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Housing to Fall (more) in 2008?

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Services for Real Estate Pros with Business Attorney and Success Advisor

Here's the quote of the day...OK two quotes...on housing news.  This is in response to data showing a 6.7% FALL in housing prices in October from a year earlier:

"This is just the beginning," said Peter Schiff, a Darien, Conn.-based investment adviser known for his bearish views of the housing market. "Pressure is there for much, much lower prices."  According to Schiff, one factor that will drive prices lower is a change in buyer psychology. "The prices that existed were completely artificial, a function of speculators who are no longer in the market," he said. "Some buyers thought they were going to get rich."

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors and among the most optimistic of industry insiders, conceded that large inventories will mean further price declines. "Price growth during the boom was clearly unsustainable. This is the payback," he said.

(Emphasis added in bold).  Looks like we're in for an exciting 2008.  Here's the full article with these quotes:  http://money.cnn.com/2007/12/26/real_estate/Case_Shiller_down/index.htm?postversion=2007122613

Comments(5)

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Mike Norvell Sr
Morris Williams Realty - Leesburg, FL
Norvell Consulting Group
Wow, it takes a survey like this to get people ot admit to six percent drop...I see more like 12-15% and more coming in certain overbuilt areas,,,Happy Holidays, Jason
Dec 26, 2007 06:34 AM
Martinelli Caputi
Martinelli Caputi & Associates, Ltd. - Warwick, RI
& Associates, Ltd.
Jason: Fasten your seatbelts indeed!  I wonder what the new year will have in store.  Or for that matter... when the drop will finally bottom out.  We shall see.  P.S. - nice profile... you have an interesting background there.  :) 
Dec 26, 2007 06:41 AM
Alix Pinzon
Open Mortgage, LLC NMLS # 2975 - Downey, CA
(562)743-6086
Let it fall, then maybe the average joe can afford to buy a house.  Have a great 2008.  If you have a minute, please check out my website and tell me what you think.  www.yourspeedyappraiser.com  Thanks.
Dec 26, 2007 07:04 AM
Jeanean Gendron
The Address Realty - Redding, CA
Specializing in Selling Unique Properties
Jason, we will continue to see the declining market through 2008 I believe. While NAR is putting out a somewhat optimistic projection, they've been wrong the last couple of years big time. I am hopeful that by educating ourselves and our clients that we will begin to affect our market in 2008. Helping people to buy and sell wisely during this time and educating our clients on their options will be key. I am telling my investors to do their homework and my less market savvy clients where to go to learn about the market. I work hard to keep my clients informed and to help in trend analysis for their benefit. Good post and I appreciate your work. Happy New Year and I hope 2008 will be good for us all. It may be different, but that can be good as well. I like your Meez!
Dec 28, 2007 02:21 AM
Jason Romrell
Business Attorney and Success Advisor - Los Angeles, CA

Mike, Richard, Greg and Jeanean,  thanks for the comments.  It struck me time and time again over the course of 2007 how many people on A/R would attack me and others for "doom and gloom" predictions and analyses.  BUt Jeanean hit the nail on the head...it's all about education and information!  Sticking your head in the sand and believing the so-called optimistic experts (NAR anyone?) isn't helpful...in fact, it's dangerous.  Knowledge truly is power here.

Thanks for all the great comments.

Dec 28, 2007 03:23 AM