The Unforeclosed

Reblogger Donna Paul
Real Estate Agent with Keller Williams Realty Gold Coast 40PA0993767

If reference to what will happen to all the homes the Banks are holding back-REOs. I would love for you to read  Tni post on it.

Original content by Tni LeBlanc, Realtor®, J.D. Lic. #01871795

The Unforeclosed

We all know the stories of the unforeclosed.  They are not an urban legend or myth.  As a real estate professional, I have met more than a few people who have been living in homes where they haven't paid the mortgage for a year or more.  Contrary to popular belief, not very many of them consider themselves "lucky," as the stress of their financial situation is typically very intense.  Some don't even have a Notice of Default filed on their property. 

Often they are moving through the loan modification process, and once complete, many will opt to begin a short sale process that could extend their unpaid stay even longer.  In reality, not all these homes are occupied.  Neighbors worry as homes sit vacant with no end in sight.  The bottom line is that there is a great deal of inventory, which by ordinary timeframes, would have already moved through the foreclosure process.  As a result, I've been hearing the prediction of a tidal wave or tsunami of inventory for about 2-3 years

Yet, I haven't seen it. In fact, in 2008 and 2009, I could have sold even more homes if the inventory in Santa Maria and Orcutt had been there.  2010 saw fewer sales in Santa Maria and Orcutt,* I think in part due to the start-stop frenzy of the extended tax credit.  But, even now I still have plenty of buyers that are waiting for the type of home they want to appear on the market. 

No one can predict the future, especially from looking at the past - we've all re-learned that over the past 5 - 6 years.  So, I certainly don't know what is going to happen either.  I continue to hear people talking about the coming flood of foreclosed homes.  However, it seems to me that whatever the banks are doing, they are doing ON PURPOSE.  You don't accidentally forget to foreclose.  True, banks haven't been too good at processing foreclosures and short sales.  But three years is enough time to hire more staff and a few more (hopefully) competent attorneys to process your foreclosures. 

We are not in a natural market by any stretch of the imagination, and I believe the "unforeclosed" inventory is a symptom of that fact.  In my view, we will be dealing with this inventory for years to come.  Why would the banks go to all this trouble to deliberately hold back inventory for three or four years, only to flood the market now?  For me the real question is not how many foreclosure filings took place and how many loans are now in default, but rather whether there will be a shift in how the banks are choosing to deal with it.  Right now, they appear committed to move slowly.

What do you think?  Will there be a flood of foreclosures hitting the market in 2011? 

*Based on the information from the Central Coast Regional MLS. The Association, the Multiple Listing Service, nor Mint Properties guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the Association or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the real estate market.

Copyright © Tni LeBlanc 2011 *The Unforeclosed*

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Rainmaker
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Tni LeBlanc, Realtor®, J.D.
Mint Properties, Lic. #01871795 - Santa Maria, CA
Tenacious Tni (805) 878-9879

Hi Donna!   Thanks for the re-blog.  It will be interesting to see in the coming years what happens with all of this inventory.  I just showed property today to a family where what they want to buy exists but is not currently available.  Tni

Jan 20, 2011 02:30 AM #1
Rainmaker
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Donna Paul
Keller Williams Realty Gold Coast - Dix Hills, NY
Long Island Home Specialist,All About Real Estate

Your Welcome.. Tni.. I just read this article that explains what's happening with the REO market now.. Take a look.

 

Jan 20, 2011 02:40 AM #2
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Rainmaker
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Donna Paul

Long Island Home Specialist,All About Real Estate
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