Mortgage Rates & Economic Data

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Steelbridge Realty LLC
Applying Economic Data to Interest Rate Volatility   Bull
  • Treasury melting down with commercial paper debacle  
  • Fed has another bigger reason to cut rates - save the commercial market place   
Bear
  •  Bear Stearns & Lehman 10yr bonds trade at discount level to Colombia
    • Explosion in credit spreads on Wall Street may take a heavier toll on profit next year, when the 5 firms have almost $133B in bonds maturing
    • Wealth was created in a couple of years, unraveled very quickly...about 6 months.
  • Bank's in Europe need to refinance almost $140B of commercial paper by September 17th.
    • Rates have rose from 5.48 to 6.33 in last 30 days.
    • BOA estimates about 59% of the $230B of asset-backed paper in Europe comes due this month.
    • Bank's that have bloated balance sheets will not be good news for the overall market liquidity
  • Neg -4000 employment report serves as the signature economies statistic for financial markets, setting the tone for a host of other reports:
    • Psychological Impact - Working folks hear the news of job losses and start to worry about their own.
    • 1st monthly loss in four years
 

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