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Orlando Real Estate (Shrinking Inventory)

By
Real Estate Agent with Charles Rutenberg Realty BK645994

Generally speaking in real estate we consider a six month supply of inventory a balanced market. If it rises much above six months we say it is a buyer's market. A few years ago it climbed to something like 26 months here in Orlando. If it drops much below six months we say the market favors seller's. Right now in Orlando there are 12,162 active listings, and last month's sales hit 2,654. Divide the number of listings by the number of sales, and there is currently a 4.6 month supply of inventory in Orlando. It certainly appears to be a seller's market, but I doubt you will find many sellers or agents that feel that way. Most people will tell you that the market has improved greatly, but not that much.

I broke it down by list price to see how things fared at different ranges, and found that $100,000 makes a huge difference in defining our markets. Our median sales price is around $100,000, so I looked at homes priced below that figure. There are 3,729 active and last month 1,289 sold. So there is only a 2.9 month supply of homes available priced below $100,000. Conversely, there are 8,433 homes available that are priced at or above $100,000. Last month homes price above $100,000 accounted for 1,365 sales. That means there is a 6.2 month supply of homes priced above $100,000. So below the median we have a ver strong seller's market, but above we have a balanced market. I took it a couple of steps further. We currently have a 9.0 month supply of homes priced over $200,000; a 13.8 month supply of homes priced over $300,000; and a 17.0 month supply of homes priced above $400,000.

David Welch, Real Estate Optimist

Jeanne M. Gavish
Jeanne Gavish, Keller Williams Realty Elite Partners - Spring Hill, FL
Keller Williams Realty Elite Partners - CIPS,GRI,S

Thanks for the stats, David.  Although I can't verify the numbers like you, this is very similar to the Tampa Bay area, and specifically my market in Pasco and Hernando Counties.  Our lower priced homes are being snapped up.

Apr 19, 2011 08:25 AM
Mitch Gover
BidOnRealty.com - Orlando, FL

Hi David.  Interesting point about supply increasing for higher priced homes.  Makes sense though when you consider the pool of potential buyers shrinks as prices go up.  It will be interesting to see what happens if supply continues to fall.  I guess we need to delve into the "quality of supply" i.e. - short sales and REOs vs realistically priced non-distressed.  But I guess that's the stuff of another post.  Is your listing on Cotswold closing soon?

Apr 19, 2011 08:28 AM
Brian Madigan
RE/MAX West Realty Inc., Brokerage (Toronto) - Toronto, ON
LL.B., Broker

David,

 

The shrinking inventory has to be a good thing for your market.

 

Brian

Apr 20, 2011 01:04 AM
Amy Stier
Easy Street Realty - Orlando, FL

you got it down...as we know real estate is local. Great post...and right on.  As Realtors we know it depends on several factors, but primarily: where do you want/need to be, what can you afford and how soon do you need it.

for those that don't understand this, to say the median price in Orlando is in the $120's can be hard to swallow for someone that wants to live in Lake Mary, Windermere etc...  That's why they need us..need people like YOU!

 

Amy Stier, FL Managing Broker @ eXp Realty

amy.stier@exprealty.com

 

Apr 20, 2011 05:39 PM