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Dallas and Houston Fare Well in 2011 Home Price Study

By
Real Estate Agent with Baton Rouge Area Homes

Clear Capital and Forbes took a look at the top 50 metropolitan areas and offered some predictions on home price growth/decline in 2011.  Dallas and Houston both appeared in the top 10! 

While their numbers look a bit gloomy overall with 35 of the top 50 metro areas expected to see average home price decline, it does offer some nice rays of hope in the other 15 markets.

Here is a listing of the estimated home price appreciation for the top 10 markets:

- Washington DC - +6.5%

- Houston - +3.6%

- Honolulu - +3.5%

- Memphis, +3.2%

- Columbus - +2.1%

- Dallas - +1.4%

- New York - +1.3%

- Birmingham - .9%

- Pittsburgh - .8%

- New Orleans - .5%

Both Dallas and Houston experienced significant job growth in 2010 and are expected to continue to create jobs in 2011.  I'll be putting a post together on job creation in both of those cities just as soon as all the data is released.  Generally, housing market stability/growth goes hand in hand with a growing real estate market.

It is interesting to look at all these numbers and see how different groups interpret and extrapolate the data.  I read last week that another group was expecting Dallas home prices to decline around 3% in 2011, but this group believes that they will increase.  Clearly we won't know who is correct until this time next year, but I'm too much of a firm believer in the job creation power of both Dallas and Houston to believe that the housing markets will not exceed expectations.

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Brian Rugg
Rugg Realty LLC Sun City Texas 512-818-6700 - Georgetown, TX
Sun City TX Real Estate - Georgetown, TX Real Est

Hello Quintin:

Is seems premature for anybody to have appreciation predictions given the scope of what we are faced with. I appreciate your posting, but skeptical.

Jan 26, 2011 09:32 AM
Quinton Renfro
Baton Rouge Area Homes - Baton Rouge, LA

@ Brian - I agree with you on the appreciation predictions....nobody has a crystal ball.  What I do find very interesting is the very real differences in statistical opinions that people much smarter than me have when they are viewing the same raw, empirical data.  If I can remember, I'll look back at this post in a year and see if any of the professional prognosticators were correct about 2011!  Thanks for your comment.

Jan 26, 2011 12:04 PM
Anonymous
justin b.

Houston DID NOT have significant job growth in 2010.  In fact, Houston has had two full years of job losses from August of 2008 until September of 2010!

Houston ended the year with a small employment increase of about 13,000 jobs.

On the other hand, Dallas ended the year with just shy of 40,000 new jobs being created, second only to Washington, DC!

And Dallas had had positive employment growth for four out of the previous five quarters while Houston only at the end of 2010 even showed a positive jobs growth number.  But Shell Oil is about to shrink its employment in Houston along with Devon Energy and Continental Airlines, only adding tens off thousands of people to the unemployment figures and millions of square feet of Downtown office space becoming empty.

Dallas is the city you should be focusing on as it is clearly excelling in many areas while Houston is suffering.

Feb 10, 2011 05:24 PM
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