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Local numbers defy "doom and gloomers"

By
Real Estate Agent with gvconsulting

Last night I attended a session on market knowledge as part of my company's on-going effort to keep its agents ahead of the competition. I especially enjoyed the session because it was on analyzing and using data smartly. 

The presenter--an experienced agent having a banner year--looked at '06 and '07 data for 6 fairly representative communities on Long Island. She found a much more favorable picture materialized. For example, while sales dipped in 4 of the communities, they were up in 2--with one up 17%. 

In terms of price, the MLS data shows that '07 prices held steady from '06 levels. Of the six communities, 3 averaged 1.5% higher prices, while the other 3 averaged a minuscule 3.4% drop.

Quite a contrast to the 20% drop suggested by the media, right? 

(BTW: She ran the #s for another 6 or so  communities suggested by attendees and the pattern held true.)

But what really caught my attention was the condo/coop market. That segment across my region appears to be up--and in some cases up big-time. For example, condo/co-op sales in a Queens community rose 8.7% and prices 10.8%, or an average of $32,000 more than in '06. Part of it is a spillover from the still hot Manhattan market. 

However, while the market is doing OK on Long Island, many homes are sitting w/o attracting much attention. The problem? Asking prices out-of-alignment w/local markets. The presenter's advise to agents? Really know your market--and homes accordingly. Good advice for agents everywhere.   

 

Comments(3)

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Jim Albano
Prudential Damiano Realty - Little Falls, NJ
Team - Jean-Marie Vantuno / Realtors North Jersey Real Estate
Hey Gerry, very good stats. Sometimes I think the media just pulls numbers out of the air. We're finding similar stats here in North Jersey. Yes properties are staying on the market a little longer, prices are not appreciating as quickly or at all, but there has not been a dramatic decline in prices. Bottom line is, if properties are priced correctly, they're selling. Have a great '08!
Jan 23, 2008 01:12 PM
Jim Albano
Prudential Damiano Realty - Little Falls, NJ
Team - Jean-Marie Vantuno / Realtors North Jersey Real Estate
Hey Gerry, very good stats. Sometimes I think the media just pulls numbers out of the air. We're finding similar stats here in North Jersey. Yes properties are staying on the market a little longer, prices are not appreciating as quickly or at all, but there has not been a dramatic decline in prices. Bottom line is, if properties are priced correctly, they're selling. Have a great '08!
Jan 23, 2008 01:13 PM
Michael Creel
InActive Agent - Bellevue, WA
Part of the issue has been that people still price their homes as though it were a sellers market and are seemingly in denial. If they just priced fairly, things would move along much better.
Jan 23, 2008 01:53 PM