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Financial and Social Decline - up Close and Personal

By
Real Estate Technology with Carmody and Associates LLC

I continue to be frustrated with the news.  Certain pundits that I typically agree with (Dick Morris, for example) have proposed that the debt ceiling deal was a victory for Republicans and Conservatives.  I don't get it.  

Wearing out this image latelyIn my view, the deal was seriously flawed and only served to avoid the possibility of default during August.  Keep in mind that, again in my view, the default on formal debt - US Treasury paper - is not an issue at this time.  There are adequate revenues coming into the treasury each month to cover the high priority obligations.  But the operations of the government would not be able to be funded with the monthly shortfall they have put in place. 

Much of the confrontation in the negotiations centered around the passage of the balanced budget amendment. Horsepuckey on a stick seems to be the only comment I can print in this family friendly setting.  The BBA may be good policy and should be pursued as an election issue in 2012 - but it was not an appropriate pivot point for the debt ceiling discussion.  First, I don't think the votes are there to pass both houses of Congress yet.  But more importantly, the process of ratification by the states can take years and simply is not a immediate, short term issue.

So we have kicked the can down the road again, given the President two years of increases in debt, and gotten no short term immediate cuts in spending and threats from Liberal leadership that we cannot touch entitlement spending.  These people have become so detached from reality that they are believing their own press releases. 

Now the response to the deal is beginning to come in.  The stock markets have fallen 4% last week.  S&P, a debt ratings company, has downgraded US debt offerings, taking away our AAA rating for the first time since 1917.  The immediate impact of this disaster is that the interest rate for US debt instruments will have to go up in order to attract investors to buy the bonds and notes.  Further many institutions that hold US Treasury instruments now are required by their rules not to hold any paper with less than a AAA rating - so our universe of potential investors will be further limited.  Our response will be to run the money printing presses - further depressing the value of the dollar and increasing the chances that the US Dollar may be replaced as the world's reserve currency

CAN YOU HEAR ME NOW, MR PRESIDENT ?

Obviously not.  As the President continues to focus his time and attention on the only jobs plan he cares about - his own re-election campaign.  And news reports indicate that the President is giving his senior staff modest raises in the face of national pain and suffering... staff raises that are running 40% or more !!  

Financial Advisor Dave Ramsey has put the woefully inadequate response to the debt into simple terms even a Congressman should be able to understand. 

“If the US Government ​was a family, they would be making $58,000 a year, they spend $75,000 a year and are $327,000 in credit card debt. They are currently proposing big spending cuts to reduce their spending to $72,000 a year.”

November 6, 2012, seems like a long time away when we need changes in national policy right here, right now.  While the Democrats and the lapdog media tell us to ignore the tea party and the voice of WE THE PEOPLE,  remember 435 Representatives and 33 Senators and 1 President will be on the ballot in 2012 asking that we renew their contracts and return them to office.  

Choose Wisely.

Comments(12)

Mike Cooper, Broker VA,WV
Cornerstone Business Group Inc - Winchester, VA
Your Neighborhood Real Estate Sales Pro

Ted, November 6, 2012 is the ultimate term limit.  Time to through the garbage out, and there is plenty of garbage.  As far as the debt ceiling goes, nobody won this one except the prez.  The country got the shaft again.

Aug 06, 2011 02:11 AM
Broker Nick
South Florida Real Estate & Development, Inc. - Coconut Creek, FL
Broker Nick Relocation Broker Service

Congratulations - This post is now featured in Silent Majority Group of Active Rain!

Aug 06, 2011 05:15 AM
Than Maynard
Coldwell Banker Heart of Oklahoma - Purcell, OK
Broker - Licensed to List & Sell - 405-990-8862

Amazing how big numbers just overwhelm so many people. I keep hearing "They cut 1 trillion dollars!" No they cut $22 billion over the next 15 months. The rest is pie in the sky and does not have to be cut, because the next congress can just change their minds. It isn't binding!

Aug 06, 2011 12:07 PM
Annette Sievert
CB Valley Broker - Corvallis, OR
Corvallis, Oregon

Very well said, I wish we could reset the whole bunch in Washington, send them all home and put in their place some successful business people who understand that there is no perpetuum mobile creating money they can disburse at will..

Aug 07, 2011 05:35 PM
Steve Hoffacker
Steve Hoffacker LLC - West Palm Beach, FL
Certified Aging In Place Specialist-Instructor

Ted,

If we can survive until November 6th, and if we don't make the same mistake again. :)

Steve

Aug 07, 2011 05:38 PM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

Our nexr tests are close.  By August 16 we have to have named the select committee members to discuss the debt.  By September 30 we begin a new fiscal year.  We don't have a Congressional budget for this year yet - much less for next year.  

All appropriations bills must originate with the House of Representatives.  I am not a fan of continuing resolutions to run a country.  But the Republicans have not faired well over the years in the blame game over government shut downs.  

I am more concerned about a budget than a balanced budget amendment.  It is not encouraging that the Congress went on vacation with the most important issues of their term boiling over on the stove.  I could argue that the debt ceiling deal (without significance) was passed because of the August recess deadline rather than the Treasury Department end of the world deadline.  You would think all these guys held non-refundable air line tickets.

Thanks to all for stopping by.

 

 

Aug 08, 2011 12:49 AM
Nogui Aramburo
Linda Craft & Team, REALTORS® - Raleigh, NC
Real Estate Professional in the Raleigh Area

Thank you TEAPARTY. You have succeeded in damaging America in a way not even our most strident enemies could.

You should be disgusted with yourselves.

Aug 08, 2011 01:50 AM
Broker Nick
South Florida Real Estate & Development, Inc. - Coconut Creek, FL
Broker Nick Relocation Broker Service

Nogui is back - still the same blind liberal who only sees what he wants to - void of the facts

Aug 08, 2011 03:36 PM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

Nogui - you are welcome to state your case - but you need some facts and not just the liberal talking point.

There is plenty of blame to go around for both parties when you look at our spending problem and our debt.  But there is no blame in my view for the tea party members or the class of 2010 in the Congress who have been true to their principles and their campaign promises.  They are the voice of WE THE PEOPLE - remember them? And the members of the House and the 33 Senators and 1 President that are up for re-election in 2012 would do well to listen to these members of the tea party because we will vote in the election.  This Administration has no credibility in my view when they continue to point the finger at others for the problems that they have created themselves. 

 

Aug 08, 2011 05:24 PM
Steve Hoffacker
Steve Hoffacker LLC - West Palm Beach, FL
Certified Aging In Place Specialist-Instructor

Ted,

Congratulations. This post is now featured in "The Law Of The Land." :)

Steve

Aug 12, 2011 04:38 PM
Jay Markanich
Jay Markanich Real Estate Inspections, LLC - Bristow, VA
Home Inspector - servicing all Northern Virginia

In the two months between his defeat and the inauguration, the Grand Imam will do more damage than he did in the previous four years.  All by king executive order.  A whole bunch of crap will have to be reversed.

Sep 19, 2011 12:34 AM
Ted Baker
Carmody and Associates LLC - Winter Haven, FL
MidFloridaMediation.com

Hi Jay - actually I have a feeling that each incoming administration rescinds some of the late editions of the previous administration's executive orders.  The good news is that this is the easiest damage to rewind.

 

Thanks to all for stopping by

Sep 19, 2011 04:42 PM