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Denver Real Estate Ready to Recover?

By
Real Estate Agent with Kentwood Company

Hello,

Welcome to my new blog! This is my first post ever so please excuse me if it isn't perfect. I had to start with something.

The Denver real estate market has been soft for the last year and a half. All you have to do is read the newspaper and they will wiill be happy to tell you all the negative news about the housing "bubble".

Here's a different perspective. Sales have not been the problem. They are down now only about 3% year in year over year statistics. The problem has been the number of homes on the marketd has risen dramatically. They increased from only 20,000 to almost 32,000 for a high this last summer.

But, the last two months of statistics report by "Metrolist", our multilist system, show a decliine of over 12% in the number of homes on the market. See the full story on my website at: http://www.larryhotz.com/blog/denver-rebound/

Listings are already down now to just over 27,000. But, the direction in lower. That is great for our local real estate market because a downturn in listings preceeded a market recovery in 1989. By 1990, sales were headed back up and so did prices.

I know it sounds self-serving to say that this market may be nearing its bottom. But, it might be. Let's watch the market stats next month to see if listings decline again significantly. If they do, this Spring could be unusually hot for our local real estate market.

Comments (4)

Michael S. Mackey
CENTURY 21 All Islands - Mililani, HI
REALTOR ABR, CRS, GRI, RSPS
Larry, welcome to AR! I am a recent blogger myself, and I am hooked! I enjoyed your posting; it is very informative, and it seems your market is headed for a turn around. I'll be looking forward to hearing more about how this develops. Good Post!
Dec 15, 2006 02:25 AM
Lee's Summit Real Estate:: :: Paul Korodaj
Lee's Summit, MO
Larry, good blog and welcome to AR.  Anytime folks write about Denver I'm excited to read their stuff.  The increase in homes last summer is incredible.  I hope things pick up there and the market balances out.
Dec 15, 2006 06:42 AM
Steve Hewson
KW Commercial Real Estate, LLC - Denver - Denver, CO
Denver Metro Comnulll Real Estate
Larry,  Welcome to Active Rain.  Good first blog.  I also write frequently on the Denver Real State Market and have similar views to yours.  I believe anyone who waits more than a year will be playing catch-up with the faster rising prices in this market.  So now is a good time to be buying. Steve
Dec 15, 2006 03:43 PM
German Portillo
Colorful Lending, Inc - Denver, CO

Larry, good first blog.
I just have a comment on the topic.

I agree that the number of units on the market has gone down and that is a good sign that the market may yet improve.  But I also believe that prices will go even lower than they are now, at least in the low end of the housing market.  With the tremendous number of ARM loans that set to recast this year, we are bound to see the market flooded by foreclosures, like we've seen in the last 2 years.  All those foreclosure should depress prices significantly. Colorado, once again, may become the foreclosure capital of the US.

As a flipper this is good news to me.  Foreclosed homes. and short-sales, make great targets

But as a mortgage broker this is terrible.  Large numbers of foreclosures will force banks to tighten their guidelines even further.  It should also wipe out some of the smaller banks.  As a result borrowers, especially low-fico, low-income ones, will have less choices when it comes to refinancing their homes.

Feb 08, 2007 04:16 PM

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