Okay, let me start off by saying that I mean no disrespect here. I am just as anxious for the 2nd Coming to happen as the next card-carrying evangelical fundamentalist (Come quickly, Lord Jesus!). But it seems that lately, we've had just as many people attempting to forecast the future of real estate as we do those who've attempted to predict the date and time for the return of the Son of Man.
"But concerning that day and hour no one knows, not even the angels of heaven,nor the Son, but the Father only."
~ Matthew 24:36 ~
In both instances, it's simply a best guess. No one knows for certain what's going to happen and when. Certainly there are indicators and previous cycle patterns to analyze and compare. But the reality remains, no one knows for certain.
But in real estate, there is one thing we can say with confidence - "No Two Markets are the Same!"
Just because some Wall Street ‘wannabe' claims that the 2nd Great Depression is looming right around the corner, doesn't make him right. Those guys earn a living on speculation! And if one more TV News Starlet, scratching her way to higher ratings, refers to the current housing market as a ‘Holocaust,' I promise I'm gonna hurl!
Are there areas in the US housing market where things are tough? You betcha! In some places, prices are dropping, valuations are decreasing, and foreclosures are rising at an alarming pace.
But there are just as many housing markets, if not more, that are experiencing ‘normal‘ conditions. By ‘normal,' I mean, experiencing the usual cycles historically associated with the real estate market. Every 8 to 10 years or so, we go through a market adjustment. After enjoying several years of very fast or brisk activity, the market begins to slow.
It is during these downturns, that the pessimistic media naysayers of ‘doom & gloom' act as though these kind of cycles have never happened to us before. The constant bombardment of their incessant negativity begins to affect us, and their created perception starts to become our reality.
Certainly, if one lone trader can adversely affect the cost of crude oil, then the constant negative bombardment of media hypesters can easily influence our perceptions over the current real estate market.
The real truth is that real estate is bad in some places, but not so bad in some, and still fairly good in others. Please, don't allow the Media's broad brush strokes to paint an incorrect picture of YOUR market. If you're looking to buy or sell, consult with your local real estate professional. No one is better equipped or knows your market more intimately than someone who is actively involved in providing expert representation in your specific area.