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Another Federal Tax Credit for Homebuyers?

Reblogger
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Souza Realty 916.408.5500 California DRE #01262541

Here's what Tom Branch (a real estate broker associate from Re/Max Dallas Suburbs) has to say about the possibility of a new homebuyer tax credit announced by Shaun Donovan, the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development:

Original content by Tom Branch TX Broker 0513551

Federal Tax Credit - Round 3

Well, just when I thought it was not possible, Shaun Donovan, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, said that the housing market's July woes were "worse than expected" and that the administration may support a new homebuyer tax credit.

In an interview on CNN, Donovan said the administration is "concerned" about the direction the housing market has taken. He defended the Obama administration's record on supporting the housing market, despite new signs that the market is still in a downward spiral. Donovan did not rule out a further homebuyer tax credit to support the market. Congress passed a homebuyer tax credit to support first-time buyers. The credit has now expired.

While the statistics show that the housing market was recovering late last year and into early spring, once the current tax credits expired in April, the market went back to its downward trend. I based that on the data put out by the National Association of REALTORS® (see below) showing a marked decrease in sales and a corresponding increase in home on the market. 

What I find interesting about the data is that the November 2009 tax credit had a greater impact than the April 2010 tax credit.  I suspect if the government does a third round of credits that the impact will be less than the earlier two credits.  I'm also waiting to see August's data as one month does not make a trend.

While the Federal Tax Credits may have stalled the free-fall of the housing market, I'm not convinced that they brought that many new buyers into the market or that the sales of entry-level homes resulted in an increase in sales of move-up homes as many of the buyers cashing in on the tax credit purchased foreclosures and short sales. 

Further, many people who would like to purchase a home cannot do so because of the extremely tightened mortgage underwriting guidelines so until we loosen those standards just a little I don't expect to see a rash of new homebuyers coming into the market.

It will be interesting to see which position the administration and NAR takes on this issue.

Tom and Gina Branch, The Branch Team with RE/MAX Dallas Suburbs, service the greater North Dallas suburbs including Plano, Allen, McKinney, Frisco, Lewisville, and Carrollton.  While Gina concentrates on traditional listings and buyer/tenant representation, Tom specializes in assisting distressed homeowners to avoid foreclosure.  Tom and Gina have published two books (Achieving Rock Star Status and The Field Guide to Short Sales) and are available for speaking engagements in the greater Dallas - Fort Worth Metroplex.

Copyright 2009-2010 - The Branch Team
Texas Real Estate Broker 0513551 | NMLS 341963

 

Tom Branch, Broker Associate, RE/MAX Dallas Suburbs, http://www.thebranchteam.com

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BOB & LEILANI SOUZA

Souza Realty, Bob & Leilani Souza - Real Estate Investment Specialists in Southwest Placer County, CA

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Leilani Souza - 916.408.5500 - leilani@souzarealty.com

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Comments (6)

Tim Lorenz
TIM LORENZ - Elite Home Sales Team - Mission Viejo, CA
949 874-2247

It is interesting to note that the credit is not as helpful and providing jobs to the buyers and seller.  That would create a real boom.

Aug 29, 2010 06:57 PM
Bob & Leilani Souza
Souza Realty 916.408.5500 - Roseville, CA
Greater Sacramento Area Homes, Land & Investments

Most definitely, Tim...job creation is the cure, tax credits are the patch. If we can't get the cure just yet, I guess it wouldn't hurt to keep getting the patches over and over again, until someone else finds the cure. :)

Leilani

Aug 29, 2010 07:08 PM
Steve Davis
Davis Coastal Properties - Carlsbad, CA
Carlsbad CA

Until we get through the bank caused crisis of over priced homes now foreclosing, we will not recover. You are right about short sales and REO sellers are not move up buyers. A first time buyer causes 3 other house sales. Not now. We have to get all the short sales and REO's sold before any real recovery will happen.

Aug 29, 2010 07:12 PM
Bob & Leilani Souza
Souza Realty 916.408.5500 - Roseville, CA
Greater Sacramento Area Homes, Land & Investments

Steve and Carol, unfortunately I think it will be at least 5 years or so before short sale and REO inventories dwindle down. Until then, I think it's the rental market that will continue to strengthen, with so many people losing their homes.

Thanks for stopping by to comment! :)

Leilani

Aug 29, 2010 07:20 PM
Joetta Fort
The DiGiorgio Group - Arvada, CO
Independent Broker, Homes Denver to Boulder

It's pretty clear that if our government throws massive amounts of money at a problem and the problem gets worse, they believe they simply didn't throw enough money. Someone once said, "The definiton of insanity is doing the same thing and expecting different results."

Aug 29, 2010 07:41 PM
Bob & Leilani Souza
Souza Realty 916.408.5500 - Roseville, CA
Greater Sacramento Area Homes, Land & Investments

Joetta, thanks for commenting on my re-blog! I'm wondering...what is the definition of doing the same thing and just not caring about the results? It seems to be what the government has been doing with bailouts and unemployment extensions. ;)

Leilani

Aug 29, 2010 08:20 PM