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Are we going to have extended deflation?

By
Real Estate Agent with THE BROKER NETWORK OF CENTRAL OREGON, LLC 200306195

I was watching the program Wealthtrack on public television tonight.  I usually do not watch this program because it is investment oriented, but heard some interesting ideas tonight.  The guests were David Darst of Morgan Stanley and Robert Kessler.  There was considerable discussion about investing in US Treasury notes and it was noted that we can expect a period of deflation for a considerable time.  There has been talk about the feds raising interest rates and stuff, but very good arguments were made as to why that really wasn't likely to happen and why we will not have inflation as many of us have been led to believe.  The main reason given was the unemployment situation - if there is no demand, then there is nothing to fuel inflation.  It was also noted that this is what has happened in Japan for many years.  There was also discussion about the deficit and it was noted that our current deficit percentages are double what they were during the depression era.  Interesting implications for the real estate market.

Morgan Evans
Douglas Elliman Real Estate - Manhattan, NY
LICENSED REAL ESTATE SALESPERSON

It's all very interesting, the big key is how does it effect the real estate market, I think what gets more important is to not only look at these macroeconomic forces but also what are the micro economic in your city that you work in. 

Feb 20, 2010 03:28 PM
John Pusa
Glendale, CA

Maria - This is very interesting. We will wait and see which direction the economy will move.

John

Feb 20, 2010 04:18 PM
Robert Machado
HomePointe Property Management, CRMC - Sacramento, CA
CPM MPM - Property Manager and Property Management

There is plenty of low price real estate in our area that will cash flow, that is something that we have not seen in decades.

Feb 21, 2010 09:42 AM
Jeremy Butts
Real Estate Entrepreneur - Louisville, KY
Investor

extended depreciation (or) stagflation inevitable... future hyperinflation possible.

All will play out as baby boomers retire and become savers, while the fed prints... and prints... and prints........................

Feb 22, 2010 04:02 AM