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Zillow's NEGATIVE Equity Map Revealed & Discussed.

By
Real Estate Agent with RE/MAX Compass 0524642

Recently Zillow created a "Negative Equity Map."

 

It reminds me of the overzealous and overly excited Meteorologist who jump up and down and twitch with excitement when  there's a Tropical Storm or Hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. I've lived in Texas most of my life, so I've seen and heard my share from the local weather guy.

 

It's important to understand what Zillow is and what it can be. If you live in Texas you should familiarize yourself with the ABOUT ZESTIMATES tab on Zillow.com.

 

Here's what you should know

 

 

In Dallas, Zillow Zestimates can be off by more than 20% 66.1% of the time. (according to Zillow's website)

In Houston and San Antonio Zillow uses local "Tax values" to provide its Zestimate. Zillow actually gives themselves 1 star for this information. One star out of a possible 4 star "valuation." I wonder this... If Four Stars is their best evaluation what does 1 star mean? They actually consider their Zestimates in Dallas worthy of two stars. A "FAIR ZESTIMATE."  I'm guessing one star means UNFAIR ZESTIMATE. I dunno.


Here's my opinion....

Using terminology like "underwater values" peaks interest (which is what Zillow is all about) because it insights fear, worry and potential panic. Just like the media. They don't report the good stuff, just the garbage in hopes to get a rise out of people. Just like your friendly politician.

The most interesting thing about this map is that it shows that 31% of the homes in Harris County Texas (my mkt) are "underwater."

Remember that Zillow gives themselves ONE GOLD STAR for their Zestimates in Houston Texas, which is located in Harris County. Two Gold Stars is identified as "FAIR ZESTIMATE."

Zillow has a ZERO STAR rating, but doesn't use it for Houston.

 

Zestimate Accuracy/Star Rating: This rating is tied to the Median Error in an area.
The ratings are as follows:

  • Four Stars = Best Zestimate
  • Three Stars = Good Zestimate
  • Two Stars = Fair Zestimate
  • One Star = Tax assessor's value, or unable to compute Zestimate accuracy
  • 0 stars = No valuation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted by
Greg Nino
Realtor
RE/MAX Compass 
Direct & Text 7 days a wk: 832-298-8555 
 
 
Realtor since 2004
Mediator & Arbitrator for the TX Assoc. of Realtors
Member of the Professional Standards Committee for the TX Assoc. of Realtors
Arbitrator for the Comptroller's office for the State of TX for Arbitration of Property Tax Values

 Member of the RE/MAX Hall of Fame & Platinum Club

 

The information contained in this blog is believed to be reliable and while every effort is made to assure that the information is as accurate as possible, the author of this blog, and its comments disclaim any implied warranty or representation about it's accuracy, completeness or appropriateness for any particular purpose. All information is copywritten and the property of Greg Nino.  

Comments(42)

Ron Marshall
Marshall Enterprises - Saint Michael, MN
Birdhouse Builder Extraordinaire

I used to say the "Z" word, but no longer. 

May 24, 2012 11:30 PM
Fernando Herboso - Associate Broker MD, & VA
Maxus Realty Group of Samson Properties - Clarksburg, MD
301-246-0001 Serving Maryland, DC and Northern VA

Absolutely love Carla's response!!!!

I love to use Zillow in my listing presentations to show how badly people need my help. .all I have to do is show them a Zilow estimate of a local neighborhood where they show an equity gain of 30% IN ONE SINGLE MONTH! . .unZelievable 

May 24, 2012 11:41 PM
Justin Dibbs
Fairway Independent Mortgage - Ashburn, VA
Mortgage Advisor

Typical.  Same old same old from Zolliw, Trulia, Redspin and all the others out there.

May 24, 2012 11:53 PM
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
Real Estate Broker Retired

Greg this is SO stupid & lame - where aren't houses under water in the U.S.?  They are using curiosity, worry & who knows what else to draw a person in to see that just about the entire U.S. is covered in red. 

May 25, 2012 12:15 AM
Joe Pryor
The Virtual Real Estate Team - Oklahoma City, OK
REALTOR® - Oklahoma Investment Properties

Glad you pointed out the About Zestimate at the bottom of the page that shows the degree of accuracy. Personally, I love the Zestimate, it is just that you have to have scripts to turn it into your advantage and it allows us to show our excpertise. I would also add as someone who goes after expired listings that REALTORS® too often are like the Zestimate when the price homes that stay on the market for 6 months or more at 20% inflated prices with no price reductions. He who is without sin as they say, so in a way this is great for you in Houston.

May 25, 2012 12:52 AM
Tom Esposito
Alpharetta Home Solutions - Alpharetta, GA

I've never felt very "zesty" about their zestimates.  I prefer to determine value the old fashioned way: use recent comparable sales.  I've found that to be a safe way to advise my clients. 

May 25, 2012 12:52 AM
Sandy Acevedo
951-290-8588 - Chino Hills, CA
RE/MAX Masters, Inland Empire Homes for Sale

Say what you want about their zestimates and how unreliable their home values are, I was listening to the car radio when the anchor reported how many people were underwater throughout the US according to Zillow. So you can be that far off in what your company reports and yet the media relays your reports as truth. 

May 25, 2012 01:11 AM
Heather Feldman
Equity Real Estate Luxury Group - Park City, UT

I find Zillow's Zestimates to be very frustrating. I suppose in an area where all homes are exactly equal - all have the same view or same lot size or same everything it works. I always have to spend time explaining to seller and buyers that their numbers are simply taken from tax rolls or recent closings of like and unlike properties. Espeically in a place like Park City, we have so many micro areas within a similar area that they use multi million dollar neighborhoods to comp $300k neighborhoods!

May 25, 2012 01:21 AM
Lynda White
Bluegrass Homes & Farms Realty, Agent Know How - Louisville, KY
Admin. Mgr., Keller Williams Realty

That was fun to look at, but I seriously doubt its accuracy as well.

May 25, 2012 01:40 AM
Terry McCarley
Coastal Real Estate - Cape Coral FL - Cape Coral, FL
REALTOR, SRES, CDPE - Cape Coral, FL

Thanks for sharing this.  Zestimates confuse the consumers - I honestly wish they would stop using them but I don't think that will ever happen.

May 25, 2012 04:11 AM
Kimo Jarrett
Cyber Properties - Huntington Beach, CA
Pro Lifestyle Solutions

Zillow is nothing more than a tool for consumers to use, however, it depends on how or what you use the tool for, don't you?

Now, you can buy a screwdriver for a couple of dollars or spend over $20 for the same type of screwdriver but will the $2 screwdriver work effectively, better or as good as the $20 screwdriver? Do professional mechanics buy low quality tools or the highest quality tools?

Many consumers don't use tools, they hire people to perform the service they want or need, so is the Zillow consumer likely to hire a professional, I think not and based upon your research with this post, who would use Zillow to secure accurate information, certainly not serious buyers, don't you agree?

May 25, 2012 05:19 AM
Dorte Engel
RE/MAX Leading Edge - Bowie, MD
ABC - Annapolis, Bowie, Crofton & rest of Maryland

Dear Greg,

Some consumers come to me with Zillow info and ask, if it is correct. I would say, that if you are headed north, you would not end up south, following their data, but you might end up east or west.

May 25, 2012 06:39 AM
Jenny Durling
L.A. Property Solutions - Los Angeles, CA
For Los Angeles real estate help 213-215-4758

In a word, I think Zillow stinks!  It's fine if you want to see what area comps sold for but forget it when it comes to determining market value

May 25, 2012 04:10 PM
Phil Leng
Retired - Kirkland, WA
Phil Leng - Retired

Hi greg,

Zillow is a rule of thumb measurement, not an accurate measurement.

Consumers know what their zestimate says, so we have to know as well. That is where the usefulness ends.

Phil

May 25, 2012 09:06 PM
Bob Miller
Keller Williams Cornerstone Realty - Ocala, FL
The Ocala Dream Team

Hi Greg,  I usually tell my clients that Zillow is a joke in most agents opinion.  Real Estate is local!

May 26, 2012 01:58 AM
John DL Arendsen
CREST "BACKYARD' HOMES, ON THE LEVEL General & Manufactured Home Contractor, TAG Real Estate Sales & Investments - Leucadia, CA
Crest Backyard Homes "ADU" dealer & RE Developer

Zillow is laughable in California. Anyone who reliies on anything they have to say is one can short of a 6 pack.

May 26, 2012 12:02 PM
Gene Riemenschneider
Home Point Real Estate - Brentwood, CA
Turning Houses into Homes

Zillow just shows the importance of using real people to make decisions. However, I think some Banks are making decisions based on Zillow!  I find it tragic/funny.

May 26, 2012 02:22 PM
Greg Nino
RE/MAX Compass - Houston, TX
Houston, Texas

I just wish Zillow would abandon their Zestimates for Texas. They do not have access to our comparable sales. Truth be known, a local homeowner knows more about the "local mkt" than the aggregation machine at the Zillow compound. Damn right.

May 26, 2012 03:26 PM
Dave Halpern
Dave Halpern Real Estate Agent, Inc., Louisville, KY (502) 664-7827 - Louisville, KY
Louisville Short Sale Expert

When sellers tell me they referenced Zillow I tell them to google the accuracy of Zillow. This way they get many opinions and not just mine. Then I show them actual comps that invariably are confirm the sellers latent disbelief in the zestimate. Zillow makes me look good.

 

May 27, 2012 10:54 AM
Bryan Robertson
Los Altos, CA

Zillow is awash in misinformation and their Zestimate's are well known to be well off the mark in many areas.  However, consumers love the Zestimate because I think they trust the site more than agents.  I think agents tend to fight the issue of trust and our information, while more accurate, is viewed as self-serving.

That said, if Zillow themselves says their information is low quality, perhaps more of that will sink into the heads of consumers so they can see our figures as more accurate and trustworthy.

Jun 01, 2012 03:00 AM