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11-22-10, Wichita, KS Economic report.

By
Real Estate Agent with The Wichita Home Team with KW Signature Partners

November, 2010 Economic update for the Wichita, KS metro area.

Foreclosures increased to a 10 year high in the Wichita area in September but were still only 1.5 per 1,000 mortgages, more than ½ below the national average. Homeowners at least 90 days late were 3 in every 1,000 compared to almost 7 per 1,000 on a national level. In the last year at least 10% of all mortgage holders nationally were late at least one time during the year.

GDP Report: The economy is picking up steam……

The U.S. Economy continues to grow: The economy grew at a 2.5% rate in the 3rd quarter of 2010. This compared to a 1.7% growth in the 2nd quarter and to a 2% original report for the 3rd quarter. Strong exports and consumer spending fueled the growth. Consumer spending was up 2.8% and exports increased 6.3%. The economy needs a growth of 3.5% per quarter to cause a serious drop in the unemployment rate.

Wichita’s unemployment rate fell in October to the lowest level in 12 months. The rate was 7.8%. This compared to 6.4% for Kansas, 5.5% for Lawrence, 6.6% for Topeka and Manhattan at 4.8%.

Now might be the time for buyers to get off of the fence and buy that next home. Long term interest rates had been at a 50 year low around 4% for a 30 year, fixed rate mortgage. Rates quoted 11-22-10 were 4.5% for a 30 year fixed rate conventional loan, 4.25% for a FHA loan and 3.875 for a 15 year fixed rate conventional loan.

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July, 2015 Mid-year Real Estate Report

 

For the United States, NE Oklahoma and the Grand Lake area.

 

 

 

Nationally, June Home sales were the highest of any month since the RE/MAX National Housing report began in 2008.  In the last 5 month each month’s sales were higher than the proceeding moth and the same month one year ago. The median sales price of homes sold in June was $224,671, 7% above a year ago.  Nationally, supply still lags demand with only a 3.6 month supply of housing.  A 6 month supply is a balanced market.

 

 

 

Nationally, April, May and June saw an increase in inventory but June’s inventory was still 11.8% below a year ago.  For example the DFW area reported only a 1.8 month’s supply of homes. Grand Lake’s supply of housing was almost 14 months.

 

Nationally The average home lost $13,067 of equity value in the last 9 years but over the last 3 years the value of a home went up $45,533 and that equity loss should be wiped out in another two years.  The Tulsa area was not hit nearly as bad.  The last 3 years equity gain was only $21,100 but the 9 year position was a $19,400 value increase over 2006.  The Grand Lake area is still behind values 9 years ago but values are slowly rising.  The only negative to a faster recovery will be the dramatic decrease in oil prices and increase in job losses in the oil industry and how that impacts buyers from the OKC, Tulsa and Wichita, KS area.

 

Grand Lake real estate sales

 

2015 sales started slow but are beginning to accelerate. There were 426 residential sales in the 1st 6 months of 2015, a 2.9% increase but Junes increase over June, 2014 was 40.8% or 100 sales compared to 71.

 

Pending sales at the end of June, 2015 were up 13.4% over June, 2014 and YTD pending sales were up 5%.  During June, 2015 32 homes went under contract priced over $200,000, 34 homes sold between $100,000 and $200,000 and 27 homes were sold under $100,000. 

 

The number of listings available for sale was down 11.4% at the end of June, 2015 compared to a year ago. The greatest need seems to be homes under $100,000 that are stick built so they can qualify for government loans. (USDA, FHA and VA)

 

Homes are selling at 91% of last listed price, the highest level in over a year.  If no new listings entered the market it would take about 13.5 months to sell Grand Lake’s entire inventory.  This number is three times the national average for major metro areas.