national new home constuction

By
Industry Observer with Howard Sumner Consulting

 

Always in the year of first upward movement from a decline you see what appears to outsized gains in a percentages rise, and that is what you see in permits, in sales, and the total of single family combined with multifamily permits, yet to give a little perspective, on a national basis it is estimated that we destroy about 200,000 housing units a year, so the net effect is an increase of 694,000 housing units added to supply. When you think about the drop still between 70 to 60% from the peak  and  35 to 43% from the fifty year average total performance of the new housing construction is still less than sterling. Another perspective would be to compare it to  your income, if in your peak your before the recession/economic event  your earned $100,000 a year and now seven years later you would be earning between  $30,000 to $40,000 today.

 

The thought to ponder………. If your income performance was similar the new construction housing would think you had recovered from the recession?

 

 

actual total for year

permit issued

 

start of construction

   

multi

single

 

multi

single

single sales

 

2012:

Year to Date

605.2

388.4

 

582.5

408.5

285

 

2011:

Year to Date

460.3

320.0

 

459.9

330.7

234

 

year over year + or  -

31.48%

21.38%

 

26.66%

23.53%

21.79%

 

seasonally adjusted

       

 

 

permits issued

     

permits issued total

 

one unit structure

     

includes multi family

permits issued

 

545

   

894

 

           

 

peak year

 

1682

   

2219

 

permits % drop from peak

 

68%

   

 

50 year average

 

911

   

1383

 

permits % drop from 50 year

 

40%

   

 

           

 

movement up from Bottom

353

54%

 

522

 

           

 

 

housing started

     

starts total

 

 

one unit structure

     

includes multi family

starts

 

603

   

872

 

           

 

peak year

 

1611

   

2357

 

starts % drop from peak

 

63%

   

 

50 year average

 

1056

   

1481

 

starts % drop from 50 year

 

43%

   

 

           

 

movement up from Bottom

360

68%

 

520

 

           

 

           

 

 

housing sales

       

 

 

one unit structure

       

 

new single family sales

389

     

 

           

 

peak year July 2005

 

1283

     

 

sales % drop from peak

 

70%

   

 

48 year average from 1963

628

     

 

sales % drop from 48 year average

 

38%

   

 

Bottom August 2010

       

 

movement up from Bottom

278

40%

   

 

 

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