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The Real Estate News: It's not "Grim" if I'm Buying.

By
Real Estate Agent with McCall Realty

Bad News, no, Good News, er Bad News, I mean Good News.... and on and on and on...The Same Old Song and Dance... it's Bad, but it's Not!

(LAKE TAHOE REAL ESTATE BLOG) Home prices have fallen for the tenth month in a row, according to the Case-Shiller price index released Wednesday by Standard & Poor's. The report indicates that 11 of 20 U.S. metro area show record-low growth rates. South Lake Tahoe, of course, is not among these areas.

Once again, this news is spun as bad news for the housing sector. In fact this time it’s called “grim’ by Robert Shiller, chief economist at MacroMarkets LLC and co-developer of the index.

I'm going to save money, boo hoo! It’s true, this news would be considered “bad” if one were trying to sell their house over market value right now, but it wouldn’t be so if one were buying at present. It would be, and is, good news indeed.

If one were not selling their house at this time, like us, it’s news of interest, possibly. If one has no intention of selling their house for some time, if ever, this news may bring no interest at all. Because real estate markets are cyclical, home values change consistently, and often frequently, with market trends and conditions. The value only changes if one actually sells.

Consistent with this report, we’ve also found price declines recently in South Lake Tahoe as well. In the last 90 days, the median sold price on the South Lake Tahoe, CA side of our market is $380,000. It was $415,000 six months ago, and $425,000 a year ago (365 calendar days).

If you were buying right now, what would you rather pay for a house. $380,000, or $425,000? The question is rather absurd, isn’t it? Sometimes so is the spin we see in our daily news.

For the complete Case-Schiller index article from today, click here.

For a complete breakdown of all South Lake Tahoe, CA home sales in the last 365 days, click here.

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Comments(15)

Sharon Simms
Coastal Properties Group International - Christie's International - Saint Petersburg, FL
St. Petersburg FL - CRS CIPS CLHMS RSPS
So true - one person's trash is another person's treasure. We feel it's a great time to buy - as long as you don't plan to resell it in the next year or two.
Dec 27, 2007 01:43 PM
Neal Bloom
Brokered by eXp Realty LLC - Weston, FL
Realtor CRS-Weston FL Real Estate
I see a continued drop in prices until the spring...then we might see a bit of leveling off but prices rising in this market will be lost for a long time unfortunately.
Dec 27, 2007 11:33 PM
Bryant Tutas
Tutas Towne Realty, Inc and Garden Views Realty, LLC - Winter Garden, FL
Selling Florida one home at a time
Richard, If the price of oil went down it would be GREAT news. Housing values needed to come down and now they are. This should be GREAT news as well. Working folks in my area can once again afford housing. Im excited about that.
Dec 27, 2007 11:55 PM
Dan Forbes
Bradenton, FL
Amazing spin by Shiller.  Usually, the economy is portrayed as bad when prices go UP.  Now, with home prices down, it is still bad.  Go figure.  Is the glass half empty?
Dec 28, 2007 12:22 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

The news never gives me any useful information about my market area.  Being the statistal junkie that I am, I pull everything directly from my MLS for specific areas.  It's hard work, but I know my market.

I love the national reports that combines DC, Rockville and Hagerstown MD in one market area. 

GEEZ.

Dec 28, 2007 02:12 AM
Diane Aurit
LKN Realty, LLC - Mooresville, NC
Lake Norman Real Estate
Gary, this is something I have written about as well.  Why is it that a buyers market is grim but a seller's market is an exciting real estate boom?  It all depends on whether you are a buyer or a seller.  This is a great market for some, just not sellers who purchased recently. 
Dec 28, 2007 07:20 AM
Gary Bolen
McCall Realty - South Lake Tahoe, CA
CRS - Lake Tahoe Real Estate Information
Sharon - right on. thanks for commenting. have a great new one.
Dec 28, 2007 10:40 AM
Gary Bolen
McCall Realty - South Lake Tahoe, CA
CRS - Lake Tahoe Real Estate Information
Neal - will be interesting to see when it does level off. Bet all of us see it at about the same time.
Dec 28, 2007 10:41 AM
Gary Bolen
McCall Realty - South Lake Tahoe, CA
CRS - Lake Tahoe Real Estate Information
Bryant - Isn't it nice when nice people get to buy again. Would also be nice  to skin the energy industry as we know it.
Dec 28, 2007 10:42 AM
Gary Bolen
McCall Realty - South Lake Tahoe, CA
CRS - Lake Tahoe Real Estate Information
Lenn - we're the same way about the news, but we do like to poke fun at it.
Dec 28, 2007 10:43 AM
Gary Bolen
McCall Realty - South Lake Tahoe, CA
CRS - Lake Tahoe Real Estate Information
Dan - it's just upside down, that's all. Chicken little only reigns in the housing market.
Dec 28, 2007 10:44 AM
Gary Bolen
McCall Realty - South Lake Tahoe, CA
CRS - Lake Tahoe Real Estate Information
Diane - maybe if all  of us write about it all of the time, the cable news media might understand our business a little more. Would be better for the public if they did.
Dec 28, 2007 10:46 AM
Jay McGillicuddy
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Verani Realty - Exeter, NH
Real Estate Broker

We have been extremely busy for a December, especially working with buyers. We normally are big listers but in this market it seems the buyers are out there and ready to buy. My wife and I are busy all day tomorrow and it's been a while since we have been this busy. Our busiest December ever. 

Nice post.  

Dec 28, 2007 11:58 AM
Karen Rice Keller Williams Real Est
Keller Williams Real Estate - Hawley, PA
Northeast PA & Lake Wallenpaupack Home Sales

The thing is - I've heard this before and know it's true - bad news sells better than good news.  When the market shifts to a Seller's Market again, how much do you want to bet it will be all doom and gloom still, about the high prices and limited choice...woe to all buyers.  The public seems to thrive on conflict and tension, while only occasionally craving something "wholesome" and "uplifting."

Why do you think the scandal sheets sell so well?  Absurd they are, yet...they sell. 

Kind of reminds me of the shark attack reporting a few years ago.  While it was almost to the point of national hysteria, the actual number of shark attacks was down from previous years.  D'oh!

 

Dec 28, 2007 03:30 PM
Mike Klijanowicz
Cummings & Co. Realtors - Perry Hall, MD
Associate Broker @ Cummings & Co. Realtors
I love your pictures in this post.  Where did you get them from?  Do you mind if I use them in a future post?  I'm really glad to see that more and more of us are starting to get our own message out that NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY!
Dec 29, 2007 01:33 AM