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The $1 million Las Vegas market

By
Real Estate Agent with Keller Williams Realty The Marketplace NV License # 56750

Homes at Lake Las Vegas in Henderson, NVIn today's Las Vegas real estate market, there are over 1,100 million-dollar homes listed for sale. Buyers can find anything from a 2-bedroom, 1000 square foot home built in 1973 on 1.72 acres (a clear redevelopment play) to a 6-bedroom, 11,381 square foot home on nearly ten acres in Wayne Newton's neighborhood listed for a cool $21,000,000.

Sadly for me, I'm not working with a million-dollar buyer right now, just doing some research on this segment of the market to see what opportunities it has for 2008. The Brenkus Team has 33 listings over $1 million, second only to Florence Shapiro of Prudential Americana Group. The total list price of these homes is over $2.3 billion, so getting even a small portion of this market can be significant.

Some of my initial questions were basic. How many photos are in the MLS? Is there a virtual tour? Others were more business-oriented. What is the average buyer's agent split? What areas of the Las Vegas valley have the most listings? Which agents and brands have the greatest share of listings? Here's what I found:

  • How many photos are in the MLS?
    Our MLS allows a maximum of eight photos. Out of 1,111 million-dollar listings, 839 (75.5%) had 8 photos. Just 67 (6.0%) had no photos. (Some of those may be new listings or under construction.) 118 listings (10.6%) had only 1-4 pictures.

  • Is there a virtual tour?
    Virtual tours are available in 657 listings (59.1%).

  • What is the average buyer's agent co-op?
    Co-ops range from a flat fee to 8%. The average co-op is 3.1%. There are 102 listings offering 4% or higher.

  • What areas of the Las Vegas valley have the most million-dollar listings?
    Our MLS divides the valley into six major areas. Henderson has 413 homes listed, followed closely by southwest Las Vegas with 408. Northwest Las Vegas is a distant third with 178.

  • Which agents have the greatest number of listings?
    A total of six agents have 20 or more listings, with the top agent having 45. 470 agents have a single listing, and another 63 have just two.

  • Which brands have the greatest market share?
    Prudential Americana has 14% of the listings in this market segment. Rounding out the top five are RE/MAX, Coldwell Banker, Century 21, and Keller Williams.

Just from these initial questions, it's clear that there is plenty of opportunity in the Las Vegas luxury market. My next steps will be to look at online and print presence of some of the top listing agents, and then analyze sales transactions for the first nine months to determine top buyer's agents, days on market, and absorption rates. This will be valuable information to help build the luxury homes component of my 2008 business plan.

Jason Schweiger
Modus Mortgage - Auburn, WA
Loan Originator: Modus Mortgage
Will that number come down as home prices do? or remain high, as these sellers don't need the money!?
Sep 29, 2007 04:51 PM
Ki Gray
Austin, TX
Austin Real Estate

I would be interesting to see which of these listings sell.  So if houses with more photos or ones with virtual tours sell faster than ones with no photos.  And if they do sell faster how quickly.

Sep 29, 2007 04:58 PM
Rob Lang
At Home Kansas - Shawnee, KS
Local Expert in NE Central Kansas Real Estate Home

Must be nice.  We only have 8 homes on the market for over $1,000,000.  We have had only 4 sell in the past year over $1,000,000 so it would seem that we have two years of inventory in this price range.

Rob

Sep 29, 2007 05:06 PM
John Novak
Keller Williams Realty The Marketplace - Las Vegas, NV
Henderson, Las Vegas and Summerlin Real Estate

Jason - It may come down slightly, as about 10% of the listings are at $1.1 million or less. Thanks for the question!

Ki - Those are some good comparisons to consider, and I'll include them when I look at nine month sales. Should have a follow-up to this post up in about a week. Thanks for your comment!

Sep 29, 2007 05:06 PM
Rob Lang
At Home Kansas - Shawnee, KS
Local Expert in NE Central Kansas Real Estate Home

By the way, all 8 of the current listings have photos and 5 out of 8 have virtual tours.

Rob

Sep 29, 2007 05:08 PM
Mary Warren
Las Vegas, NV
John, are you aware that it was in the late 1980's that the first million $$$ home was sold in Las Vegas?  We've come a LONG way baby!
Sep 29, 2007 05:12 PM
John Novak
Keller Williams Realty The Marketplace - Las Vegas, NV
Henderson, Las Vegas and Summerlin Real Estate

Rob - We had 269 million-dollar closings in the first half of this year, so that puts us roughly at two years of inventory. I'll have more specific numbers in my follow-up post.

Mary - Didn't know that, thanks for the history! I know that the last couple of years have really added to it with the development in Henderson and the southwest.

Sep 29, 2007 05:12 PM
Gary Bland R (S) E-Pro, ABR
Hawaii Life Real Estate Brokers - Wailea, HI
Vegas alway eye catching because of the name.  I hear the market has been really soft.  Lots of listings and no sales.
Sep 29, 2007 05:33 PM
Renée Donohue~Home Photography
Savvy Home Pix - Allegan, MI
Western Michigan Real Estate Photographer

Hi John!  I have looked at the absorption rates of the top tiers and they are quite pitiful when you pin them down to the last several months.  It is one of the declining markets with 43 sold last month and only 20 pending currently.  There are some sub markets within that have less pendings than solds and that needs to really be looked at.

I am not persuing that market nor am I trying to dissuade you from going there!  I think you have to have an ultra tight marketing plan but it is obvious some agents don't! If you could just snag one of those 40 some buyers a month from marketing a listing of that calibur , it could very well be worth it!

Sep 30, 2007 04:03 AM
Derek and Mariana Wagner
The Artisan Group- Keller Williams Premier Realty - Colorado Springs, CO
The Artisan Group - Colorado Springs REALTORS®
John, Have you (or someone else on the Brenkus Team) checked out the new KW Luxury Program - It may be an asset in LV, seeing as you ahve so many luxury homes. Great info, BTW.
Sep 30, 2007 07:03 AM
John Novak
Keller Williams Realty The Marketplace - Las Vegas, NV
Henderson, Las Vegas and Summerlin Real Estate

Gary - The number of homes sold is down, but prices are holding pretty steady. Thanks for your comment!

Renee - Hi! You're absolutely right about the absorption rates - not real encouraging. My initial thought is that it would be easier to work with buyers than sellers at this level but that may change as we do more research.

Mariana - Thanks for the tip! I took at look at the Luxury Program today. One of the requirements is completion of the CLHMS course. We'll have to find out how that applies to teams.

Oct 01, 2007 03:58 PM