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Memo to House Republicans - Pass the Bill

By
Real Estate Technology with Carmody and Associates LLC

It may be emotionally satisfying to refuse to increase the debt ceiling, but not practical when push comes to shove.  

Keep in mind that the debt ceiling increase does not provide for new spending.  This is for money already spent. That is what it means when you pass bills which have been signed into law for the current year that require 1.4 trillion dollars in borrowing - the DEFICIT - remember.  When they say we are borrowing 42% of every dollar we spent - it means we are already committed to borrowing 42% of every dollar we spend.

thumbs downIt is time to stop arguing about closing the barn door when the horse left months ago.  

Do we default on government debt on August 2 ? Of course not.  We have revenues each month which will cover the truly essential services and debt service.  But when we are borrowing $.42 of every dollar we spend, we are going to run out of money during the month for non-essential services.  And if you think the caterwauling coming out of Washington has been shrill - just wait until federal employees are being sent home and actual cuts are being made.  Can't make a decision now ?  We haven't even started the hard questions yet.  

I suggest a short term increase of less than 800 Billion dollars to be reviewed when we need to increase again.  But real cuts in authorized projects, federal staffing and programs IN THE CURRENT YEAR must be made before another increase can be considered.  800 billion in increase and 600 billion in cuts would take us through the current fiscal year. 

Balanced budget amendments can bring mandated tax increases when spending is not cut.  I am nervous about that approach - but it will depend upon the drafting of the proposed amendment.  In addition, to those who want to make a balanced budget amendment the pivot point of raising the debt ceiling before August 2 - the amendment process will take way too long to be included in the emregency action being considered now.  The amendment must pass in Congress by a super majority in House and Senate (unlikely since these people couldn't agree on the Sermon on the Mount or the Bill of Rights) and then the amendment must be passed by a majority of the state legislatures - a process which takes years. In my view - work on the amendment process but do not tie it to the debt ceiling debacle.  This is a time for substance rather than symbolism.

But we must require a budget from the Congress.  The House of Representatives could within it's own rulemaking powers prevent any appropriations bills from being originated in the House unless authorized by the Congressional budget or required by national emergency.  

No consideration of any sort of future increase in debt ceiling should be considered unless there is a current year Congressional budget in place.  No CBO scoring of budget impact should rely on decade ahead projections.  Current or first year budget impact must be scored in addition to whatever fuzzy math they want to provide. No proposal should be passed unless within the current Congressional budget and fully funded within the budget.

In Lord of the Rings - the Two Towers, Gandalf states "the Battle for Helm's Deep is over - the Battle for Middle Earth is just beginning".  

US CapitolThe conversation has been turned to actual budget cuts for the first time in nearly fifty years.  Now comes the hard part - we have to prioritize the spending and eliminate agencies and programs that are not truly essential to the provision of legitimate, Constitutional government.   GRIDLOCK ?  You haven't seen anything yet.  

And by the way - I am tired of the liberal talking point that tries to brand the Tea Party Republicans as extremists.  They are Partiots and they are the voice of the people - that is the WE THE PEOPLE you used to hear about.  Every Congressman of both parties and the 33 Senators that are up for re-election in 2012 had better listen with respect - because these folks are coming for you and we will vote to defend our Country.

And by the way - a short term increase of the debt ceiling is not a political move - it is a recognition that no matching cuts in spending have been made and the no final solution (or attempt just to get by the election) is possible without real cuts - cancelled projects and programs, elimination of waste - in this current year.

That is as plain as I can make it.  House Republicans - Pass the bill.  Senators - do the right thing for a change.  (Dump Senator Reid as Majority Leader would be a start).  Send this short term solution to the President.  And them get to work on the real questions of what to cut to reach 600 billion in real dollars in this year.

 


Comments(12)

Michael Ford
Coldwell Banker Heritage Homes - Marion, AR
Matching Families with Homes

I agree!!

Jul 29, 2011 03:46 AM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

Thanks, Michael. 

It is unfortunately true that when all is said and done, a lot more gets said than done.  But this is becoming embarassing.  

The Congress (particularly the Senate) cannot even pass a budget - but they can pass appropriations that requires 42% borrowing.  The necessity to discuss increasing the debt ceiling to meet the 42% borrowing has been a visible deadline for all of this year - and these folks cannot even agree on what they are going to talk about.  The Republicans in the House have some new blood who see clearly the will of the voters who elected them.  I hope they heed the call.

And as I said above, we haven't even started to talk about the real tough questions yet.  

I have been paying attention for more that fifty years to the process of government.  I have never been so frightened about what will happen to thie Country in the short run (1 to 5 years) as I am today.  

I am preaching so much doom and gloom in this venue that I don't even like to read what I am writing here.  The people who agree with me already get it - and the ones who disagree are not going to be persuaded.  What am I doing here ?

Jul 29, 2011 04:07 AM
Steve Hoffacker
Steve Hoffacker LLC - West Palm Beach, FL
Certified Aging In Place Specialist-Instructor

Ted,

Harry Reid's leadership is definitely something we can do without. Great post. :)

Steve

Jul 29, 2011 11:44 AM
Broker Nick
South Florida Real Estate & Development, Inc. - Coconut Creek, FL
Broker Nick Relocation Broker Service

Congratulation - This post is now featured in Silent Majority Group of Active Rain!

Jul 29, 2011 11:46 AM
William J. Archambault, Jr.
The Real Estate Investment Institute - Houston, TX

 

Bill

Jul 29, 2011 12:48 PM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

Thanks to all for stopping by. 

Also I have added text to balanced budget amendment paragraph, for those who are paying attention. 

 

Jul 30, 2011 02:15 AM
Bill Lauler
Chase Realty LLC - McLean, VA
Associate Broker,CIPS,CRB,SRES,GRI

Great Post Ted , The Congress is embattled with over spending..simple stop spending. We in the trenches work everyday to provide for our families. Only to have these detached congressional people try to decide our fate...Enough already..just pay NO MOre Taxes!

Jul 31, 2011 09:25 AM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

They are floating a new proposal now which seems to me to represent Washington business as usual in all the worst ways.  I do not have full details yet - and neither House nor Senate has voted to pass this - but I can smell the following... 

The President gets a pass until after the election - serious error.

There are no short term cuts and only fuzzy math cuts seem to be specified which will not take effect in the foreseeable future.  

A joint conference search committee to make the tough decisions and make recommendations to Congress - like that is promising.  

A substantial increase in the debt ceiling which allows for additional deficit spending through next year so no Congressman, no leader and certainly not the President has given up anything that I see yet. 

If this is win for WE THE PEOPLE, than I am the Duke of Windsor.

 

 

Jul 31, 2011 06:01 PM
Broker Nick
South Florida Real Estate & Development, Inc. - Coconut Creek, FL
Broker Nick Relocation Broker Service

Fuzzy math, Obama hides his mistakes and Republicans shout the victory

Aug 01, 2011 12:47 PM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

not again

 

 

 

submitted without further comment

 

Aug 01, 2011 02:46 PM
Edward Peterson
eDrake - Hamden, CT
eDrake; CT

Spending will go up every year about 8% because of entitlements which have built in increases; until entitlements are decreased to the point that they do not cause this country to spend more than it takes in we are still going off of a financial cliff. Base line spending needs to be changed and that will not happen until the mentality of people change - as seen everywhere many feel that cuts should be made except when it effects their lives.

Aug 03, 2011 12:56 AM
Mike Frazier
Carousel Realty of Dyer County - Dyersburg, TN
Northwest Tennessee Realtor

The only solution to this mess is replace the commander and chief and get control of the Senate.

Aug 04, 2011 11:00 AM