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Is Portland A Buyers Market | Is Portland A Sellers Market | Is The Portland Real Estate Market Stable

By
Industry Observer with RETIRED / State License is Inactive Inactive License Oregon

Is Portland A Buyers Market, Is Portland a Sellers Market, Is the Portland Real Estate Market Stable

People "think"  . . . and when they think the Portland Real Estate market is headed in one direction, but the numbers aren't supporting that . . . they need to re-think.

Many Buyers in Portland think it's a Buyers' Market. 

However, since June 2011 it's been very close to a STABLE / NEUTRAL real estate market in Portland.

The Portland Buyer's Real Estate Market

A "Buyers Market" is simple: there are more homes available for sale than buyers to purchase them.

When buyers have more homes to tour, that increases the likliehood that a buyer will find one that matches their wants / needs. 

Signs of a Buyer's Market

  • Inventory is high compared to previous months / years.
  • More than six months of inventory is on the market.
  • Comparable sale prices are LOWER than active listing prices.
  • Fewer buyers are purchasing, resulting in lower closed sale numbers.
  • Median sales prices are declining

Seller's Real Estate Markets

If you are a home owner who wants to sell a house in a seller's real estate market, this is the best financial market in which to sell. Why? Because there are more buyers than available houses to buy.

 Signs of a Seller's Market

  • Inventory is very low as compared to previous months / years.
  • Less than six months of inventory is on the market.
  • Comparable sale prices have closed at FULL LIST PRICE or have closed HIGHER
  • More buyers are purchasing, resulting in higher closed sale numbers.

Neutral Real Estate Markets

The "neutral" or "stable" real estate markets are balanced. In a stable real estate market interest rates are affordable (which they are NOW) and the number of buyers and sellers in the marketplace are equalized.

The scales don't tip in either direction, meaning the market is normal without experiencing volatile swings.

Signs of a Neutral Market

  • Inventory is normal as compared to previous normal months / years.
  • Three to six months of inventory is on the market.
  • Comparable sale prices are close to active listing prices.
  • Sales numbers have stabilized.
  • Median sales prices are flattened.

Since June 2011, the adsorption rate in the Portland Real Estate Market is hovering around 6.0, tipping a little closer to 7.0 in September.  But to say this is a strong "Buyers" market in Metro Portland might be a tad wishful thinking.  The market is not a Seller's market and for all intents and purposes, the Portland Metro Real Estate Market is finding equilibrium and teetering towards STABLE.

  • Sellers Market: 1 to 5 months supply of homes
  • Neutral / Stable Market: 5 to 6 months supply of homes
  • Buyers Market: More than 6 months supply of homes
  • 2011 started off with a very strong buyers market in Portland real estate. But, the absorpotion rate for the past six months have been bordering neutral / stable. The Portland Real Estate market has gained an equilibrium since June 2011.

    In my earlier reports:

    the INVENTORY is off compared to the same months of October and November 2010. I going to try to stay current on these monthly reports and perhaps concentrate on absorption rate in the Portland real estate market to keep my finger on the pulse so Buyers don't have to. Just check out my reports!

Posted by

 

 

Carla Muss-Jacobs has RETIRED effective May 1, 2018

Representing Buyers in the Portland Metro Real Estate Market | Clackamas Multnomah and Washington Counties | Since 1999

Carla Muss-Jacobs, REALTOR®, ABR, CEBA, ePro
Principal Broker/Owner ~~ INACTIVE

Carla Muss-Jacobs' retirement became effective May 1, 2018

Direct: 503-810-7192 

 

All Rights Reserved © 

Jim Hale
ACTIONAGENTS.NET - Eugene, OR
Eugene Oregon's Best Home Search Website

Buyers Market - more than 6 mos inventory.

Neutral market - 5-6 mos inventory.

Sellers market - 4-5 mos inventory.

Overheated market - 3-4 mos of inventory.

Irrational exhuberance - 2-3 mos of inventory.

The greatest recession since the last one is coming - 1-2 mos of inventory.

The bust has already underway but no one knows it yet - under 1 mo of inventory.

 

Dec 22, 2011 09:25 AM
Jim Hale
ACTIONAGENTS.NET - Eugene, OR
Eugene Oregon's Best Home Search Website

The down then up of your purple line shows the effect of the federal tax credit of 2010.

Dec 22, 2011 09:28 AM
Jim Hale
ACTIONAGENTS.NET - Eugene, OR
Eugene Oregon's Best Home Search Website

All three lines show the usual jump-up at years end followed by a a slow decline thru the end of fall.

Dec 22, 2011 09:29 AM
Carla Muss-Jacobs, RETIRED
RETIRED / State License is Inactive - Portland, OR

Hi Jim . . . maybe rather than 3 comments, you should consolidate?  Perhaps write your own post??  While all three years are showing the "jump up" the indication is less and less of the "buyers market" and the affects of 2010 tax credit shows just how many sellers listed during that time to push the absorption rate well into a buyer's market.  What I'm seeing, in my market . . . and although you're in Oregon, you aren't in the Metro Portland area, the inventory is trailing off.   Is that true for Eugene/Springfield?

Dec 22, 2011 10:12 AM
Christine Smith
Buyers Brokers Only LLC - www.BuyersBrokersOnly.com - Canton, MA
Exclusive Buyer Agent & Attorney, Canton, MA

Carla....great explanation of the Portland real estate market conditions.  Our inventory is trailing off a bit too....or at least the good inventory is.

Dec 22, 2011 11:33 AM
Jane Peters
Home Jane Realty - Los Angeles, CA
Los Angeles real estate concierge services

I like it, Carla.  Stable.  News has been good all around today.  Hopefully 2012 is going to be a good year.

Dec 22, 2011 03:05 PM
Ruthmarie Hicks
Keller Williams NY Realty - 120 Bloomingdale Road #101, White Plains NY 10605 - White Plains, NY

Some of our markets are stable - some are moving up...others are in free-fall. It's all over the map - but there are signs that some markets are pulling out of this mess.

Dec 22, 2011 03:58 PM
JOSH EVANS *JoshEvansHomes 516-655-5000
Village Properties of Mineola, LLC - Mineola, NY

It's a great market good luck and great job happy holiday

Dec 25, 2011 04:29 PM
Nancy Laswick
United Real Estate - Phoenix, AZ
Your REALTOR® For The Valley Of The Sun

Carla, excellent market post. Parts of the Phoenix Scottsdale market are headed towards neutral as well.

Dec 25, 2011 05:00 PM
Tim Lorenz
TIM LORENZ - Elite Home Sales Team - Mission Viejo, CA
949 874-2247

Not unlike our market  but the problem is that we have low sales and inventory.  That does not lead us out of the housing slump.

Dec 25, 2011 05:59 PM
Michelle Gibson
Hansen Real Estate Group Inc. - Wellington, FL
REALTOR

Carla - So many buyers in my neck of the woods are shocked when I tell them certain neighborhoods are experiencing a Seller's Market.

Dec 26, 2011 02:15 PM