned Prosper TX Real Estate Co. - Prosper, TX
Real Estate Agents

Would you say that this is caused by the cost of MBS? Someone's got to pay for it. There is no free lunch.

Feb 08, 2010 09:45 PM
Tony Grego, 317-663-4173 #1 Trade Association for Alternative Inv
REISA - 317-663-4173 - Indianapolis, IN

I'm just of the understanding that despite letters and pleas these are laws that have passed and it will be what it will be. 

FHA is becoming the tools for high ltv and credit score buyers and refi

Tony

Feb 08, 2010 09:46 PM
Barbara Kornegay
REMAX Essential - Wilmington, NC
Wilmington NC Real Estate, Homes

Very interesting.... I am sure they are trying to fly under the radar on this one yet again... 

Feb 08, 2010 10:29 PM
Chuck Carstensen
RE/MAX Results - Elk River, MN
Minnesota/Wisconsin Real Estate Expert

I am in agreement with you.  I dont mind wiping out the 6% number and taking it down to say 4.5% max but 3% does not work in the lower price range.

Feb 09, 2010 12:32 AM
Stephen Kappre
KW Hometown - Mantua, NJ
Helping You Home

Sooo many things to talk about here. I very rarely use the full 6%, except on a very low purchase price, in which case the risk is much less and the issue of blowing an appraisal out is far less likely.

Also I would think that FHA already has the bulk of "less qualified" borrowers since conventional loans are so conservative. I don't think the raise in MIP is good for anoyone, BUT if FHA is a business like any other, than they would be interested in "earning" their fair share due to the risks they allow.

It's just a fine mess we've gotten (ourselves) into, Stanley.

Feb 09, 2010 12:40 AM
Joe Pryor
The Virtual Real Estate Team - Oklahoma City, OK
REALTOR® - Oklahoma Investment Properties

FHA did this in the 1990's becasue of the depletion of the fund. People started to turn to conventional mortgages after that. The fund was replenished, but FHA lost an important market share. I am not saying that this lead to subprime, but i would like to see someone analyze the timeline to see if and how it might have contributed.

Feb 09, 2010 01:08 AM
Michael J. Perry
KW Elite - Lancaster, PA
Lancaster, PA Relo Specialist

From 2002 to early 2007 FHA did not have much of a market share ! They were forced to lessen their requirements ! If you were around back then , you know alot of the 80/20 loans written are much more problematic than FHA.

Feb 09, 2010 02:53 AM
Justin Messer
Supreme Lending USDA, FHA, and Conventional Loans - Peachtree City, GA
Residential Loan Officer, USDA Rural Housing Loan

FHA is raising this to lower their market share.  I do not think that it will matter if their is a petition or not.  They do what they want.  It will certainly hurt the housing recovery since fewer will qualify.  The 6% concession is rarely used.  I do not see why they feel like it needs to be lowered.  Having it at 6% will help keep home prices higher.  I would rather pay full price with lots of concessions versus saving on the sales price and paying lots of money out of pocket.  This helps the borrower's bank account plus keep the neighborhood's values higher.

Odds are, they will raise everything.  Then, in a few years, it will come back down so they can once again, increase market share!

Feb 09, 2010 03:14 AM
RJ Baxter
Fairway Independent Mortgage Corporation - Lakewood, CO
303-670-0137

On your commentary about the increase in premiums: isn't FHA already getting a weaker portfolio of borrowers than Fannie and Freddie? 

I agree that this initiative will hurt the housing recovery, but HUD needs to do  something in order to keep insuring loans, so it's a double-edged sword.

Feb 09, 2010 03:43 AM
Mark Montross
Catamount Realty Group - Burlington, VT
Listing and Buyer Specialist

This is very interesting. I understand that mortgage insurance is meant to protect, but at the same time if the added difference makes the house that much more unaffordable to the buyer, it doesn't help the situation. Personally, I think that the guidelines are too lenient for iffy borrowers, but even after all that is happened I am still hearing about so many borderline people qualifying for loans that it is scary. When will we ever learn?

Feb 09, 2010 05:28 AM
Carla Muss-Jacobs, RETIRED
RETIRED / State License is Inactive - Portland, OR

And, on top of that increase with FHA, the private mortgage lenders have their own 'insurance' requirements.  The increase does nothing to stop the declines in home values, and people that walk will walk no matter what. 

Feb 09, 2010 05:28 AM
James Lyon
Vista Pacific Realty - Sacramento, CA

I think that for most houses here, there is no way to get the 6% and still have the property appraise. The appraisals have been an issue and most sellers dont want to give 6% back.

Feb 09, 2010 05:55 AM
Mark Aalto
Advantage Mortgage - Portland, OR
NMLS: 116708

I'm a former HUD employee (1991 to 1993) and have been in the industry since that time (loan officer for the last 17 years).  I'd rather see the up front mortgage insurance increase to the 2.25% as proposed and leave the monthly mortgage insurance premium alone.  First, it would bolster the mortgage insurance pool more quickly and second, it would be less of an impact on the consumer.  With a loan amount that is higher it would be less of an impact on the monthly payment than an increase in the monthly premium outright. 

Traditionally the single family program has been a money maker for HUD and it's been the multi-family program that has drained the coffers. 

I can almost guarantee that consumers could care less about the amount of the financed mortgage insurance compared with the monthly amount.  I'm in favor of them raising the up front to even 2.50 or 2.75 and leave the monthly amount the same. 

Feb 09, 2010 06:42 AM
Charles Dailey
iLoan - NMLS ID#4474 - Saint Paul, MN

Tony Grego - I agree that it can feel futile writing letters like this but, in the days of yore before I was a loan officer; I worked as a legislative assistant to a state senator and a regional campaign manger to a US senator.  One thing I learned there that I'll never forget is how far an original, well crafted letter goes.  Petitions are ok and pre-written letters that get sent by multiple people are ok but they generally get thrown in an issue based pro-con folder.  But the original, well crafted letters are usually read by staff and, if they're good, they get passed up the ladder.  So many are discouraged in general that they don't do this and so the ones that do typically do get heard.  The world is smaller than it appears.

Chuck Carstensen - Personally, I think you're right.  There's a middle ground.

Steve Kappre - I also rarely use the full 6% and when I do, it's under the same circumstances that you describe.  What gets me is that it's just the affordable homebuyer and typically the first time homebuyer that will be affected.  To your second point, FHA should run like a business but not like any other necessarily.  If they're thinking along those lines, why would they make a change that will have the affect of them doing much less business and for far riskier customers?  That doesn't make sense.  A fine mess we've gotten into indeed but spreading the dirt around might make it look cleaner but that doesn't make it so.

Joe Pryor - You make a brilliant point.  Mainly the one about people flocking to conventional loans.  Pop quiz, . . . . are Fannie and Freddie healthy, stable and well enough capitalized this time around to take on a similar transition?

RJ Baxter - Ever since FHA dumped seller paid down payment assistance, increased the statutory contribution to 3.5% and most investors applied guideline overlays where loans required a 620 fico or better, their average borrower profile has been improving.  This has been even more dramatic for loans with loan to values between 90.01% and 96.5% due to declining markets and limited private sector mortgage insurance options.  With this change, the FHA will be ceding these stronger borrowers to the private market.  I don't mean to say that Ginnie has stronger borrowers in their portfolio.  I mean to say that they are going to weaken the one that they already have.

Mark Aalto - Amen.

To all - Keep in mind that HUD does need to do something to keep insuring loans but in their budget fact sheet, they are aiming for $6.9 billion from responsible credit premiums charged for HUD.  Only a fraction of this will come from the portion of the annual premium increase.  Every year a report (like this one) comes out outlining various examples of wasteful spending.  Maybe instead of spending money on searching for aliens and subsidizing the senate cafeteria and stuff like that, we should do a onetime direct appropriation to shore up this shortfall rather than apply chloroform to the affordable housing sector. 

Lastly, this is only partially about budgeting and shoring up capital reserves. It is also a deliberate and premature attempt to shift market share from Ginnie to Fannie, Freddie and the private market but they aren't ready for it by a long shot.  Consequently, in the absence of Fannie, Freddie and the private mortgage market stepping up to the plate, some valuable product selection will diminish, home values could suffer, Ginnie's portfolio could weaken and affordable housing will be squeezed.

Feb 09, 2010 06:42 AM
Damon Gettier
Damon Gettier & Associates, REALTORS- Roanoke Va Short Sale Expert - Roanoke, VA
Broker/Owner ABRM, GRI, CDPE

Great post....unfortunately, I don't think Congress cares or gets it.

Feb 09, 2010 07:06 AM
Eric J
Eric J - Dream Home Financing - Freehold, NJ
Dream Home Financing

You can sign my name to the letter....

Feb 09, 2010 02:53 PM
Gerry Suarez Jr.
Jet Home Loans NMLS 1660135 - Maitland, FL
FL Mortgage Guru

Charles- great post and I do hope it gets someone's attention at HUD. I must say, in spite of the reduction in buying power I support the increases in MI only because I think it's political suicide in this environment to call for an appropriation from Congress. Even if they stuck it way in the back of another bill, public outcry would be deafening. Bottom line we have to balance the book, and it's a shame the new, stronger and better qualified buyers will be forced to foot that bill.

Regarding the seller contribution I was surprised you didn't find it counterproductive to HUD's goals. The only result in raising cash to close requirements on FHA loans will be reducing the scant reserves of the borrower. I do feel this move will enocurage first year defaults, especially considering our weak job market.

So many angles, and so many repercussions. Ideally we would throw all this politicking out the window and do what is right (as you mention, appropriate funds to restore FHA's reserves then as many have mentioned, institute a zero down FHA program with adequate u/w guidelines and MI costs to keep qualified buyers in the market) but sadly I don't think it will happen.

I'm up for fighting the good fight with you though!:) May I suggest you just cut and paste this to the public comments when the time comes?

Again, great post!

Gerry Suarez, Jr.

Your FHA Loan Pro!

Feb 11, 2010 01:23 PM
Anonymous
Zeta Cross

I could live with the seller assist part-my gut always told me that 6% was too much, but I am very worried that the MIP is really hurting our clients! I really smell a special interest rat with lots of lobbying muscle on that one.

Feb 16, 2010 02:17 AM
#19
Bill Robbins
Midtown Mortgage Inc - Mobile, AL

I do not agree with the reduction in seller paid closing cost.  The average sales price is $120000.  At that price yes 6% is enough, but when we get lower like lets say $80000 it makes it mach harder for first time buyer, especially since the down payment is now 3.5%.  Insurance in the Gulf areas is very high.  On a $100000 house it is normally around $1400/year.  Our buyers need this help.

Apr 07, 2010 03:48 PM

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