Building permits and starts nationally

By
Industry Observer with Howard Sumner Consulting

Thought it might be useful to compare total permits and single family on graphs together . The important take  away is, total permits and starts include multifamily, single family is single family, at the peak you can see the larger separation of the two measurements and how the spread has narrowed. In the immediate run as we increase employment and household formation combined with the low levels building  in relations indicate pressure on both rents and sale price in the midterm (out 12 to 48 months) some demand will be filled by the foreclosures for both rental and ownership sales, yet with the length of time building will have been down by the midterm time frame the conduction infrastructure will not be able to ramp up fast enough to prevent substantial rent increases. Which will then fuel demand for single family purchases and if inflation fears pump interest rates past the 7% mark in the time frame the rental prices will be exceeding strong.

 

  permits issued          
  one unit structure     includes multi family
permits issued   416     530    
               
peak year   1798     2393    
issued drop from peak   77%     78%  
five year average 842     1160    
issued drop from  five year 51%     54%  
50 year average 923     1406    
issued drop from 50 year   55%     62%  
               
  housing started          
  one unit structure     includes multi family
starts issued   465     555    
               
peak year   1823     2494    
starts drop from peak   74%     78%  
five year average 887     1132    
starts drop from  five year   48%     51%  
50 year average 1071     1502    
starts drop from 50 year   57%     63%  

 

 

 

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