Ada County Sales for November

By
Real Estate Agent with Coldwell Banker Tomlinson Group
12131 Coleen

The Ada county real estate market continued to slow in November, as it usually does (except last year).  A quick check of the numbers shows that at the end of the month there were a total of 4309 active Single Family and Single Family with Acreage listings in Ada county.  More than 100 of those dropped off the first day of December, for a total of 4202, but we'll need to wait a few days before we know how many are going to relist and how many are "going to wait until Spring".  The inventory number is going the right way, and now down two months in a row from the peak of 4672 in September (nearly 10% decline).  Currently, I'm finding 631 Solds, but that will likely rise a bit as the reported numbers settle down in the next week.  That is just under the October number, which is also expected.  It is substantially lower than last November's 1100+, which was a most unusual spike, and perhaps the spike in our market that signaled the top.  Sales in November for 2002 and 2003 were around 550 or so, and in 2004, the beginning of the boom, around 750.  After reading how the local paper handled the October numbers, I'm sure these November numbers will have some poor reporter out declaring our housing market is dead.  It is not.

With the inventory still high, and prices being adjusted to find the new selling levels, and with builders still holding a lot of unsold inventory and willing to deal, it seems like a favorable time for people to be buying a home.  I know agents who are quietly looking for bargains now, and have heard of a couple who are calling the bottom now in, at least here in the Treasure Valley.  My advice?  If you are a buyer, call me, I'm ready to write it up for you!  If you are a seller, don't take your home off the market "waiting till it gets better" .  There are buyers out there now, but they aren't in a hurry... yet.  Mortgage rates are good.  We're still getting calls from out of state people who are looking to join us here.  Our two light volume months are now here, but they won't last long.  Are you ready?

Comments (2)

Keith Jeppson - Salt Lake City Real Estate
Everest Realty Group - Holladay, UT
Nice to hear a little from Idaho.  Is Boise really as hot a market as the reports say?
Dec 01, 2006 11:24 AM
Bill Williams
Coldwell Banker Tomlinson Group - Boise, ID

good evening Keith.  There aren't too many of us in Idaho who have joined AR yet.  I mention the place to people, but everyone is keeping up the impression they're too busy (and not tech savvy) to take time out to read the internet...

The Boise market was very hot in 2005.  I think I saw a report ranking our price appreciation as #2 behind Bend, OR for 2005.  Each report shows something a little different, as I'm sure you've seen in Utah too.  The market has cooled alot.  No more phonecalls from out of state investors wanting to buy three houses by next Friday sight unseen.  No more listing at yesterday's comps +10%.  It's a much more normal market now, and sellers are starting to get it (finally).  We can do CMAs again that mean something LOL

Normal inventory the last 4 years stayed between 2000 and 2700 in Ada county.  Our inventory last fall got down to 1429 or so for three months.  Sales wise, before 2005 we'd never turned more than 1000 in one month... last year we did it 7 months in a row, with a high of 1336!  So you see we were turning a lot of units and keeping some inventory.  Now, we have a more normal market, but a lot of folks (and builders) who can't believe they missed it, and are still trying.  The inventory built up quite a ways, but is beginning to work its way out. 

I'm told that there seems to be a number of licensees not re-newing for 2007... I doubt many of those were taking deals from the rest, so it might not make a noticeable difference.  The ones in our office who were top last year are still top today.  'Twas ever thus, eh?

Dec 01, 2006 12:51 PM

What's the reason you're reporting this blog entry?

Are you sure you want to report this blog entry as spam?