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Building Permits Fade Faster Than Expected

By
Mortgage and Lending with Jamie Russen - Greentree Mortgage NMLS ID #95705

Single-family housing starts dropped by 21,000 units in April on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis.

The Housing Starts report measures the number of homes on which new construction "broke ground". It's tracked by the U.S. Department of Commerce which releases new data monthly.

Single-family housing starts fell 5 percent as compared to March 2011, and 30 percent as compared to April one year ago. 

The figures were worse than what Wall Street expected. For just the second time in 2 years, monthly single-family housing starts dropped below 400,000 units. In addition, single-family Building Permits fell in April as well, shedding 2 percent from March.

A building permit is a local government's approval to start home construction and when permits are down, new construction follows. This is because 93 percent of homes begin construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.

Fewer permits, as a consequence, means fewer new homes. Therefore, if you're looking at new construction in or around Voorhees , April's numbers may spark a sense of urgency.

Home prices are a function of home supply and demand and, based on the Housing Starts data, supplies appear headed for a fall. Meanwhile, on the other side of the equation, demand should be rising - foot traffic is highermortgage rates are lower, and job growth is picking up

This should lead new home prices higher in time. For now, though, home affordability remains high.

It's a good time to look at new home construction.

David Shamansky
US Mortgages - David Shamansky - Highlands Ranch, CO
Creative, Aggressive & 560 FICO - OK, Colorado Mtg

You have to wonder on this... why they match almost exactly. The permits rose by appx 39k but the starts were down by 40k? Did the counties have a sale on permits???

In all honesty I feel terrible for the home builder industry those people have been hammered and it will be some time before they recover. Unless they have a very attractive location you have to wonder at what would bring someone to build and pay retail when there are so many great deals on exisitng homes out there.

 

May 18, 2011 05:39 AM