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Real Estate is Worthless!

By
Real Estate Agent with BMC Capital

No really, real estate is actually worthless.  I'm sure that this might sound strange coming from someone who sells commercial real estate for a living.  Does this mean that I've been tricking investors for years now? Nope.  It just means that today I'm going to use that minor in philosophy that I earned in college.  This is going to sound a lot like the old "if a tree falls in the woods and no one is around to hear it..." paradox.  For example, what would you pay for a 1,000,000 SF class A office tower on Mars?  My guess is not much, at least not unless there were a ready supply of Martians to rent it from you.  So real estate does not have any intrinsic value.  This is probably true of almost everything.  If there is no demand for something, that thing has no value.

Okay, what's the point?  Well I was speaking with a friend of mine from high school the other day.  He happens to live in Detroit, and he mentioned that he just saw a house sell for $2,000 at auction.  Apparently it was a very nice home, but it was in an area where no one wanted to live.  He didn't even think that is was possible to find a tenant for it, so he didn't buy it.  It's possible that someone bought it just to sell the building materials.  At $2,000 this is a real possibility.  To rebuild the same home today would probably cost $150,000 (Did I mention it was a nice house?), but it is very close to being worthless.

I'm not picking on Detroit here.  There are many areas in our country and in the world where real estate values have dropped dramatically.  Here in Reading, PA we have seen prices drop (This is why there are so many great opportunities).  I know several investors who purchase and rehab properties in these areas expecting to sell them at a profit.  Some of them make a lot of money doing this, but many of them don't.  The ones that make money either buy properties in areas where there is already demand, buy properties in areas where demand is growing, or buy properties with a plan to create the demand.  That last strategy is the one that always amazes me.  The investors who are able to truly change a property, or a neighborhood, or even a town, and create a product that people demand are the ones that are able to thrive in any market.

How do you create demand for your investment properties?  To put it another way, how do you create value?

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Comments(6)

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Debbie Jean (DJ) Artrip
Debbie Jean (DJ) Artrip, Cardinal Real Estate, Northern Mich - Hawks, MI

Hey Joseph~ I'm not sure you can create value, in my humble opinion. Econ 101: Supply vs. Demand. There are so many outside factors that influence the market that even the most savvy investor can't predict or control. A seasoned investor can make some general assumptions, as to how high he/she can expect to profit but I can't see them forcing a value. Value stands alone. Supply vs. Demand determines the Value.

Jan 27, 2011 12:27 PM
LISA ORME
LOCAL Bank - Surfside Beach, SC
Mortgages-Self Employed-DSCR-Reverse-Manuf. Homes

Great reminder about the economics of supply and demand...and of course in a faltering economy, real estate isn't the only thing that's "worthless"....right now that is.  I was always told that the people who make the most money buy when no one else is buying. Of course, they have to be able to hold on to what they buy long enough for the shift in supply and demand.  Sometimes it's not about "creating" value; it's just about identifying the buyer who is in a position to buy...and wait...

Jan 27, 2011 12:31 PM
Joseph Cacciapaglia
BMC Capital - Houston, TX

Thank you for the comment.  I don't completely disagree with you.  I minored in economics in addition to philosophy.  I'm certain that value is determined by supply and demand, but I also believe that you can influence both supply and demand.  If you create something that attracts new people to an area, those new people are new demand.

Jan 27, 2011 12:34 PM
Bill Morrow
Keller Williams of Central PA - Mechanicsburg, PA
Bill Morrow, Associate Broker

Joseph,  Its important to keep in mind that these "depressed" properties that you are referring to as worthless real estate were at one time quite valuable.  What caused the abrupt change in values?  Yes, the basis of Economics and the Law of Supply and Demand where (for untold reasons) Supply far surpassed need or Demand.  Here in PA there are pockets of "Rust Belt" properties that savy investors have have taken from the bottom and actually reinvented them.  In your backyard one small pocket are the Reading Outlets which arose from old factory buildings into an entire retail complex.  In Harrisburg, Restaurant Row in the downtown arose out of a former downtown shopping district that had succumed to suburban malls. There are other areas many in small town with similar successes.  Its our job as Commercial Realtors to focus on clients with the ability to think outside the box and see potential value in these properties...the old adage that one man's trash is another man's treasure is certainly the case.  We just need to identify the tresurer seekers.

Jan 29, 2011 12:57 PM
Joseph Cacciapaglia
BMC Capital - Houston, TX

Bill,

I completely agree with you.  I'm afraid a few people took me a little too literally in this post.  I definitely don't believe that real estate is actually worthless.  I actually had a meeting with a developer today that has transformed several properties here in Reading, PA.  These are my favorite types of clients.  The ones that can transform an abandoned property into something amazing.

Thank you for the comment,

Joe

Jan 29, 2011 01:05 PM
Amy Law
Alliance Properties - Crosby, TX

You are SO correct. So are Beanie Babies! Some things are so artifically inflated, they are bound to crash down to earth.

This reminds me, When I was in highschool, I had an older friend, (more of a coach, really), that owned a tract-home in a little sub-division off of I-45 near Pearland in Houston. He paid about $75,000 for his house, that looked like every 5th house or so on the street. Values were holding...He had to transfer to up East, and sold his house for $90,000. Not bad for that neighborhood 1989. Then ONE DAY soon after that, someone discovered that the subdivision had been built atop a toxic-waste dump. All kinds of things hit the fan AND the courts...eventually the houses were bought by the feds for a mere $5000 a piece-what they paid for the lots... The entire neighborhood, and even an elementary school was razed. Now the land just sits there fallow and fenced in. It was made a SUPERFUND site, it was cleaned, but there is NO way anyone would build there now. Good thing my friend Jim got out when he did, but it was pure luck. Now, those lots that were selling for $5000 for a 1/4 acre can not even be given away. That real estate literally is WORTHLESS, even those so much money has been sunk into that weed laden hell-hole.

Feb 07, 2011 06:51 AM