housing and numbers

By
Industry Observer with Howard Sumner Consulting

Census bureau information is starting to be released and with some simple math you can get a feel for the length of time it is going to take to resolve the housing oversupply/foreclosure problem.

From census in 2000 to the 2010 census

1st the population in the united states  increased by approximately by  27 million people

2nd that increase means that households increase by approximately  9.3 million

3rd number of housing units increased by approximately 14.5 million

Soooooooo simple math says as now 2010 we have an oversupply of about 5 million housing units (new housing units 14.5 minus new households formed 9.3) which is approximately a year's supply

Again simple math says if the household formation continues at about a million a year it will take five years to absorb the excess

Not a pretty picture for the new construction market

Just some thoughts to ponder  

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