What will happen to real estate with a Democrat in the White House?

By
Real Estate Agent with Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate

Does anyone want to share your thoughts?  I am sitting here watching the debates and it seems to me (an indendent voter) that we Americans may have a Democrat in office in about a year. 

I have heard that perhaps the long term capital gain tax rate will go up.  That will affect second home owners and real estate investors.  Will some of those people sell in 2008 so that they get the current 15% tax rate?Some will be able to do 1031 Tax deferred exchanges and it won't matter to them, but many people want to sell their property without buying another one.  Will it cause them to sell sooner than they might have otherwise? 

How about estate taxes?   They have to be redone in the next couple of years; will they go higher?  Democrats  appear to raise taxes but use the money to help people who are in need, although they get accused of creating bigger government.  Republicans, on the other hand, favor businesses and are seen as making the rich richer.  Whether my quick sketches are actually true or not, I don't know, but how would a Democrat in power, perhaps also with a majority in the House and Senate, affect our ability to make a living? 

I look forward to hearing about the vision you see in your crystal ball! 

Comments (26)

Christopher Currins
CBC Home Inspections - Godfrey, IL
Metro East Home Inspector - IL.
With what looks like a recession coming around the bend, I think the real estate market is going to see a lot of problems know matter who is in charge. But we do know who has led us to this.
Jan 05, 2008 03:47 PM
Jim Dunlap
Roberts Realty - Yucca Valley, CA
Jessie Unruh, of California many years ago said ...politicians are interested in three things.  Power, turf, and budget.  If liberals get in, you can almost be sure that they will open up the goverment coffers to the so-called poor and needy, at the expense of us majority tsxpayers to accomplish their need for power, turf, and budget.
Jan 05, 2008 03:52 PM
Karen Anne Stone
New Home Hunters of Fort Worth and Tarrant County - Fort Worth, TX
Fort Worth Real Estate
Hi Joanne:  In my opinion, I think a Democrat in the White House will be great for the economy, and great for the country.  The current administration has taken a budget surplus it inherited in 2000 and turned it into a multi-trillion deficit.  Just getting back on the pay as you go program will be a great help.  I think the resulting confidence people will have in their government will stimulate the economy.
Jan 05, 2008 04:24 PM
Eric Kodner
Wayzata Lakes Realty: Eric Kodner Sells Twin Cities Homes - Minnetonka, MN
Wayzata Lakes Realty: Twin Cities, Madeline Island

Interesting that Jim has to use the conservatives' favorite scare word, "liberal", instead of Democrat.

George Bush, a Republican, got narrowly elected by claiming that he was a conservative who would (presumably) balance the budget and be fiscally responsible.  But the Bush budget has created the biggest deficits in history (even without taking the Iraq war into account). 

So much for the Republican claim of fiscal responsibility..

Jan 06, 2008 12:04 AM
Gary L. Waters Broker Associate, Bucci Realty
Bucci Realty, Inc. - Melbourne, FL
Fifteen Years Experience in Brevard County
In the long run, regardless of which party wins, things will not change drastically. When all is said and done, both parties gravitate toward middle of the road. The only change that will really occur is Bush will have his mail forwarded to Texas!
Jan 06, 2008 12:20 AM
Mana Tulberg
805 County Real Estate - Camarillo, CA
Real Estate Agent - Camarillo CA
Joanne, No one can tell for sure. For now we can all just presume, but it all comes down when the real person has to perform.
Jan 06, 2008 08:04 AM
Scott Smith
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage - Gloucester, MA
Gloucester & Rockport, Massachusetts

Thank You Eric: A reasoned poster in this thread! Let's see. The last Democrat in the White House balanced the federal budget while trimming down the welfare rolls and created a huge federal surplus. George Bush has destroyed the US economy and the economy is going to get worse before it gets better. "I will call OPEC and tell them to open up their spigots." That was GWB when asked about what he would do if oil prices went up. Well, his phone must have been disconnected, because oil is at $100bbl. Oh, and the "war."

George Bush has expanded government more than any Democrat has ever imagined.

We need a Democrat in office to bring fiscal responsibility into fashion.

Now, as far as real estate goes, it has been the banks and Wall Street that have been irresponsible in their lending practices and there should be no bailout. People should not have been buying homes they could not afford and banks should not have been giving such crazy loans, especially for re-fis.  Our local market is quite strong and I suspect that the general economy will help dictate how housing does this quarter.

Jan 06, 2008 01:15 PM
Eric Kodner
Wayzata Lakes Realty: Eric Kodner Sells Twin Cities Homes - Minnetonka, MN
Wayzata Lakes Realty: Twin Cities, Madeline Island

Scott, thanks for taking a stand on what's the Bush administration has really been about.

One commenter above made a crack about "creating a middle class out of your wallet".  Funny, but Donald Trump and Robert Kiyosaki are writing a book which argues that America needs a middle class to survive and we're in danger of losing ours.  Neither Trump nor Kiyosaki are liberal Democrats.  They're just smart enough to realize this:  A governing president and his party can't merely line the pockets of their wealthy constituents and screw everyone else.  There aren't enough "rich" to drive the entire economy by themselves. 

We need a middle class and George Bush has done more than his share to try to destroy it.

Jan 06, 2008 01:41 PM
Karen Anne Stone
New Home Hunters of Fort Worth and Tarrant County - Fort Worth, TX
Fort Worth Real Estate

Hi Joanne... and Eric and Scott:  How Cool !  Another reasoned response.  The world has turned around 180 degrees.  Democrats are for fiscal responsibility and a balanced budget.  The GOP can no longer say, without looking even more irresponsible that they presently do, that the Democrats are the spend, spend, spend, Big Government party.  They have proven themselves wrong.  Whew !

Joanne, I can only hope, especially after seeing the Republican debates of last night and tonight, that they will continue to shoot themselves in the foot, and free this country from all their lies and sell-outs.

Jan 06, 2008 04:39 PM
Joanne Hanson
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate - Frisco, CO
Summit County, Colorado Realtor
I really didn't intend this post to talk about the benefits of one party over another.  My question really was, what will happen to the long term capital gains tax rate (people seem to think it will go up) and perhaps estate taxes?  It seems to have sparked quite a  lively discussion, which is what happens when you bring up politics!
Jan 07, 2008 08:53 AM
Dena Stevens Coriz
Rocky Mountain Realty - Canon City, CO
Putting The Real Into Realtor Since 2004
Health care and taxes - throw the baby out with the bathwater as far as I'm concerned. We need some new systems in place. Dare I say "change?"
Jan 07, 2008 08:59 AM
Joanne Hanson
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate - Frisco, CO
Summit County, Colorado Realtor

Change, who said change?  Seems to be the catchword these days...I wonder if George II is listening? 

I guess he doesn't need to.

Jan 07, 2008 09:26 AM
Christopher Currins
CBC Home Inspections - Godfrey, IL
Metro East Home Inspector - IL.
...I wonder if George II is listening?  The last i heard he was in Israel...and will probably do a lot of oversea traveling during the next 10 months.
Jan 07, 2008 10:42 AM
Joanne Hanson
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate - Frisco, CO
Summit County, Colorado Realtor
He is a lame duck for sure!  You would think the party might want another Republican elected and pressure him to "change" but it won't happen...
Jan 07, 2008 11:00 AM
Esko Kiuru
Bethesda, MD

Joanne,

We seem to need a different direction from where we are heading now. If we recall, Democrats left the economy on a pretty decent footing in 2000 and where is it going today? We need people who will actually do something instead of playing politics.

Jan 12, 2008 01:28 PM
Joanne Hanson
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate - Frisco, CO
Summit County, Colorado Realtor
Ain't that the truth!  And I don't care if it is a Democrat or a Republican...I am an independent and vote for the person, not the party.  Thanks Esko!
Jan 12, 2008 01:54 PM
Eric Kodner
Wayzata Lakes Realty: Eric Kodner Sells Twin Cities Homes - Minnetonka, MN
Wayzata Lakes Realty: Twin Cities, Madeline Island

Joanne --

We've lived through a succession of lousy and mediocre presidents in the past several decades and we'll likely survive the next one.

Jan 12, 2008 02:01 PM
Joanne Hanson
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate - Frisco, CO
Summit County, Colorado Realtor
I think that until we think more about what is good for the community rather than what is good for each of us individually, we will always have issues.  I don't know that a society founded on individual rights is willing to do that. 
Jan 12, 2008 02:53 PM
Gayle Balaban
The Best Spot Realty/Waterfront Real Estate/Ooltewah Real E - Chattanooga, TN
E. TN Waterfront Real Estate
The dems tend to be creative and I personally would not have minded nother 8 years with Bill, so, Billary sounds fine to me.
Jan 13, 2008 04:52 AM
Joanne Hanson
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate - Frisco, CO
Summit County, Colorado Realtor
Billary, that is interesting Gayle!  I bet that would be the case too....
Jan 13, 2008 05:01 AM

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