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Buyer appetite could eat through 3,000 homes if we had them to sell

By
Real Estate Agent with Home Based Realty 01737966/01367311

Real Estate Trends - Palmdale, Lancaster, Jan 24, 13
The Real Estate market in the Antelope Valley is entering another shift, back to a more normal place.  Bank owned properties are still around but for the most part only a fraction of the available inventory.  We do believe Bank owned will be part of the market for 2013 with a small bump-up this spring.  Short Sales have been very lackluster in 2012 starting in February we saw a fast drop-off of new short sale listing.  Short sales are not even 3% of our market.  That said, we have seen an uptick in calls wanting to sell short in the past few weeks.  We could be seeing more short sale activity in the coming months however we believe short sale will become a niche market in late 2013 and be unheard of in 2014.

The current available inventory levels is the major issue we face in today’s real estate.  With just over 400 homes for sale in the core area in the Antelope Valley new listing are receiving multiple offers within hours.  Buyer appetite could eat through 3,000 homes if we had them to sell.


Janet O'Brian is a Certified Short Sales Specialist in California is ready to help you with your Situation…Short Sale Specialist

Monthend Numbers (core)                      
  Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug July June May Apr Mar Feb Jan '12 Dec
Listed  325 381 470 456 455 393 410 466 614 520 561 601 599
Pending  395 424 507 446 427 419 498 498 634 535 495 581 522
Sold  346 319 344 320 425 391 405 424 462 388 308 416 476
                           
% CHG Month over Month                      
Listed    -17.2% -23.4% 3.0% 0.2% 13.6% -4.3% -13.7% -31.8% 15.3% -7.9% -7.1% 0.3%
Pending    -7.3% -19.6% 12.0% 4.3% 1.9% -18.9% 0.0% -27.3% 15.6% 7.5% -17.4% 10.2%
Sold    7.8% -7.8% 7.0% -32.8% 8.0% -3.6% -4.7% -9.0% 16.0% 20.6% -35.1% -14.4%
                           
% CHG Current Month over Same Month Last Year                  
Listed  -84.3% -92.1% -69.6% -78.3% -49.2% -60.6% -57.6% -33.0% 8.6% -32.7% 21.0% 8.5% 7.3%
Pending  -32.2% -34.9% -12.0% -31.2% -26.9% -11.7% -0.8% -4.0% 23.2% 5.8% 16.4% 32.5% 23.0%
Sold  -37.6% -46.4% -61.9% -70.3% 2.8% 5.6% 3.2% 11.8% 16.9% -0.3% 2.9% 28.6% 11.3%

Current Statistics tracking the Real Estate Market in the Antelope Valley, Palmdale & Lancaster Core areas.  Homes For Sale in Palmdale and Lancaster

Month to Date and Projected Opened Escrows*
Total Active 684    
Total Active Core Area 410    
Total Active REO's 53    
Total Short Sale 12    
       
Pending MTD/Projected 222 287  
       
Sold MTD/Projected 175 226  
Percent Sold Over List Price     25.14%
Sold Last Month / % of Difference 346 -34.67%  
Last Year Month / % of Difference 416 -45.66%  
       
Active Listing Mix (Core)      
REO % of TTL 12.93%    
Short Sale % of TTL 2.93%    
REO+SS % of TTL 15.85%    
Traditional Sale % of TTL 84.15%    

Absorption Rate*
Current Month 2.1 Months
At Last Months Rate 2.4 Months

Historical High Active Listing  - 5300+ Mid 2007 - Within the last 3 years our Low Active Listing were under 700 in Nov '09, our new low is 397 at the end of 2012.

Richard & Janet O'Brian Real Estate Agents in California work with buyers of all types, from first time, to investors, please let us work for you!   Call us today.  If you are looking for an aggressive Team to find and fight for the best deal call us or visit out website Palmdale & Lancaster homes for sale. Or Keller Williams Realty AV   

Janet O'Brian is a Certified Short Sales Specialist by the National Association of Realtors® (SFR) and is ready to help you with your situation Short sale Help.  She can Stop Foreclosures Now!

                                         (Quick Mapping Links for Core Areas)
Palmdale  Lancaster  Ana Verde  Ritter Ranch  Quartz Hill  Leona Valley  Lake Hughes  Lake Elizabeth  

*The Core Nunbers do not include outlying segments of the Antelope Valley or out-of-area properties. Lancaster, Palmdale, Quartz Hills, Leona Valley, Antelope Acres, Lake Elizabeth, Lake Hughes, Littlerock, Lake Los Angeles, Green Valley and Juniper Hills are included in the core grouping.  All figures are Single Family Residential only.

Keller Williams Realty AV Ranked #1 in the Antelope Valley 661.733.0508 to list your home.

Posted by

Richard

Comments(2)

Lorena McMullen
3DX Real Estate - Novi, MI
Serving SE Michigan

It's always good to know the stats for one's marketplace.  Best wishes for a great year!

Jan 23, 2013 11:29 PM
Elite Home Sales Team
Elite Home Sales Team OC - Corona del Mar, CA
A Tenacious and Skilled Real Estate Team

I like the way you present the info in this blog.  Well done.  Have a great 2013.

Jan 23, 2013 11:30 PM