California Foreclosure Activity Drops
Cancellations and Time-to-Foreclose increase year-over-year
06/15/2010
Discovery Bay, CA, June 15, 2010 - ForeclosureRadar (www.foreclosureradar.com), the only website that tracks every California foreclosure and provides daily auction updates, issued its monthly California Foreclosure Report for for May 2010. Foreclosure filings, outcomes and inventories dropped across the board from April to May. Foreclosure filings also declined substantially year-over-year with Notice of Default filings down 43.3 percent and Notice of Trustee Sale filings down 35.8 percent. The only significant increases from the prior year were Cancellations, up 141.3 percent, Sales to 3rd Parties, typically investors, up 75.4 percent, and Time-to-Foreclose, up 30.5 percent from May 2009.
"Given the staggering number of delinquent home loans, foreclosure activity should be rising not falling as we found again this month" says Sean O'Toole, Founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com. "We have recently witnessed a number of Cancellations where the owners have vacated the property and are clearly not working to modify their loan or complete a short sale. The most telling statistic that we present today may be that it takes lenders two months longer to foreclose then it did a year ago."
Foreclosure Filings
Notice of Default |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-17.25% |
-43.34% |
Notice of Trustee Sale |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-11.88% |
-35.78% |
Notice of Default filings are the first step in the foreclosure process. Notice of Trustee Sale filings set the date and time of auction and serve as the homeowner's final notice before sale.
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
10-May |
43974 |
40580 |
49799 |
58623 |
47337 |
42203 |
47093 |
47530 |
37063 |
38175 |
36534 |
30478 |
27200 |
25904 |
31309 |
33139 |
28897 |
23911 |
28449 |
24890 |
21147 |
34559 |
31556 |
43355 |
30711 |
40757 |
34224 |
33112 |
38558 |
28170 |
28475 |
27220 |
28501 |
34071 |
31594 |
27841 |
Foreclosure Outcomes
Back to Bank (REO) |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-5.75% |
-13.17% |
Cancellations |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-6.28% |
141.27% |
Sold to 3rd Party |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-6.73% |
75.44% |
After the filing of a Notice of Trustee Sale, there are only three possible outcomes. First, the sale can be Cancelled for reasons that include a successful loan modification or short sale, a filing error, or a legal requirement to re-file the notice after extended postponements. Alternatively, if the property is taken to sale, the Bank will place the opening bid. If a 3rd party, typically an investor, bids more than the bank's opening bid, the property will be Sold to 3rd Party; if not, it will go Back to Bank and become part of that bank's REO inventory.
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
10-May |
15608 |
14533 |
16419 |
9201 |
12145 |
15864 |
19713 |
14632 |
14367 |
13155 |
16018 |
14165 |
12471 |
13943 |
11983 |
15365 |
14615 |
13775 |
6445 |
6717 |
6904 |
6352 |
6707 |
7162 |
8674 |
10818 |
10004 |
8660 |
8757 |
10487 |
13287 |
13859 |
13806 |
16520 |
18437 |
17280 |
833 |
893 |
1266 |
1094 |
1653 |
2305 |
2694 |
2691 |
3285 |
3411 |
3960 |
3683 |
2629 |
3707 |
3631 |
4031 |
4336 |
4044 |
Foreclosure Inventories
Preforeclosure |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-5.67% |
-17.30% |
Scheduled for Sale |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-3.97% |
18.28% |
Bank Owned (REO) |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-2.26% |
-18.37% |
Preforeclosure inventory is an estimate of the number of properties that have had a Notice of Default filed against the property, but have not yet been Scheduled for Sale. The Scheduled for Sale inventory indicates those properties that have had a Notice of Trustee Sale filed, but have not yet been sold or had the sale cancelled. The Bank Owned (REO) inventory indicates the number of properties that have been sold Back to Bank at the trustee sale, and which the bank has not yet resold to another party.
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
10-May |
112078 |
130550 |
159215 |
179412 |
185603 |
174243 |
186060 |
175283 |
171841 |
169860 |
154905 |
157288 |
146941 |
152322 |
140126 |
157768 |
152770 |
144105 |
67841 |
69374 |
64177 |
82390 |
92002 |
111824 |
113141 |
124874 |
131300 |
140382 |
149456 |
151573 |
147570 |
145977 |
145260 |
141669 |
137741 |
132269 |
141176 |
137331 |
135488 |
122901 |
112792 |
107762 |
106139 |
100206 |
98829 |
95479 |
93926 |
93595 |
89119 |
90551 |
89529 |
90065 |
89998 |
87964 |
Foreclosure Discounting
Foreclosure discounting compares the winning Bid Amount of properties sold at trustee sale to both the outstanding Loan Amount, and the current Market Value. Banks place an opening bid for each property, and if a 3rd Party does not make a higher bid the property will be sold Back to Bank (REO) for the opening bid amount. While 3rd Party bids are higher than the opening bid, properties Sold to 3rd Parties typically have lower opening bids to start with and therefore deeper discounts to both Loan Amount and Market Value.
Foreclosure Timeframes
Time to Foreclosure |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
-1.67% |
30.51% |
Time to Resell - Bank |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
2.02% |
5.00% |
Time to Resell - 3rd |
|
Prior Month |
Prior Year |
0.62% |
-10.93% |
Time to Foreclose is the total time from the filing of the Notice of Default to the sale of the property at trustee sale, and reflects those properties sold in the month indicated. Time to Resell reflects how long it takes banks and 3rd parties to resell the properties they take back or purchase at trustee sale.
8-Nov |
8-Dec |
9-Jan |
9-Feb |
9-Mar |
9-Apr |
9-May |
9-Jun |
9-Jul |
9-Aug |
9-Sep |
9-Oct |
9-Nov |
9-Dec |
10-Jan |
10-Feb |
10-Mar |
10-Apr |
165 |
192 |
198 |
176 |
171 |
180 |
173 |
187 |
185 |
191 |
195 |
198 |
222 |
229 |
224 |
225 |
239 |
235 |
206 |
218 |
223 |
231 |
234 |
240 |
244 |
238 |
228 |
220 |
219 |
220 |
224 |
224 |
224 |
232 |
247 |
252 |
187 |
193 |
186 |
214 |
196 |
183 |
168 |
146 |
147 |
141 |
131 |
133 |
141 |
149 |
150 |
153 |
162 |
163 |
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