A Few Predictions on the Eve of 2013
Predicting trends during volatile economic times in American is no easy task. However, here's my best shot. I strongly believe these are the five real estate items we should keep an eye on in 2013:
Demand for Housing Will Continue to Surge
The housing market has turned the corner and there is no reason to believe that buyer demand will not maintain momentum throughout 2013. Household formations shot up to boom-time levels in 2012 and are projected to increase at even a faster rate over the next twelve months. A lack of inventory will be more of a challenge to sales increases than will a lack of demand.
Generations X and Y Will Prove They Believe in Homeownership
Contrary to what many have hypothesized over the last few years, young adults (18-35 year olds) are just as committed to homeownership as previous generations. Recent studies have shown:
- 43% already own a home
- 72% see homeownership as part of their personal American Dream
- 93% of those currently renting plan to buy a home
This, along with the increase in household formations mentioned above, makes me believe that 2013 will be the year that many of these young adults will jump into homeownership.
Prices Will Continue to Increase
Pricing of any item is determined by supply and demand. Demand for housing will remain strong throughout 2013. At the same time, the supply of homes is already shrinking in many parts of the country. Outside of a few states that still have challenges with large inventories of distressed properties (NY, NJ, CT, IL for example), prices will appreciate nicely.
Even in the areas that are still dealing with high percentages of foreclosures and short sales, prices will not tumble dramatically. The increase in demand will absorb much of this inventory. In these areas, prices will either flatten or perhaps soften to a small degree.
Move-Up Sellers Will Return in Great Numbers
Perhaps what many will find as the biggest surprise of 2013 will be the return of the ‘move-up’ seller. Over the last several years negative equity has prevented many of these sellers from moving up to the house of their dreams. However, with prices recovering, more and more of these sellers will realize that now may be their greatest opportunity to make the move to a lifestyle they always wanted.
With home prices expected to increase and more stringent mortgage qualifications (QR and QRM) scheduled to be announced this year, I believe that the first half of the year will bring many of these sellers/buyers to the market.
The Consumer Will Demand That Their Agent Be an Expert
Real Estate professionals who have invested the money, time and energy to truly understand what is happening and why it is happening will separate themselves from their competition and do very well this year.
Those who take that next step of learning how to simply and effectively communicate to their clients will be seen as experts. These industry leaders will dominate their markets.
A Few Predictions on the Eve of 2013
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